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PRESS-RELEASE ·Filed May 5, 2026

FWRG

First Watch Restaurant Group, Inc.
MIXED
Impact 6/10
Horizondays Processed5mo ago WireGlobeNewswire
Press release · Earnings
Actionable Insight ◆ Mixed

The massive EPS beat and raised EBITDA guidance are positive, but the widening GAAP net loss and negative traffic growth create a mixed picture. Watch for same-restaurant traffic trends in Q2 to confirm whether the 2.8% sales growth is sustainable via pricing/mix or if traffic deterioration accelerates.

DirectionMixed
Confidencehigh
Horizondays
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
FWRG ▲ +9.52% at T+60d
NEUTRAL call +9.52% · α vs SPY +6.78% · entry $12.18 → $13.34
Entry = T+0 close
May 5, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-0.08%
call -0.08% · α -1.47%
$12.17
settled 6mo ago
T+5d
-4.11%
call -4.11% · α -6.09%
$11.68
settled 6mo ago
T+20d
-14.29%
call -14.29% · α -19.24%
$10.44
settled 5mo ago
T+60d
+9.52%
call +9.52% · α +6.78%
$13.34
settled 3mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

First Watch reported Q1 2026 EPS of $0.24, a massive beat vs. consensus of -$0.03, on revenue of $331.0M (above $329.3M consensus, +17.3% YoY). However, GAAP net loss widened to -$2.7M from -$0.8M a year ago, and same-restaurant traffic declined 2.0%, offsetting the headline beat. Management raised the low end of full-year adjusted EBITDA guidance to $133M-$140M, but reiterated same-restaurant sales growth of 1%-3%.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$0.24
est −$0.03 · +900.0%
Revenue
$331.0M
est $329.3M · +0.5% · +17.3% YoY
Rating
strong beat
Guidance
12% to 14% growth (total revenue)
raised

Key Facts

  • Q1 2026 EPS $0.24 vs consensus -$0.03 (947% beat)
  • Total revenue $331.0M vs consensus $329.3M, up 17.3% YoY
  • GAAP net loss widened to -$2.7M from -$0.8M YoY
  • Same-restaurant sales growth +2.8%, but traffic declined 2.0%
  • Restaurant-level operating profit margin expanded to 18.5% from 16.5%
  • Adjusted EBITDA rose to $27.8M from $22.8M YoY
  • Raised FY2026 adjusted EBITDA guidance low end to $133M-$140M
  • Reaffirmed same-restaurant sales growth of 1%-3% and total revenue growth of 12%-14%
  • Opened 16 new system-wide restaurants in Q1

Financial Impact

EPS beat by $0.27 vs consensus; revenue beat by $1.7M; adjusted EBITDA guidance raised by ~$3M at low end

epsrevenueadjustedEbitdasameRestaurantSalestraffic

Risk Factors

  • Negative same-restaurant traffic (-2.0%) signals weakening customer demand despite price increases
  • GAAP net loss widened to -$2.7M from -$0.8M, driven by higher interest expense and G&A costs
  • Income from operations margin compressed to 0.3% from 0.4%
  • High capital expenditure guidance ($150M-$160M) may pressure free cash flow

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Retail-Eating Places
Analyst Consensus
89% bullish (18 analysts)

Investment Themes

Consumer & Retail

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 press release from GlobeNewswire.

DocumentAccession Number
PRESS-RELEASE Data (Synthetic)press-3287500
11 reports for FWRG
Performance horizon

Track record builds as more directional reports settle.

Filters
Rows
Reports for FWRG — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 27, 2026
today
SC 13G/A
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$11.00awaiting T+60—$11.09 (+0.82%)
Oct 22, 2026
5d ago
SC 13G/A
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$11.56awaiting T+60—$11.09 (−4.07%)
Oct 20, 2026
7d ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$11.97awaiting T+60—$11.09 (−7.35%)
Aug 4, 2026
12w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$12.80awaiting T+60—$11.09 (−13.36%)
Jun 8, 2026
20w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$10.26 $12.11▲ +18.03%▲ +14.22%$11.09 (+8.09%)
Jun 8, 2026
20w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$10.26 $12.11▲ +18.03%▲ +14.22%$11.09 (+8.09%)
May 5, 2026
25w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 5/10
$12.18 $13.34▲ +9.52%▲ +6.78%$11.09 (−8.95%)
May 5, 2026
25w ago
Press Release
MIXED ★ 6/10
$12.18 $13.34▲ +9.52%▲ +6.78%$11.09 (−8.95%)
Apr 8, 2026
28w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$11.65 $12.93▲ +10.99%▲ +0.21%$11.09 (−4.81%)
Mar 10, 2026
33w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$12.52 $10.53▲ +15.89%▲ +27.30%$11.09 (+11.42%)
Showing 10 of 11

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Wed (15h 36m)

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Report published May 5, 2026