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8-K ·Filed May 4, 2026

GBDC

GOLUB CAPITAL BDC, Inc.
BEARISH
Impact 7/10
Horizonweeks Processed5mo ago SEC0001476765-26-000029
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The earnings miss and portfolio depreciation from spread widening may pressure GBDC shares in the near term. Monitor credit spread trends and portfolio company performance, as further deterioration could lead to additional NAV erosion. Despite the dividend being covered, the stock may trade at a wider discount to NAV.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
GBDC ▼ -4.18% at T+60d
SHORT call ✓ call won +4.18% · α vs SPY +6.92% · entry $13.40 → $12.84
Entry = T+0 close
May 4, 2026
via day close
T+1d
0.00%
call 0.00% · α +1.38%
$13.40
settled 6mo ago
T+5d
-3.28%
call +3.28% · α +5.27%
$12.96
settled 6mo ago
T+20d
-0.97%
call +0.97% · α +5.92%
$13.27
settled 5mo ago
T+60d
-4.18%
call +4.18% · α +6.92%
$12.84
settled 3mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Golub Capital BDC reported fiscal Q2 2026 results missing consensus on both adjusted NII ($0.34 vs $0.36) and total investment income ($188.1M vs $200.4M). Credit spread widening drove significant unrealized losses (-$0.51/share), resulting in a GAAP net loss of $46.8M and NAV per share decline from $14.84 to $14.35. The dividend of $0.33/share remains covered but the earnings miss and portfolio depreciation signal near-term headwinds.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$0.34
est $0.36 · -5.6%
Revenue
$188.1M
est $200.4M · -6.1%
Rating
miss

Key Facts

  • Adjusted NII per share $0.34 vs consensus $0.36 (miss of 5.6%)
  • Total investment income $188.1M vs consensus $200.4M (miss of 6.1%)
  • GAAP net loss of $46.8M or ($0.18) per share
  • NAV per share decreased to $14.35 from $14.84 (down 3.3%)
  • Credit spread widening caused $0.35/share unrealized depreciation on performing loans
  • Quarterly dividend maintained at $0.33 per share

Financial Impact

Missed consensus EPS by 5.6% and revenue by 6.1% with significant unrealized losses; NAV down 3.3%

adjusted net investment incomenet investment incometotal investment incomenet asset value

Risk Factors

  • Further credit spread widening and mark-to-market losses
  • Portfolio credit deterioration and increased non-accruals
  • Potential dividend cut if NII continues to decline
  • NAV erosion could pressure stock price

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Analyst Consensus
83% bullish (12 analysts)

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001476765-26-000029
Document: gbdc-20260504.htm0001476765-26-000029
Document: 0001476765-26-000029-index-headers.html0001476765-26-000029
Document: 0001476765-26-000029-index.html0001476765-26-000029
Document: 0001476765-26-000029.txt0001476765-26-000029
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001476765-26-000029
7 reports for GBDC
Performance horizon
67% Hit rate @ T+20 2 of 3 directional calls Went positive at some point 3 of 3 best @ T+60▲ +4.18%May 4, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for GBDC — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 6, 2026
20d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$12.00awaiting T+20—$12.35 (+2.92%)
Aug 11, 2026
10w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$13.09 $12.70▲ +2.98%▲ +1.08%$12.35 (+5.65%)
Jun 12, 2026
19w ago
Institutional Cluster
MIXED ★ 4/10
$13.29 $12.92▼ −2.78%▼ −4.56%$12.35 (−7.07%)
May 27, 2026
21w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$13.09 $12.59▼ −3.82%▼ −0.67%$12.35 (−5.65%)
May 4, 2026
25w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$13.40 $13.27▲ +0.97%▲ +5.92%$12.35 (+7.84%)
May 4, 2026
25w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$13.40 $13.27▲ +0.97%▲ +5.92%$12.35 (+7.84%)
Apr 6, 2026
29w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$12.83 $13.68▼ −6.63%▲ +3.16%$12.35 (+3.74%)
Showing 7 of 7

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Report published May 4, 2026