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Institutional Cluster

GBDC

GOLUB CAPITAL BDC, Inc.
MIXED
Impact 4/10
Horizonweeks Processed4mo ago
Institutional cluster: 8 buyers, 12 sellers (mixed)
Actionable Insight ◆ Mixed

The cluster is net bearish by dollar value, driven by Citadel's near-exit and several large trims from asset managers. However, Legal & General's $7M addition and Tcw Group's $1.8M add provide some offset. Monitor for any catalyst (e.g., dividend cut, NAV decline, or credit event) that may have triggered the selling. The 45-day 13F lag means these positions may have already been adjusted further.

DirectionMixed
Confidencemedium
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
GBDC ▼ -3.84% at T+60d
NEUTRAL call -3.84% · α vs SPY -7.10% · entry $13.29 → $12.78
Entry = T+0 close
Jun 12, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-4.29%
call -4.29% · α -6.05%
$12.72
settled 4mo ago
T+5d
-7.07%
call -7.07% · α -7.75%
$12.35
settled 4mo ago
T+20d
-2.78%
call -2.78% · α -4.56%
$12.92
settled 3mo ago
T+60d
-3.84%
call -3.84% · α -7.10%
$12.78
settled 7w ago

Executive Summary

Institutional activity in GBDC for Q3 2024 shows a mixed cluster: 8 buyers accumulated $13.8M in net new positions (led by Legal & General, Tcw Group, and Franklin Resources), while 12 sellers reduced holdings by $31.7M (led by Citadel's near-exit, 1832 Asset Management, and Baillie Gifford). The net selling pressure of ~$17.9M and the dominance of quant/active managers on the sell side suggest caution, though the buyer side includes several large asset managers adding at moderate conviction levels.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
distributing
Buy Value
$58.3M
Sell Value
$47.8M
Net Flow
-$17.9M

Institutional Positions

Net institutional flow: -$17.9M

▲ Buyers (8)

InstitutionActionChangePosition ValueValue Δ
Legal & General GroupADD+36.5%$29.4M$7.0M
Tcw GroupADD+31.9%$8.6M$1.8M
Franklin ResourcesADD+32.2%$6.1M$1.3M
Stifel FinancialADD+30.1%$6.1M$1.2M
Envestnet Asset ManagementADD+28.5%$5.1M$969.0K

▼ Sellers (12)

InstitutionActionChangePrev ValueValue Δ
CitadelNEAR_EXIT-99.9%$13.3M-$13.3M
1832 Asset ManagementTRIM-66.7%$9.4M-$6.4M
Baillie Gifford &TRIM-50.3%$7.9M-$4.1M
Hb Wealth ManagementTRIM-38.6%$6.0M-$2.5M
Cresset Asset ManagementTRIM-43.3%$4.6M-$2.1M

Key Facts

  • 8 buyers added $13.8M in net new positions; 12 sellers reduced by $31.7M
  • Citadel near-exited a $13.3M position (99.9% reduction)
  • Legal & General added the most value (+$7.0M, +36.5% shares)
  • 1832 Asset Management trimmed $6.4M (66.7% reduction)
  • D.E. Shaw trimmed 50.3% of its position ($1.6M reduction)
  • All buyers are asset managers; sellers include quant funds (Citadel, D.E. Shaw) and asset managers

Financial Impact

Net institutional selling of ~$17.9M (buyers added $13.8M, sellers reduced $31.7M). Total disclosed institutional holdings in the cluster: buyers $58.3M, sellers' prior holdings ~$47.8M.

institutional ownershipfloat

Risk Factors

  • Net selling pressure from 12 institutions suggests negative sentiment among informed managers
  • Citadel's near-exit is a strong bearish signal from a sophisticated quant fund
  • 13F data is 45+ days stale; current positioning may differ materially
  • BDC sector sensitivity to interest rates and credit conditions could amplify moves

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Analyst Consensus
85% bullish (13 analysts)

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 institutional 13F filing from SEC EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
INST-CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)inst-cluster-GBDC-2024-Q3
7 reports for GBDC
Performance horizon
75% Hit rate @ T+20 3 of 4 directional calls Went positive at some point 4 of 4 best @ T+60▲ +4.18%May 4, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for GBDC — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 6, 2026
19d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$12.00awaiting T+20——
Aug 11, 2026
10w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$13.09 $12.70▲ +2.98%▲ +1.08%—
Jun 12, 2026
19w ago
Institutional Cluster
MIXED ★ 4/10
$13.29 $12.92▼ −2.78%▼ −4.56%—
May 27, 2026
21w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$13.09 $12.59▼ −3.82%▼ −0.67%—
May 4, 2026
24w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$13.40 $13.27▲ +0.97%▲ +5.92%—
May 4, 2026
24w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$13.40 $13.27▲ +0.97%▲ +5.92%—
Apr 6, 2026
28w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$12.83 $13.68▼ −6.63%▲ +3.16%—
Showing 7 of 7

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Tue (17h 29m)

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Report published Jun 12, 2026