Institutional Cluster

ERAS

Erasca, Inc.
NEUTRAL
Impact 3/10
Horizonweeks Processed3mo ago
Institutional cluster: 4 buyers, 1 sellers (bullish)
Actionable Insight • Neutral

The institutional cluster is dominated by passive/index managers, suggesting index rebalancing rather than a fundamental catalyst. Monitor for active manager accumulation or a specific catalyst (e.g., clinical trial data, partnership) to confirm a bullish thesis. The Two Sigma near-exit is a minor contrarian signal but not material given its small position size.

DirectionNeutral
Confidencemedium
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
ERAS ▲ +15.56% at T+60d
NEUTRAL call ✓ call won +15.56% · α vs SPY +11.16% · entry $14.01 → $16.19
Entry anchored
Jun 11, 02:02 PM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
+0.29%
call +0.29% · α -0.26%
$14.05
settled 4mo ago
T+5d
-0.21%
call -0.21% · α -0.65%
$13.98
settled 4mo ago
T+20d
+36.90%
call +36.90% · α +35.01%
$19.18
settled 3mo ago
T+60d
+15.56%
call +15.56% · α +11.16%
$16.19
settled 24d ago

Executive Summary

Four institutional investors, led by State Street and Morgan Stanley, added $20.7M in ERAS positions during Q4 2025, while Two Sigma nearly exited its stake. The cluster is dominated by passive/index managers, suggesting index rebalancing or passive fund flows rather than an active fundamental thesis. The net buying is modest relative to ERAS's $4.2B market cap.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
accumulating
Buy Value
$33.4M
Sell Value
$758.0K
Net Flow
$20.1M

Institutional Positions

Net institutional flow: $20.1M

▲ Buyers (4)

InstitutionActionChangePosition ValueValue Δ
State StreetADD+53.2%$23.0M$14.2M
Morgan StanleyDOUBLED+201.6%$3.0M$2.4M
Dimensional Fund AdvisorsADD+29.4%$6.6M$3.6M
Wells FargoADD+38.8%$819.0K$473.0K

▼ Sellers (1)

InstitutionActionChangePrev ValueValue Δ
Two SigmaNEAR_EXIT-89.1%$758.0K-$616.7K

Key Facts

  • 4 buyers added $20.7M in net new positions; 1 seller reduced by $617K
  • State Street increased its stake by 53.2% to $23.0M (largest buyer)
  • Morgan Stanley doubled its position (+201.6%) to $3.0M
  • Two Sigma nearly exited (-89.1%), reducing from $758K to $141K
  • 3 of 4 buyers are mega-passive managers (State Street, Wells Fargo, Morgan Stanley); 1 is an asset manager (Dimensional Fund Advisors)
  • The cluster is dominated by passive/index fund flows, not active fundamental conviction

Financial Impact

4 institutions accumulated $20.7M in new positions while 1 reduced holdings by $617K; net institutional inflow of ~$20.1M

institutional ownershipfloat

Risk Factors

  • Passive-dominated cluster may not reflect active fundamental conviction
  • 13F data is 45+ days stale; positions may have been unwound
  • Two Sigma's near-exit could indicate negative proprietary research

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Pharmaceutical Preparations
Analyst Consensus
82% bullish (17 analysts)

Investment Themes

Biotech & Drug Discovery

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 institutional 13F filing from SEC EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
INST-CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)inst-cluster-ERAS-2025-Q4
21 reports for ERAS
Performance horizon
89% Hit rate 8 of 9 directional calls best @ T+60▲ +95.35%Apr 27, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for ERAS — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Aug 24, 2026
5w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$17.60 $15.55▼ −11.65%▼ −12.96%—
Aug 17, 2026
6w ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$18.28 $16.16▼ −11.60%▼ −10.07%—
Aug 13, 2026
7w ago
Institutional Cluster
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$17.86 $15.88▼ −11.09%▼ −9.34%—
Aug 12, 2026
7w ago
3
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$17.86 $15.88▼ −11.09%▼ −9.34%—
Aug 11, 2026
7w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$18.58 $16.03▼ −13.72%▼ −11.83%—
Jul 22, 2026
10w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$19.51 $18.07▲ +7.38%▲ +10.28%—
Jul 14, 2026
11w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 6/10
$21.26 $18.58▼ −12.61%▼ −14.95%—
Jul 14, 2026
11w ago
424B5
MIXED ★ 6/10
$21.26 $18.58▼ −12.61%▼ −14.95%—
Jul 14, 2026
11w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$19.50 $18.31▲ +6.10%▲ +8.59%—
Jul 13, 2026
11w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$19.50 $18.31▼ −6.10%▼ −8.59%—
Showing 10 of 21

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Report published Jun 11, 2026