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S-1 ·Filed Oct 6, 2026

FUSE

Fusemachines Inc.
BEARISH
Impact 7/10
Horizonweeks Processed20d 15h ago SEC0001493152-26-045995
IPO registration
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The November 3, 2026 Nasdaq delisting hearing is the near-term binary catalyst. If delisting occurs, the convertible notes (due Feb 2027) would be in default, accelerating repayment obligations the company cannot meet. Monitor for any pre-hearing settlement, reverse stock split announcement, or emergency financing that could temporarily extend the listing. The massive overhang of registered resale shares (~23% of outstanding) will pressure any recovery attempt.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+5d
FUSE ▼ -17.41% at T+5d
SHORT call ✓ call won +17.41% · α vs SPY +16.43% · entry $0.4370 → $0.3609
Next anchor: T+20d in 7d
Latest observation: T+12 +10.26% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Oct 6, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-5.10%
call +5.10% · α +4.68%
$0.4147
settled 20d ago
T+5d
-17.41%
call +17.41% · α +16.43%
$0.3609
settled 14d ago
T+20d
Pending
in 7d
T+60d
Pending
in 2mo

Executive Summary

Fusemachines Inc. filed an S-1 registration statement to register up to 7,549,411 shares of common stock for resale by selling stockholders, including shares issuable upon conversion of convertible notes and exercise of warrants issued in an August 2026 financing, shares issued to vendors in satisfaction of ~$1.31M in accrued fees, and shares issued to a marketing services provider. The company faces severe financial distress with only $368K cash as of June 30, 2026, a going concern qualification from its auditor, active Nasdaq delisting proceedings (hearing scheduled November 3, 2026), and declining revenue (down 8% YoY for H1 2026). The filing itself is a routine resale registration that does not raise new capital for the company, but the massive potential dilution (up to 23.2% of outstanding shares) and the company's precarious financial condition make this a bearish signal.

Key Financial Metrics

Rev Growth
-8.0%

Key Facts

  • Registering up to 7,549,411 shares for resale, representing ~23.2% of 32,544,711 shares outstanding as of October 2, 2026
  • Cash balance fell to ~$368K as of June 30, 2026, from $4.22M at December 31, 2025
  • Net loss of $3.72M for H1 2026 vs $4.04M for H1 2025; revenue declined 8% YoY to $3.67M
  • Accumulated deficit of $38.95M as of June 30, 2026
  • Auditor's report includes going concern qualification; company has substantial doubt about ability to continue
  • Nasdaq delisting hearing scheduled for November 3, 2026 due to non-compliance with MVLS requirement
  • Common stock trading below $1.00 per share, triggering minimum bid price deficiency notice
  • Convertible notes due February 12, 2027 with $2.5M aggregate principal; conversion price of $4.20 is far above current trading price
  • Material weaknesses in internal control over financial reporting identified
  • CEO Sameer Maskey beneficially owns ~18.33% of common stock

Financial Impact

Revenue declined 8% YoY to $3.67M for H1 2026; net loss of $3.72M; cash burn of $3.51M from operations in H1 2026; accumulated deficit of $38.95M

revenuenet incomecashaccumulated deficit

Risk Factors

  • Nasdaq delisting likely given non-compliance with multiple listing standards and stock price below $1.00
  • Going concern risk: only $368K cash with $3.51M H1 operating cash burn and $16.75M working capital deficit
  • Massive dilution from up to 7.55M registered resale shares (23.2% of outstanding) plus additional warrants/options/convertibles
  • Convertible note default risk if delisting occurs, triggering 18% default interest and acceleration of $2.5M principal
  • Revenue declining (down 8% YoY) with customer concentration (top 3 customers = 42.2% of revenue)
  • Political instability in Nepal where significant operations are based
  • Material weaknesses in internal controls and history of late SEC filings

Investment Themes

Software & IT

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 8 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
S-1 Filing (Primary)0001493152-26-045995
Exhibit: ex10-18.htm0001493152-26-045995
Exhibit: ex107.htm0001493152-26-045995
Exhibit: ex5-1.htm0001493152-26-045995
Exhibit: ex23-1.htm0001493152-26-045995
Document: 0001493152-26-045995-index-headers.html0001493152-26-045995
Document: 0001493152-26-045995-index.html0001493152-26-045995
Document: 0001493152-26-045995.txt0001493152-26-045995
14 reports for FUSE
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate @ T+20 4 of 4 directional calls Went positive at some point 4 of 4 best @ T+60▲ +59.65%Jul 24, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for FUSE — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 23, 2026
3d ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$0.3344awaiting T+20—$0.3400 (−1.67%)
Oct 14, 2026
13d ago
EFFECT
MIXED ★ 6/10
$0.3609awaiting T+20—$0.3400 (−5.79%)
Oct 6, 2026
20d ago
S-1
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$0.4370awaiting T+20—$0.3400 (+22.20%)
Sep 25, 2026
4w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 8/10
$0.6500 $0.3395▲ +47.77%▲ +47.74%$0.3400 (+47.69%)
Sep 18, 2026
5w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$0.5860 $0.3470▲ +40.78%▲ +39.88%$0.3400 (+41.98%)
Sep 4, 2026
7w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$0.6015 $0.4480▼ −25.52%▼ −27.23%$0.3400 (−43.47%)
Aug 12, 2026
10w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$0.8100 $0.6039▼ −25.44%▼ −23.55%$0.3400 (−58.02%)
Aug 7, 2026
11w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$0.8280 $0.6083▼ −26.53%▼ −25.62%$0.3400 (−58.94%)
Aug 4, 2026
12w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$1.03 $0.6375▲ +38.11%▲ +36.87%$0.3400 (+66.99%)
Jul 24, 2026
13w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$0.8600 $0.7655▲ +10.99%▲ +14.29%$0.3400 (+60.47%)
Showing 10 of 14

US Market Status

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Report published Oct 6, 2026