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6-K ·Filed Jul 9, 2026

FSM

FORTUNA MINING CORP.
NEUTRAL
Impact 4/10
Horizonweeks Processed3mo ago SEC0001104659-26-082143
Notable filing: 6-K
Actionable Insight • Neutral

Watch for the Séguéla plant expansion construction decision and Diamba Sud final investment decision as near-term catalysts.

DirectionNeutral
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
FSM ▲ +31.27% at T+60d
NEUTRAL call +31.27% · α vs SPY +29.64% · entry $8.57 → $11.25
Entry = T+0 close
Jul 9, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-0.58%
call -0.58% · α -1.01%
$8.52
settled 4mo ago
T+5d
-3.97%
call -3.97% · α -3.84%
$8.23
settled 3mo ago
T+20d
+11.55%
call +11.55% · α +9.31%
$9.56
settled 3mo ago
T+60d
+31.27%
call +31.27% · α +29.64%
$11.25
settled 25d ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Fortuna Mining Corp. reports Q2 2026 production of 72,217 gold equivalent ounces, broadly in line with 71,229 GEO in Q2 2025, and $80.2 million in share buybacks (8.6 million shares at $9.32 avg). The company advanced growth projects including a $100M Séguéla plant expansion study, a $48M budget for the Sunbird Underground project, and a Diamba Sud feasibility study showing $1.0B after-tax NPV. A fatal haul-truck accident at Séguéla tempers the operational outlook.

Key Facts

  • Q2 2026 GEO production of 72,217 oz vs 71,229 oz in Q2 2025 (+1.4% YoY) and 72,872 oz in Q1 2026
  • H1 2026 total production of 145,089 GEO, positioning to achieve 2026 guidance of 281,000–305,000 GEO
  • Returned $80.2 million to shareholders via repurchase of 8.6 million shares at average $9.32 per share in Q2 2026
  • Séguéla process plant expansion estimated at ~$100 million; construction decision expected in coming weeks
  • Sunbird Underground budget of $48 million approved; ESIA permit expected Q4 2026
  • Diamba Sud feasibility study highlights after-tax NPV5% of $1.0 billion, IRR of 60%, one-year payback at $3,500/oz gold
  • Fatal haul-truck accident at Séguéla; TRIFR worsened to 1.23 from 1.16 in Q1 2026

Financial Impact

No revenue or earnings reported. $80.2M returned via buybacks in Q2; ~$148M in combined growth capex (plant expansion + Sunbird underground) under evaluation.

gold productionshare buybackcapital expenditure

Risk Factors

  • Operational disruption or regulatory fallout from fatal accident at Séguéla
  • Execution risk on ~$148M in growth capex (plant expansion + Sunbird underground)
  • Gold price volatility could impact project economics (Diamba Sud NPV based on $3,500/oz)

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Gold and Silver Ores
Analyst Consensus
75% bullish (8 analysts)

Investment Themes

Materials & Mining

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 5 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
6-K Filing (Primary)0001104659-26-082143
Document: tm2620134d1_6k.htm0001104659-26-082143
Document: 0001104659-26-082143-index-headers.html0001104659-26-082143
Document: 0001104659-26-082143-index.html0001104659-26-082143
Document: 0001104659-26-082143.txt0001104659-26-082143
37 reports for FSM
Performance horizon
60% Hit rate @ T+60 6 of 10 directional calls Went positive at some point 11 of 13 best @ T+20▲ +46.07%Jul 30, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for FSM — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 22, 2026
4d ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$9.52awaiting T+60—$9.30 (−2.31%)
Oct 20, 2026
6d ago
6-K
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$10.39awaiting T+60—$9.30 (−10.49%)
Oct 13, 2026
13d ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$10.58awaiting T+60—$9.30 (−12.10%)
Oct 8, 2026
18d ago
SC 13G/A
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$10.61awaiting T+60—$9.30 (−12.35%)
Oct 7, 2026
19d ago
6-K
MIXED ★ 5/10
$10.12awaiting T+60—$9.30 (−8.10%)
Sep 24, 2026
4w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$11.50awaiting T+60—$9.30 (−19.13%)
Aug 10, 2026
11w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$10.83awaiting T+60—$9.30 (−14.13%)
Aug 5, 2026
11w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$9.56awaiting T+60—$9.30 (+2.72%)
Jul 30, 2026
12w ago
6-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$8.77 $9.18▲ +4.67%▲ +2.21%$9.30 (+6.04%)
Jul 23, 2026
13w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$8.42 $10.54▲ +25.18%▲ +20.63%$9.30 (+10.45%)
Showing 10 of 37

US Market Status

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Report published Jul 9, 2026