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6-K ·Filed Oct 7, 2026

FSM

FORTUNA MINING CORP.
MIXED
Impact 5/10
Horizonweeks Processed20d 1h ago SEC0001104659-26-114293
Notable filing: 6-K
Actionable Insight ◆ Mixed

Watch for Q4 2026 production recovery at Seguela to first-half levels as management expects normalization. The Diamba Sud final investment decision in Q4 2026 and Seguela expansion timeline (completion Q3 2028) are key medium-term catalysts. Monitor Q4 operational update for confirmation that Seguela disruptions are resolved.

DirectionMixed
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+5d
FSM ▲ +0.49% at T+5d
NEUTRAL call +0.49% · α vs SPY +1.47% · entry $10.12 → $10.17
Next anchor: T+20d in 8d
Latest observation: T+12 -11.63% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Oct 7, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+4.84%
call +4.84% · α +5.27%
$10.61
settled 19d ago
T+5d
+0.49%
call +0.49% · α +1.47%
$10.17
settled 13d ago
T+20d
Pending
in 8d
T+60d
Pending
in 2mo

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Fortuna Mining reported Q3 2026 production of 69,665 gold equivalent ounces (GEO), down 4% from Q2 2026 (72,217 GEO) and 3.9% from Q3 2025 (72,462 GEO). The decline was driven by a 19% drop at the Seguela mine due to contractor equipment issues and a temporary artisanal miner blockade, partially offset by a 25% increase at Lindero. The company reaffirmed its 2026 annual guidance of 281,000-305,000 GEO and approved a $109 million 30% expansion of the Seguela plant targeting >200,000 oz/year from H2 2028. The production miss at the flagship Seguela mine is the key negative, while the growth capex and Lindero recovery provide offsets.

Key Facts

  • Q3 2026 GEO production of 69,665 oz vs 72,217 oz in Q2 2026 and 72,462 oz in Q3 2025
  • Seguela mine produced 33,744 oz gold in Q3, down 19% from 41,683 oz in Q2 due to contractor equipment issues and artisanal miner blockade
  • Lindero mine produced 26,024 oz gold, up 25% from 20,829 oz in Q2
  • Caylloma mine produced 9,897 GEO, up 2% from 9,705 GEO in Q2
  • Board approved $109 million budget for 30% Seguela plant expansion targeting >200,000 oz/year from H2 2028
  • 2026 annual production guidance reaffirmed at 281,000-305,000 GEO
  • First 9 months 2026 production totaled 214,754 GEO
  • Acquired 190 km² Bambadji gold project adjacent to Diamba Sud in Senegal

Financial Impact

Q3 production of 69,665 GEO vs 72,462 GEO YoY (-3.9%) and 72,217 GEO QoQ (-3.5%); $109 million growth capex approved for Seguela expansion

production volumecapital expenditureguidance

Risk Factors

  • Further operational disruptions at Seguela from contractor or artisanal miner issues
  • Execution risk on $109 million plant expansion and Sunbird underground project
  • Gold price volatility impacting GEO calculation and revenue
  • Diamba Sud project permitting and tax stability agreement delays

Investment Themes

Materials & Mining

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 5 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
6-K Filing (Primary)0001104659-26-114293
Document: tm2627214d1_6k.htm0001104659-26-114293
Document: 0001104659-26-114293-index-headers.html0001104659-26-114293
Document: 0001104659-26-114293-index.html0001104659-26-114293
Document: 0001104659-26-114293.txt0001104659-26-114293
37 reports for FSM
Performance horizon
60% Hit rate @ T+60 6 of 10 directional calls Went positive at some point 11 of 13 best @ T+20▲ +46.07%Jul 30, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for FSM — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 22, 2026
5d ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$9.52awaiting T+60—$9.52 (+0.05%)
Oct 20, 2026
7d ago
6-K
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$10.39awaiting T+60—$9.52 (−8.33%)
Oct 13, 2026
14d ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$10.58awaiting T+60—$9.52 (−9.97%)
Oct 8, 2026
19d ago
SC 13G/A
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$10.61awaiting T+60—$9.52 (−10.23%)
Oct 7, 2026
20d ago
6-K
MIXED ★ 5/10
$10.12awaiting T+60—$9.52 (−5.88%)
Sep 24, 2026
4w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$11.50awaiting T+60—$9.52 (−17.17%)
Aug 10, 2026
11w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$10.83awaiting T+60—$9.52 (−12.05%)
Aug 5, 2026
11w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$9.56awaiting T+60—$9.52 (+0.37%)
Jul 30, 2026
12w ago
6-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$8.77 $9.18▲ +4.67%▲ +2.21%$9.52 (+8.61%)
Jul 23, 2026
13w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$8.42 $10.54▲ +25.18%▲ +20.63%$9.52 (+13.12%)
Showing 10 of 37

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Report published Oct 7, 2026