8-K ·Filed May 4, 2026

FANG

Diamondback Energy, Inc.
BULLISH
Impact 7/10
Horizondays Processed5mo ago SEC0001539838-26-000073
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

The strong operational beat and raised production guidance are likely to drive near-term bullish momentum, especially given the expanded buyback authorization. Monitor oil price outlook (the company increased capex by $150M to $3.9B) for potential margin pressure. The dividend increase and debt reduction provide downside support.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizondays
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
FANG ▼ -2.74% at T+60d
LONG call ✗ call lost -2.74% · α vs SPY -5.22% · entry $205.40 → $199.77
Entry anchored
May 4, 2026
via day open
T+1d
-5.06%
call -5.06% · α -6.45%
$195.00
settled 5mo ago
T+5d
-3.77%
call -3.77% · α -5.75%
$197.66
settled 5mo ago
T+20d
-1.46%
call -1.46% · α -6.41%
$202.40
settled 4mo ago
T+60d
-2.74%
call -2.74% · α -5.22%
$199.77
settled 2mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Diamondback Energy reported Q1 2026 adjusted EPS of $4.23, 19% above consensus of $3.55, and raised full-year oil production guidance to 520+ MBOd (from 500-510). Despite a $1.4B non-cash impairment weighing on GAAP net income ($0.08/share), strong underlying operations generated $1.7B of free cash flow, supporting a 5% dividend increase and opportunistic share repurchases. The raised production outlook and capital return signal confidence in the Permian Basin growth trajectory.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$4.23
est $3.55 · +19.1%
Rating
strong beat
Free Cash Flow
$1.7B

Key Facts

  • Adjusted EPS $4.23 vs consensus $3.55 (+19% beat)
  • Oil production averaged 521 MBOd, above guidance range of 502-512 MBOd
  • Raised full-year oil production guidance to 520+ MBOd (from 500-510), total BOE to 972+ (from 926-962)
  • Free cash flow of $1.7 billion; adjusted free cash flow also $1.7 billion
  • Increased Q1 2026 base dividend 5% to $1.10/share, now $4.40 annualized (+10% YoY)
  • Repurchased 3.3 million shares for $548 million in Q1; $2.1B remaining on $8.0B authorization
  • Consolidated net debt reduced by ~$0.7B sequentially to $13.9B; retired $777M of senior notes at 81.1% of par
  • GAAP net income of $25M due to $1.4B non-cash impairment (SEC price deck driven); company expects this to be the last impairment from price rollthrough

Financial Impact

Beat consensus on adjusted EPS by 19% ($4.23 vs $3.55); Q1 free cash flow $1.7B, implying ~$2.9B annualized; raised production guidance implies 5% organic YoY growth

epsproductionfree_cash_flowdividenddebt

Risk Factors

  • Higher full-year capex ($3.9B) could pressure cash flow if oil prices decline
  • Commodity price volatility remains the primary risk; the company's hedge book provides limited coverage beyond Q2 2026
  • GAAP net income heavily impacted by impairments; future SEC price deck changes could trigger further charges

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas
Analyst Consensus
93% bullish (40 analysts)

Investment Themes

Traditional Energy

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 7 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001539838-26-000073
Document: diamondbackex992-5x4x26.htm0001539838-26-000073
Document: fang-20260504.htm0001539838-26-000073
Document: 0001539838-26-000073-index-headers.html0001539838-26-000073
Document: 0001539838-26-000073-index.html0001539838-26-000073
Document: 0001539838-26-000073.txt0001539838-26-000073
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001539838-26-000073
26 reports for FANG
Performance horizon
89% Hit rate 8 of 9 directional calls best @ T+20▲ +12.34%Jun 5, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for FANG — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Aug 24, 2026
5w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$205.60 $189.27▼ −7.94%▼ −7.96%$183.90 (−10.55%)
Aug 17, 2026
6w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$210.02 $194.76▼ −7.27%▼ −6.28%$183.90 (−12.43%)
Aug 3, 2026
8w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$191.87 $202.91▲ +5.75%▲ +6.99%$183.90 (−4.15%)
Jun 30, 2026
13w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$171.96 $199.13▲ +15.80%▲ +17.99%$183.90 (+6.95%)
Jun 16, 2026
15w ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$185.48 $190.13▲ +2.51%▲ +1.19%$183.90 (−0.85%)
Jun 15, 2026
15w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$188.12 $190.69▲ +1.37%▲ +1.17%$183.90 (−2.24%)
Jun 10, 2026
16w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 8/10
$191.59 $182.00▲ +5.01%▲ +6.90%$183.90 (+4.01%)
Jun 8, 2026
16w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$194.24 $180.56▲ +7.04%▲ +8.49%$183.90 (+5.32%)
Jun 5, 2026
16w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$198.20 $173.73▲ +12.34%▲ +13.98%$183.90 (+7.21%)
Jun 4, 2026
17w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$192.62 $173.73▼ −9.81%▼ −11.67%$183.90 (−4.52%)
Showing 10 of 26

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