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8-K ·Filed Apr 21, 2026

FOR

Forestar Group Inc.
MIXED
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed6mo ago SEC0001628280-26-026197
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight ◆ Mixed

The in-line earnings and maintained revenue guidance provide stability, but the reduced lot volume outlook signals ongoing demand pressure. Monitor whether the company can achieve its revenue target through higher pricing or mix shift in the second half. The strong liquidity position supports resilience but not growth acceleration.

DirectionMixed
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
FOR ▲ +15.63% at T+60d
NEUTRAL call +15.63% · α vs SPY +8.73% · entry $26.74 → $30.92
Entry = T+0 close
Apr 21, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+2.21%
call +2.21% · α +1.19%
$27.33
settled 6mo ago
T+5d
+5.05%
call +5.05% · α +3.96%
$28.09
settled 6mo ago
T+20d
-4.04%
call -4.04% · α -8.95%
$25.66
settled 5mo ago
T+60d
+15.63%
call +15.63% · α +8.73%
$30.92
settled 3mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Forestar reported Q2 FY2026 EPS of $0.63, matching consensus, on revenue of $374.3 million, a 7% YoY increase and slight beat versus estimates. However, the company lowered its full-year lot delivery guidance from 14,000-15,000 to 14,000-14,500 lots, while maintaining its $1.6B-$1.7B revenue outlook.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$0.63
est $0.63 · 0.0%
Revenue
$374.3M
est $373.7M · +0.2% · +6.7% YoY
Rating
in line
Guidance
$1.6 billion to $1.7 billion
maintained
Gross Margin
21.4%

Key Facts

  • Q2 EPS of $0.63 was in line with analyst consensus ($0.63).
  • Revenue of $374.3 million beat consensus by 0.2% ($373.7M) and increased 7% YoY.
  • Lot sales decreased 14% YoY to 2,938, with sales to non-D.R. Horton customers down 46.4%.
  • Company lowered full-year lot delivery guidance to 14,000-14,500 (from 14,000-15,000) due to market conditions.
  • Maintained full-year revenue guidance of $1.6B-$1.7B, citing pricing and project timing.
  • Liquidity increased to $1.0 billion, and net debt to total capital improved to 19.2%.

Financial Impact

Revenue increased 7% YoY to $374.3M, EPS held steady at $0.63. Full-year lot delivery guidance reduced by 500 units.

revenueepslot volumeguidance

Risk Factors

  • Reduced lot delivery guidance indicates persistent affordability constraints and cautious consumer sentiment.
  • Dependence on D.R. Horton (majority owner) for sales creates customer concentration risk.
  • Residential housing market downturn could further impact lot demand and pricing.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Real Estate

Investment Themes

Real Estate

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001628280-26-026197
Document: for-20260421.htm0001628280-26-026197
Document: 0001628280-26-026197-index-headers.html0001628280-26-026197
Document: 0001628280-26-026197-index.html0001628280-26-026197
Document: 0001628280-26-026197.txt0001628280-26-026197
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001628280-26-026197
3 reports for FOR
Performance horizon

Track record builds as more directional reports settle.

Filters
Rows
Reports for FOR — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Jul 21, 2026
13w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$27.02 $25.41▲ +5.96%▲ +9.93%$25.98 (+3.85%)
Jun 26, 2026
17w ago
Institutional Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$31.94 $26.38▼ −17.41%▼ −21.89%$25.98 (−18.66%)
Apr 21, 2026
26w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 6/10
$26.74 $30.92▲ +15.63%▲ +8.73%$25.98 (−2.84%)
Showing 3 of 3

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Wed (10h 10m)

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Report published Apr 21, 2026