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8-K ·Filed Aug 18, 2026

EPSN

Epsilon Energy Ltd.
NEUTRAL
Impact 4/10
Horizonmonths Processed2mo ago SEC0001104659-26-098127
8-K context-dependent: Items 7.01
Actionable Insight • Neutral

Monitor Q3 2026 operational updates for PRB Parkman well results and Permian Barnett drilling progress, as these represent the near-term catalysts for production inflection. The FY 2026 guidance midpoint implies 18% sequential total production growth and 194% oil production growth from Q2 actuals, making execution against these targets the key near-term trading catalyst.

DirectionNeutral
Confidencemedium
Horizonmonths
Latest settled — T+20d
EPSN ▲ +3.87% at T+20d
NEUTRAL call +3.87% · α vs SPY +5.62% · entry $5.68 → $5.90
Next anchor: T+60d in 14d
Latest observation: T+47 +16.11% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Aug 18, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-1.76%
call -1.76% · α -1.97%
$5.58
settled 2mo ago
T+5d
+1.94%
call +1.94% · α +2.14%
$5.79
settled 2mo ago
T+20d
+3.87%
call +3.87% · α +5.62%
$5.90
settled 6w ago
T+60d
Pending
in 14d

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Epsilon Energy issued its August 2026 corporate presentation, providing updated FY 2026 production and capital guidance alongside a multi-basin growth strategy. The presentation targets >20% annual production CAGR through 2028 while maintaining leverage below 1.5x, with near-term catalysts including operated PRB activity, Permian Barnett acceleration, and increased Marcellus midstream throughput. This is a routine investor relations update with no new financial results or material changes to previously disclosed strategy.

Key Facts

  • FY 2026 midpoint production guidance of 38.4 MMcfe/d total and 1,795 Bbl/d oil, representing +13% and +30% growth vs Q2 2026 actuals respectively
  • FY 2026 total capital budget of $42.0-$47.0 million, with 72% allocated to D&C
  • Q2 2026 net total production of 33.9 MMcfe/d (25% oil) and net oil production of 1,380 Bbl/d
  • Leverage of 0.9x LTM EBITDA as of June 30, 2026
  • Enterprise value of $208 million based on $5.94/share closing price on August 12, 2026
  • Plan to drive >20% annual production CAGR (per share basis) over 2026-2028 while maintaining leverage below 1.5x
  • 115 net priority drilling locations with average returns of 45% IRR at $70 WTI/$3.50 HH
  • Regular annual dividend of $0.25 per share

Financial Impact

FY 2026 capital program of $42-47 million; midpoint production guidance of 38.4 MMcfe/d total and 1,795 Bbl/d oil

productioncapital expenditureleverage

Risk Factors

  • Execution risk on operated PRB development program
  • Commodity price sensitivity to oil and natural gas prices
  • Dependence on non-operated partner activity in Permian and Marcellus

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas
Analyst Consensus
86% bullish (7 analysts)

Investment Themes

Traditional Energy

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 5 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001104659-26-098127
Document: epsn-20260817xex99d1.htm0001104659-26-098127
Document: 0001104659-26-098127-index-headers.html0001104659-26-098127
Document: 0001104659-26-098127-index.html0001104659-26-098127
Document: 0001104659-26-098127.txt0001104659-26-098127
13 reports for EPSN
Performance horizon
33% Hit rate @ T+20 1 of 3 directional calls Went positive at some point 1 of 3 best @ T+20▲ +0.66%Sep 21, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for EPSN — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 21, 2026
5w ago
Insider Buy
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$6.06 $6.10▲ +0.66%▲ +1.22%$6.33 (+4.46%)
Sep 14, 2026
6w ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$6.16 $6.00▼ −2.60%▼ −5.58%$6.33 (+2.76%)
Sep 4, 2026
7w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$6.18 $6.06▼ −1.94%▼ −2.54%$6.33 (+2.43%)
Aug 18, 2026
10w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$5.68 $5.90▲ +3.87%▲ +5.62%$6.33 (+11.44%)
Aug 13, 2026
10w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$5.32 $6.34▲ +19.17%▲ +20.92%$6.33 (+18.98%)
Aug 12, 2026
10w ago
Press Release
MIXED ★ 6/10
$5.32 $6.34▲ +19.17%▲ +20.92%$6.33 (+18.98%)
Aug 12, 2026
10w ago
Press Release
MIXED ★ 6/10
$5.32 $6.34▲ +19.17%▲ +20.92%$6.33 (+18.98%)
Jun 18, 2026
18w ago
424B5
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$5.21 $5.52▼ −5.95%▼ −6.10%$6.33 (−21.50%)
Jun 1, 2026
21w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$5.81 $5.45▼ −6.20%▼ −4.63%$6.33 (+8.95%)
May 29, 2026
21w ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$5.83 $5.41▼ −7.20%▼ −5.91%$6.33 (+8.58%)
Showing 10 of 13

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Thu (10h 1m)

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Report published Aug 18, 2026