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EFFECT ·Filed May 22, 2026

FLDDW

Fold Holdings, Inc.
NEUTRAL
Impact 4/10
Horizondays Processed5mo ago SEC9999999995-26-001725
IPO/offering going effective
Actionable Insight • Neutral

The shelf is now live — monitor for a takedown notice (424B5) indicating SATS Credit Fund L.P. has begun selling. At ~2.1% of float, the overhang is modest but could pressure the stock if selling is concentrated. No immediate catalyst for the warrant (FLDDW) from this filing alone.

DirectionNeutral
Confidencehigh
Horizondays
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
FLDDW ▼ -47.37% at T+60d
NEUTRAL call -47.37% · α vs SPY -50.56% · entry $0.1579 → $0.0831
Entry = T+0 close
May 22, 2026
via day close
T+1d
0.00%
call 0.00% · α -0.59%
$0.1579
settled 5mo ago
T+5d
0.00%
call 0.00% · α -1.66%
$0.1579
settled 5mo ago
T+20d
-0.01%
call -0.01% · α +1.40%
$0.1579
settled 4mo ago
T+60d
-47.37%
call -47.37% · α -50.56%
$0.0831
settled 2mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

The SEC declared effective the S-3 registration statement (File No. 333-295641) filed by Fold Holdings, Inc. on May 7, 2026. This allows the resale of up to 1,040,000 shares of common stock by SATS Credit Fund L.P., representing ~2.1% of outstanding shares, which were issued as commitment shares for a $13M promissory note. The company receives no proceeds from the resale, but the effectiveness removes the final regulatory barrier to selling, creating a modest overhang for the common stock.

Key Facts

  • Effectiveness date: May 21, 2026
  • Shelf registration (S-3) for resale of 1,040,000 shares of common stock by SATS Credit Fund L.P.
  • Shares represent approximately 2.1% of outstanding shares
  • Shares were issued as commitment shares for a $13M senior unsecured promissory note bearing 10% interest
  • Company will not receive any proceeds from the resale
  • The S-3 was filed on May 7, 2026, and became effective in 14 days

Financial Impact

Up to 1,040,000 shares (approx. 2.1% of outstanding) may be sold into the market; no proceeds to the company.

dilutionshare count

Risk Factors

  • Resale of 1.04M shares could create selling pressure on the common stock
  • No company proceeds from the offering — no capital infusion benefit
  • Warrant holders may see indirect dilution if common stock price declines

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Finance Services

Investment Themes

Traditional Finance

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 3 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
EFFECT Filing (Primary)9999999995-26-001725
Document: 9999999995-26-001725-index.html9999999995-26-001725
Document: 9999999995-26-001725.txt9999999995-26-001725
5 reports for FLDDW
Performance horizon

Track record builds as more directional reports settle.

Filters
Rows
Reports for FLDDW — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Jun 3, 2026
20w ago
EFFECT
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$0.1579 $0.0776▼ −50.85%▼ −53.35%—
May 22, 2026
22w ago
EFFECT
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$0.1579 $0.0831▼ −47.37%▼ −50.56%—
May 12, 2026
23w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$0.1579 $0.0899▲ +43.07%▲ +47.50%—
May 7, 2026
24w ago
S-3
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$0.1579awaiting T+60——
Apr 20, 2026
27w ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$0.1579 $0.0780▼ −50.60%▼ −57.38%—
Showing 5 of 5

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Report published May 22, 2026