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EFFECT ·Filed Jun 3, 2026

FLDDW

Fold Holdings, Inc.
NEUTRAL
Impact 4/10
Horizonweeks Processed4mo ago SEC9999999995-26-001834
IPO/offering going effective
Actionable Insight • Neutral

The shelf is now live, meaning SATS Credit Fund can sell its shares at any time. For FLDDW warrant holders, this introduces a modest overhang as common shares could be sold into the market, potentially capping upside. Monitor for any Form 4 filings from SATS indicating actual sales.

DirectionNeutral
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
FLDDW ▼ -50.85% at T+60d
NEUTRAL call -50.85% · α vs SPY -53.35% · entry $0.1579 → $0.0776
Entry = T+0 close
Jun 3, 2026
via day close
T+1d
0.00%
call 0.00% · α -0.40%
$0.1579
settled 5mo ago
T+5d
-0.01%
call -0.01% · α +3.81%
$0.1579
settled 5mo ago
T+20d
-38.76%
call -38.76% · α -37.76%
$0.0967
settled 4mo ago
T+60d
-50.85%
call -50.85% · α -53.35%
$0.0776
settled 2mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

The SEC declared effective Fold Holdings' S-3 registration (File 333-286294) on June 2, 2026, enabling the resale of up to 1,040,000 common shares by SATS Credit Fund L.P. These shares were issued as commitment shares for a $13M promissory note. The company receives no proceeds, but the effective shelf creates potential overhang for the warrant (FLDDW).

Key Facts

  • Effectiveness date: June 2, 2026 for S-3 File No. 333-286294
  • Shelf registers up to 1,040,000 common shares for resale by SATS Credit Fund L.P.
  • Shares were issued as commitment shares for a $13M senior unsecured promissory note at 10% interest
  • Company receives no proceeds from the resale
  • Shares represent approximately 2.1% of outstanding common stock
  • FLDDW is a warrant — the shelf covers common shares, not warrants directly, but warrant holders may face dilution overhang

Financial Impact

Up to 1,040,000 common shares (≈2.1% of outstanding) now eligible for resale; no cash proceeds to company

dilutionoverhang

Risk Factors

  • Resale of registered shares could pressure common stock price, indirectly affecting warrant valuation
  • No company proceeds from resale — no operational benefit to offset dilution
  • Small market cap ($5M) amplifies impact of even modest share sales

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Finance Services

Investment Themes

Traditional Finance

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 3 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
EFFECT Filing (Primary)9999999995-26-001834
Document: 9999999995-26-001834-index.html9999999995-26-001834
Document: 9999999995-26-001834.txt9999999995-26-001834
5 reports for FLDDW
Performance horizon

Track record builds as more directional reports settle.

Filters
Rows
Reports for FLDDW — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Jun 3, 2026
20w ago
EFFECT
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$0.1579 $0.0776▼ −50.85%▼ −53.35%—
May 22, 2026
22w ago
EFFECT
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$0.1579 $0.0831▼ −47.37%▼ −50.56%—
May 12, 2026
23w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$0.1579 $0.0899▲ +43.07%▲ +47.50%—
May 7, 2026
24w ago
S-3
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$0.1579awaiting T+60——
Apr 20, 2026
27w ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$0.1579 $0.0780▼ −50.60%▼ −57.38%—
Showing 5 of 5

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Report published Jun 3, 2026