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8-K ·Filed Aug 4, 2026

FUSE

Fusemachines Inc.
BEARISH
Impact 7/10
Horizonweeks Processed2mo ago SEC0001493152-26-035918
Killer combo: Material agreement + unregistered equity (likely PIPE/convertible)
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The immediate $2.05M capital injection provides a short-term liquidity buffer, but the structural changes to the FPA and Shortfall Warrants are negative. The FPA amendment reduces the company's ability to generate cash from that agreement, while the Shortfall Warrant amendment creates a floating exercise price tied to a declining metric, increasing future dilution risk. Monitor for any further amendments or the company's progress in resolving the Nasdaq MVPHS notice.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+20d
FUSE ▼ -38.11% at T+20d
SHORT call ✓ call won +38.11% · α vs SPY +36.87% · entry $1.03 → $0.6375
Next anchor: T+60d in 9h
Latest observation: T+57 +54.97% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Aug 4, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-16.50%
call +16.50% · α +16.31%
$0.8600
settled 3mo ago
T+5d
-14.74%
call +14.74% · α +14.64%
$0.8782
settled 3mo ago
T+20d
-38.11%
call +38.11% · α +36.87%
$0.6375
settled 8w ago
T+60d
Pending
in 9h

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Fusemachines (FUSE) entered into a securities purchase agreement with Meteora Capital, issuing a $2.5M convertible note (at an 18% OID, netting $2.05M) and 2.05M warrants, both with a fixed $4.20 conversion/exercise price. Concurrently, the company amended its existing Forward Purchase Agreement and Shortfall Warrants with Meteora, adjusting the termination price formula and setting a floor exercise price of $0.85. The deal provides immediate capital but creates significant potential dilution of up to ~2.65M shares, while the FPA amendment reduces a key source of future cash proceeds for the company, making the overall impact bearish for existing shareholders.

Key Financial Metrics

Offering Size
$2.5M

Key Facts

  • Fusemachines issued a $2.5M convertible note to Meteora Capital for $2.05M (18% OID), due Feb 12, 2027.
  • The note converts at a fixed $4.20/share; warrants for 2.05M shares also have a fixed $4.20 exercise price.
  • If all warrants are cash-exercised, the company could receive up to an additional $8.61M, totaling $10.66M.
  • The FPA Termination Price was amended to the lower of $12.00 or the prior week's VWAP, reducing potential FPA proceeds to the company.
  • The Shortfall Warrant exercise price was amended to the greater of the FPA Termination Price and $0.85, tying it to a declining metric.
  • The company faces a Nasdaq MVPHS notice with a Jan 20, 2027 compliance deadline, adding delisting risk.
  • The company has a market cap of ~$23M; the potential dilution from the note and warrants (~2.65M shares) is substantial relative to current float.

Financial Impact

Immediate net cash inflow of $2.05M from the note, with potential for up to $10.66M total if warrants are exercised. However, the FPA amendment reduces future cash inflows from that agreement. Dilution of up to ~2.65M shares (595k from note conversion + 2.05M from warrants) is significant for a $23M market cap company.

dilutiondebtcashshare count

Risk Factors

  • Significant dilution from the conversion of the note and exercise of warrants.
  • The FPA amendment reduces a key source of future cash proceeds, potentially weakening the balance sheet.
  • Nasdaq delisting risk from the MVPHS notice, which could trigger an Event of Default on the new note.
  • The company's small market cap (~$23M) makes it highly sensitive to the dilutive impact of this financing.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Services-Computer Integrated Systems Design

Investment Themes

Software & IT

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 10 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001493152-26-035918
Exhibit: ex4-1.htm0001493152-26-035918
Exhibit: ex4-2.htm0001493152-26-035918
Exhibit: ex10-2.htm0001493152-26-035918
Exhibit: ex4-3.htm0001493152-26-035918
Exhibit: ex99-1.htm0001493152-26-035918
Document: form8-k.htm0001493152-26-035918
Document: 0001493152-26-035918-index-headers.html0001493152-26-035918
Document: 0001493152-26-035918-index.html0001493152-26-035918
Document: 0001493152-26-035918.txt0001493152-26-035918
14 reports for FUSE
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate @ T+20 3 of 3 directional calls Went positive at some point 5 of 5 best @ T+60▲ +59.65%Jul 24, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for FUSE — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 23, 2026
4d ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$0.3395awaiting T+20—$0.3380 (+0.44%)
Oct 14, 2026
13d ago
EFFECT
MIXED ★ 6/10
$0.3609awaiting T+20—$0.3380 (−6.35%)
Oct 6, 2026
21d ago
S-1
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$0.4370awaiting T+20—$0.3380 (+22.65%)
Sep 25, 2026
4w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 8/10
$0.6500 $0.3395▲ +47.77%▲ +47.74%$0.3380 (+48.00%)
Sep 18, 2026
5w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$0.5860 $0.3470▲ +40.78%▲ +39.88%$0.3380 (+42.32%)
Sep 4, 2026
7w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$0.6015 $0.4480▼ −25.52%▼ −27.23%$0.3380 (−43.81%)
Aug 12, 2026
10w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$0.8100 $0.6039▼ −25.44%▼ −23.55%$0.3380 (−58.27%)
Aug 7, 2026
11w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$0.8280 $0.6083▼ −26.53%▼ −25.62%$0.3380 (−59.18%)
Aug 4, 2026
12w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$1.03 $0.6375▲ +38.11%▲ +36.87%$0.3380 (+67.18%)
Jul 24, 2026
13w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$0.8600 $0.7655▲ +10.99%▲ +14.29%$0.3380 (+60.70%)
Showing 10 of 14

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Thu (10h 1m)

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Report published Aug 4, 2026