Institutional Cluster

GBTG

Global Business Travel Group, Inc.
BULLISH
Impact 4/10
Horizonweeks Processed3mo ago
Institutional cluster: 6 buyers, 0 sellers (bullish)
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

The unanimous buying by 6 institutions, including multiple asset managers doubling positions, signals growing conviction in GBTG's business travel recovery. However, the small absolute dollar amounts ($8.7M total) and the stock's poor historical reaction to prior bullish calls (20% win rate at T+20) suggest limited near-term upside. Monitor for additional institutional accumulation in Q4 2024 filings or a catalyst such as earnings beat to confirm the thesis.

DirectionBullish
Confidencemedium
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
GBTG ▲ +1.28% at T+60d
LONG call ✓ call won +1.28% · α vs SPY -1.98% · entry $9.36 → $9.48
Entry anchored
Jun 11, 03:59 PM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
0.00%
call 0.00% · α -1.76%
$9.36
settled 4mo ago
T+5d
0.00%
call 0.00% · α -0.67%
$9.36
settled 3mo ago
T+20d
+0.43%
call +0.43% · α -1.35%
$9.40
settled 3mo ago
T+60d
+1.28%
call +1.28% · α -1.98%
$9.48
settled 23d ago

Executive Summary

Six institutional investors increased their GBTG positions in Q3 2024, with aggregate holdings rising by $4.3M to $8.7M. The cluster is dominated by asset managers and a mega-passive fund, with no sellers, suggesting a shared positive view on the business travel recovery thesis. However, the absolute dollar amounts are small, and the historical win rate on GBTG calls is low (20% at T+20), tempering conviction.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
accumulating
Buy Value
$8.7M
Net Flow
$4.3M

Institutional Positions

Net institutional flow: $4.3M

▲ Buyers (6)

InstitutionActionChangePosition ValueValue Δ
SchwabADD+41.8%$6.2M$2.4M
Nisa Investment AdvisorsDOUBLED+274.5%$4.0K$3.0K
Manufacturers Life Insurance CADD+31.7%$553.0K$193.0K
Mirae Asset Global Etfs HoldinDOUBLED+324.6%$531.0K$424.0K
State Of Wisconsin InvestmentDOUBLED+544.9%$845.0K$733.0K
Legal & General GroupDOUBLED+325.8%$609.0K$487.0K

Key Facts

  • 6 institutional buyers, 0 sellers in Q3 2024
  • Aggregate holdings increased by $4.3M to $8.7M
  • Schwab (mega-passive) added 237.7K shares, increasing value by $2.4M
  • State of Wisconsin Investment doubled its position (+544.9% shares)
  • Legal & General Group doubled its position (+325.8% shares)
  • Mirae Asset Global ETFs doubled its position (+324.6% shares)
  • No institutional sellers in the cluster

Financial Impact

6 institutions accumulated $4.3M in new GBTG positions, bringing total holdings to $8.7M. No selling activity was recorded.

institutional ownershipfloat

Risk Factors

  • 13F data is 45+ days old; positions may have been unwound since quarter-end
  • Small absolute dollar amounts limit signal strength
  • Historical T+20 win rate on GBTG calls is only 20%, suggesting poor timing or weak catalysts
  • Cluster dominated by asset managers and one mega-passive fund; no activist or high-conviction hedge fund involvement

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Transportation Services
Analyst Consensus
78% bullish (9 analysts)

Investment Themes

Industrials & Manufacturing

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 institutional 13F filing from SEC EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
INST-CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)inst-cluster-GBTG-2024-Q3
17 reports for GBTG
Performance horizon
29% Hit rate 2 of 7 directional calls best @ T+60▲ +1.50%May 28, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for GBTG — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Aug 7, 2026
8w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$9.46 $9.48▲ +0.21%▲ +0.61%—
Aug 4, 2026
8w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$9.43 $9.46▲ +0.32%▲ +1.56%—
Jun 15, 2026
15w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 4/10
$9.36 $9.41▼ −0.53%▼ −0.33%—
Jun 12, 2026
16w ago
Institutional Cluster
BULLISH ★ 4/10
$9.36 $9.40▲ +0.43%▼ −1.35%—
Jun 11, 2026
16w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$9.36 $9.40▲ +0.43%▼ −1.35%—
Jun 10, 2026
16w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$9.36 $9.39▲ +0.32%▼ −1.57%—
Jun 9, 2026
16w ago
144
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$9.34 $9.39▼ −0.54%▲ +3.09%—
Jun 8, 2026
16w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$9.35 $9.40▲ +0.53%▼ −1.10%—
Jun 5, 2026
17w ago
144 / CLUSTER
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$9.35 $9.40▼ −0.53%▲ +1.10%—
Jun 2, 2026
17w ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$9.37 $9.40▲ +0.32%▲ +1.32%—
Showing 10 of 17

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Mon (37h 45m)

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Report published Jun 12, 2026