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Institutional Cluster ·Filed Sep 22, 2026

GEVO

Gevo, Inc.
BEARISH
Impact 4/10
Horizonweeks Processed1mo ago
Institutional cluster: 16 buyers, 12 sellers (mixed)
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The institutional cluster shows a clear divergence: passive managers added shares mechanically (likely due to index rebalancing or price-weighted buying), while active and bulge-bracket managers reduced exposure significantly. The near-exit by Balyasny and heavy trimming by Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley suggest institutional skepticism about GEVO's near-term commercial viability. Monitor upcoming quarterly results for cash-burn rate and any offtake agreements for sustainable aviation fuel.

DirectionBearish
Confidencemedium
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+20d
GEVO ▼ -27.56% at T+20d
SHORT call ✓ call won +27.56% · α vs SPY +27.00% · entry $1.56 → $1.13
Next anchor: T+60d in 7w
Latest observation: T+23 +25.76% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Sep 22, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-7.05%
call +7.05% · α +6.33%
$1.45
settled 5w ago
T+5d
-14.74%
call +14.74% · α +13.56%
$1.33
settled 29d ago
T+20d
-27.56%
call +27.56% · α +27.00%
$1.13
settled 8d ago
T+60d
Pending
in 7w

Executive Summary

In Q2 2026, 16 institutions added to GEVO positions (aggregate current value $6.7M, net change -$1.0M) while 12 trimmed or exited (net change -$11.6M). The net institutional flow was negative, with Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley leading the sell-side, reducing holdings by $8.3M and $1.5M respectively. The buying was dominated by passive managers (UBS, Wells Fargo, Fidelity) and small asset managers, while the selling was concentrated among bulge-bracket banks and active funds like Balyasny (near-exit). The cluster suggests a lack of conviction among active institutional investors, consistent with GEVO's ongoing cash-burn and uncertain path to commercial-scale sustainable aviation fuel production.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
distributing
Buy Value
$6.7M
Sell Value
$11.6M
Net Flow
-$12.6M

Institutional Positions

Net institutional flow: -$12.6M

▲ Buyers (16)

InstitutionActionChangePosition ValueValue Δ
UBSADD+53.1%$5.0M-$947.0K
Wells FargoADD+46.2%$548.0K-$134.0K
Susquehanna International GroupADD+58%$645.0K-$98.0K
Russell Investments GroupDOUBLED+456.9%$198.0K$133.0K
FidelityDOUBLED+161.2%$96.0K$29.0K

▼ Sellers (12)

InstitutionActionChangePrev ValueValue Δ
Goldman SachsTRIM-61.2%$10.6M-$8.3M
Morgan StanleyTRIM-60.3%$1.9M-$1.5M
Bnp Paribas Financial MarketsTRIM-46%$1.2M-$853.0K
Balyasny Asset ManagementNEAR_EXIT-92.2%$614.0K-$588.0K
Vanguard Global AdvisersTRIM-29%$354.0K-$216.0K

Key Facts

  • 16 institutional buyers with aggregate current holdings of $6.7M, but net dollar change was -$1.0M (most buyers added shares at lower prices as the stock declined)
  • 12 institutional sellers reduced holdings by a net -$11.6M, with Goldman Sachs trimming 61.2% ($10.6M → $2.3M) and Morgan Stanley trimming 60.3% ($1.9M → $414K)
  • Balyasny Asset Management executed a near-exit, reducing its position by 92.2% (225.1K → 17.6K shares)
  • UBS was the largest buyer by share count, adding 1.16M shares (+53.1%), but its dollar value declined from $6.0M to $5.0M due to stock price depreciation
  • Net institutional flow was negative: total selling value ($11.6M) far exceeded total buying value ($1.0M net change)
  • No activist or high-conviction active value fund was among the buyers; buying was dominated by passive/index managers and small asset managers

Financial Impact

Net institutional selling of approximately $11.6M in Q2 2026, with Goldman Sachs alone accounting for $8.3M of the reduction. Total buyer-side net change was -$1.0M, indicating most buyers added shares at lower prices rather than deploying new capital.

institutional ownershipfloatmarket sentiment

Risk Factors

  • Continued institutional selling pressure if more funds follow Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley's lead
  • Gevo's cash-burn and pre-revenue status make it vulnerable to further dilution or going-concern concerns
  • No high-conviction activist or value fund buying suggests the stock lacks a catalyst-driven institutional thesis

Investment Themes

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 institutional 13F filing from SEC EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
INST-CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)inst-cluster-GEVO-2026-Q2
18 reports for GEVO
Performance horizon
67% Hit rate @ T+1 4 of 6 directional calls Went positive at some point 5 of 6 best @ T+20▲ +18.48%May 29, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for GEVO — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 22, 2026
5d ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$1.14 $1.16▲ +1.75%▲ +2.28%—
Oct 1, 2026
26d ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$1.32 $1.31▼ −0.38%▼ −1.12%—
Sep 22, 2026
5w ago
Institutional Cluster
BEARISH ★ 4/10
$1.56 $1.45▲ +7.05%▲ +6.33%—
Aug 26, 2026
8w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$1.65 $1.68▲ +1.82%▲ +1.16%—
Aug 7, 2026
11w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$1.57 $1.63▲ +3.82%▲ +4.14%—
Aug 7, 2026
11w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 4/10
$1.57 $1.63▼ −3.82%▼ −4.14%—
Jul 16, 2026
14w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$1.59 $1.63▲ +2.52%▲ +3.51%—
Jul 15, 2026
14w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$1.59 $1.59· 0.00%▲ +0.54%—
May 29, 2026
21w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$1.84 $1.81▲ +1.63%▲ +1.78%—
Apr 21, 2026
27w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$1.82 $1.85▲ +1.65%▲ +0.63%—
Showing 10 of 18

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Thu (11h 38m)

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Report published Sep 22, 2026