6-K ·Filed Jul 17, 2026

EVAX

Evaxion A/S
BULLISH
Impact 7/10
Horizonmonths Processed2mo ago SEC0001171843-26-004747
Notable filing: 6-K
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

The ESMO presentation in October is the next major catalyst. Traders should watch for abstract release and any pre-ESMO data leaks. The stand-alone therapy data is particularly important as it could de-risk the asset from combination dependency and open a larger addressable market. Given the $26M market cap and 90% analyst bullish consensus, positive data could drive significant upside, but the stock has historically sold off on news (0% win rate at T+20). Consider taking profits into the event or using tight stops.

DirectionBullish
Confidencemedium
Horizonmonths
Latest settled — T+20d ⚠ clustered
EVAX ▲ +8.62% at T+20d
LONG call ✓ call won +8.62% · α vs SPY +4.17% · entry $3.08 → $3.34
Next anchor: T+60d in 10d
Latest observation: T+51 +52.65% FF3 residual α
Entry anchored
Jul 16, 03:18 PM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
-4.39%
call -4.39% · α -4.23%
$2.94
settled 2mo ago
T+5d
-0.81%
call -0.81% · α -0.13%
$3.05
settled 2mo ago
T+20d
+8.62%
call +8.62% · α +4.17%
$3.34
settled 7w ago
T+60d
—
call — · α —
—
in 10d

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Evaxion announced it will present three-year clinical efficacy data for its personalized cancer vaccine EVX-01 at the ESMO Congress in October 2026. The data from a phase 2 trial extension will show EVX-01's effect as a stand-alone therapy in advanced melanoma patients, building on previously reported two-year results showing a 75% objective response rate and durable responses. The presentation is a key catalyst for the stock, as positive data could support partnership discussions and late-stage development plans for this lead asset.

Key Facts

  • Evaxion will present three-year clinical efficacy data for personalized cancer vaccine EVX-01 at the ESMO Congress 2026 (October 23-27, 2026) in Madrid.
  • The data comes from a one-year extension of the phase 2 trial where patients received EVX-01 as stand-alone therapy (without anti-PD-1 combination).
  • Previously reported two-year data showed a 75% Objective Response Rate (ORR) with 12 of 16 patients responding, including 4 complete responses, and 92% of patients still responding at two years with no relapses.
  • EVX-01 induced an immune response in all patients, with 86% of targeted neoantigens generating potent T-cell responses.
  • The global market for melanoma treatments is estimated to grow to $7.4 billion by 2029.

Financial Impact

No financial figures provided; the event is a clinical data presentation at a major medical congress, which could materially impact partnership and valuation prospects for the lead asset EVX-01.

Risk Factors

  • Historical performance shows EVAX has a 0% win rate at T+20 across prior reports, indicating the stock tends to sell off after news events.
  • The phase 2 trial has only 16 patients — small sample size limits statistical significance and replicability.
  • The company is pre-revenue and needs additional capital, as noted in forward-looking statement risk factors.
  • Data is not yet released; the presentation is three months away, leaving room for negative pre-event drift or disappointing results.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Biological Products, (No Diagnostic Substances)
Analyst Consensus
90% bullish (10 analysts)

Investment Themes

Biotech & Drug Discovery

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 5 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
6-K Filing (Primary)0001171843-26-004747
Document: f6k_071726.htm0001171843-26-004747
Document: 0001171843-26-004747-index-headers.html0001171843-26-004747
Document: 0001171843-26-004747-index.html0001171843-26-004747
Document: 0001171843-26-004747.txt0001171843-26-004747
36 reports for EVAX
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate 8 of 8 directional calls best @ T+5▲ +22.94%Mar 5, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for EVAX — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 14, 2026
18d ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$3.07 $3.21▲ +4.56%▲ +4.45%$3.21 (+4.63%)
Sep 4, 2026
28d ago
6-K
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$3.12 $3.07▲ +1.60%▲ +0.39%$3.21 (−2.96%)
Aug 20, 2026
6w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$3.28 $3.15▼ −3.96%▼ −5.08%$3.21 (−2.07%)
Aug 20, 2026
6w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$3.28 $3.15▼ −3.96%▼ −5.08%$3.21 (−2.07%)
Aug 17, 2026
6w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$3.13 $3.40▲ +8.63%▲ +9.82%$3.21 (+2.63%)
Aug 14, 2026
7w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$3.34 $3.31▼ −0.90%▲ +0.47%$3.21 (−3.83%)
Aug 14, 2026
7w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$3.34 $3.31▼ −0.90%▲ +0.47%$3.21 (−3.83%)
Jul 17, 2026
11w ago
6-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$3.08 $3.05▼ −0.81%▼ −0.13%$3.21 (+4.46%)
Jul 17, 2026
11w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$3.08 $3.05▼ −0.81%▼ −0.13%$3.21 (+4.46%)
Jul 13, 2026
11w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$3.02 $3.08▲ +1.82%▲ +2.61%$3.21 (+6.36%)
Showing 10 of 36

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