The director buy is a modest positive signal, but the CFO sale and mixed historical calibration suggest caution. Monitor for any 8-K or press release in the next 2-4 weeks that could explain the director's conviction. If the stock holds above $6.85 support, the buy may indicate perceived undervaluation; a break below could invalidate the signal.
Price Chart
Executive Summary
Funko, Inc. (FNKO) insider cluster shows a mixed signal: Director Charles Denson made a $500K open-market purchase at $6.85/share, while CFO Yves Le Pendeven sold $28K worth of shares three days later. The buy represents 0.13% of market cap — modest but notable for a director-level conviction buy. The CFO sale is trivial in size (0.007% of market cap) and likely liquidity-driven. The cluster is net mixed but the buy side carries more weight per academic literature on insider buys vs. sells. Historical calibration on FNKO reports shows poor T+5 performance (-6.79% avg) but slightly positive T+20 (+1.46% avg) with a 43% win rate, suggesting the stock tends to reverse after initial weakness. Score calibration shows score-6 has near-50% observed probability, supporting a moderate score. The cross-filing actuarial verdicts flag 'cluster-insider-trades + cluster-press-context' as an amplifier, but no press context is present here — no override applied. The buy is a positive signal from a director, but the CFO sale and mixed historical calibration temper conviction. Monitor for upcoming earnings or strategic announcements that may have prompted the director's purchase.
Key Financial Metrics
Key Facts
- Director Charles Denson purchased 72,992 shares at $6.85 for ~$500K on 2026-08-24
- CFO Yves Le Pendeven sold 4,000 shares at $7.00 for ~$28K on 2026-08-27
- Net cluster value: ~$528K, net direction mixed (buy $500K, sell $28K)
- Buy represents 0.13% of FNKO's $377M market cap — modest but notable
- CFO sale is 0.007% of market cap — trivial, likely liquidity/vesting-driven
- Historical FNKO reports show avg T+20 P&L +1.46% but 43% win rate — mixed track record
Financial Impact
Director buy of $500K at 0.13% of market cap; CFO sale of $28K at 0.007% of market cap
Risk Factors
- Director buy is only 0.13% of market cap — not a massive signal
- CFO sale, though small, adds noise and may indicate insider caution
- Historical FNKO reports show poor T+5 performance (-6.79% avg) — near-term downside risk
- Mixed calibration (43% win rate at T+20) suggests the stock may not follow the signal directionally
Market Snapshot
Investment Themes
Documents Analyzed
This report is based on 1 SEC document filed with EDGAR.
| Document | Accession Number |
|---|---|
| CLUSTER Data (Synthetic) | cluster-FNKO-1787947505979 |
Filters
| Type | Now | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sep 4, 2026 27d ago | Insider Cluster | $5.68 $5.34 | ▲ +5.99% | ▲ +4.87% | $5.86 (−3.17%) |
Sep 3, 2026 28d ago | Insider Cluster | $5.68 $5.44 | ▼ −4.23% | ▼ −3.02% | $5.86 (+3.17%) |
Aug 28, 2026 5w ago | Insider Cluster | $6.72 $5.68 | ▼ −15.48% | ▼ −15.33% | $5.86 (−12.80%) |
Aug 26, 2026 5w ago | Insider Buy | $6.74 $5.69 | ▼ −15.58% | ▼ −15.85% | $5.86 (−13.06%) |
Jun 11, 2026 16w ago | Institutional Cluster | $5.42 $5.09 | ▼ −6.09% | ▼ −6.52% | $5.86 (+8.12%) |
Jun 11, 2026 16w ago | Institutional Cluster | $5.42 $5.09 | ▼ −6.09% | ▼ −6.52% | $5.86 (+8.12%) |
May 7, 2026 21w ago | 8-K | $5.26 $5.11 | ▼ −2.85% | ▼ −4.32% | $5.86 (+11.41%) |
Feb 28, 2026 30w ago | Institutional Cluster | $4.69 $4.51 | ▼ −3.84% | ▼ −2.63% | $5.86 (+24.95%) |
US Market Status
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