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8-K ·Filed Aug 13, 2026

EPSN

Epsilon Energy Ltd.
NEUTRAL
Impact 5/10
Horizonmonths Processed2mo ago SEC0001104659-26-095564
8-K context-dependent: Items 7.01
Actionable Insight • Neutral

The guidance implies a significant ramp in oil production, which is credit-positive for a small-cap E&P. Monitor Q3 2026 operational results to see if the company hits its production targets, particularly the new Parkman wells in the PRB.

DirectionNeutral
Confidencemedium
Horizonmonths
Latest settled — T+20d ⚠ clustered
EPSN ▲ +19.17% at T+20d
NEUTRAL call +19.17% · α vs SPY +20.92% · entry $5.32 → $6.34
Next anchor: T+60d in 10d
Latest observation: T+50 +10.36% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Aug 13, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+4.89%
call +4.89% · α +5.09%
$5.58
settled 2mo ago
T+5d
+6.20%
call +6.20% · α +8.17%
$5.65
settled 2mo ago
T+20d
+19.17%
call +19.17% · α +20.92%
$6.34
settled 7w ago
T+60d
Pending
in 10d

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Epsilon Energy issued Q3 and FY2026 production and capital guidance. The midpoint of FY2026 total production guidance implies 18% sequential growth, with oil production up 194%, driven by a $42-47M capital program focused on drilling and facilities in the Powder River Basin and Permian. This is a forward-looking operational update with no historical financials or earnings data, making it a neutral event with moderate impact given the strong growth trajectory outlined.

Key Facts

  • FY2026 total production midpoint guidance of 13,740-14,280 MMcfe, representing 18% sequential growth.
  • FY2026 oil production midpoint guidance of 640-670 MBbl, representing 194% sequential growth.
  • FY2026 total capital expenditure guidance of $42.0-47.0 million.
  • Q3 2026 total production midpoint guidance of 3,270-3,510 MMcfe, representing 10% sequential growth.
  • Q3 2026 oil production midpoint guidance of 155-165 MBbl, representing 27% sequential growth.
  • 2H2026 capital program includes drilling 3 gross (2.1 net) Parkman wells in the PRB and 2 gross (0.5 net) Barnett wells in the Permian, plus completion of 5 gross (0.4 net) Marcellus wells.

Financial Impact

FY2026 capital program of $42-47M; no revenue or earnings guidance provided.

productioncapital expenditure

Risk Factors

  • Execution risk on the 2H2026 drilling and completion program, especially the new Parkman wells in the PRB.
  • Commodity price volatility could impact the economics of the planned capital program.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas
Analyst Consensus
86% bullish (7 analysts)

Investment Themes

Traditional Energy

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 5 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001104659-26-095564
Document: epsn-20260813xex99d1.htm0001104659-26-095564
Document: 0001104659-26-095564-index-headers.html0001104659-26-095564
Document: 0001104659-26-095564-index.html0001104659-26-095564
Document: 0001104659-26-095564.txt0001104659-26-095564
13 reports for EPSN
Performance horizon
33% Hit rate @ T+20 1 of 3 directional calls Went positive at some point 1 of 3 best @ T+20▲ +0.66%Sep 21, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for EPSN — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 21, 2026
5w ago
Insider Buy
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$6.06 $6.10▲ +0.66%▲ +1.22%$6.37 (+5.12%)
Sep 14, 2026
6w ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$6.16 $6.00▼ −2.60%▼ −5.58%$6.37 (+3.41%)
Sep 4, 2026
7w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$6.18 $6.06▼ −1.94%▼ −2.54%$6.37 (+3.07%)
Aug 18, 2026
9w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$5.68 $5.90▲ +3.87%▲ +5.62%$6.37 (+12.15%)
Aug 13, 2026
10w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$5.32 $6.34▲ +19.17%▲ +20.92%$6.37 (+19.74%)
Aug 12, 2026
10w ago
Press Release
MIXED ★ 6/10
$5.32 $6.34▲ +19.17%▲ +20.92%$6.37 (+19.74%)
Aug 12, 2026
10w ago
Press Release
MIXED ★ 6/10
$5.32 $6.34▲ +19.17%▲ +20.92%$6.37 (+19.74%)
Jun 18, 2026
18w ago
424B5
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$5.21 $5.52▼ −5.95%▼ −6.10%$6.37 (−22.26%)
Jun 1, 2026
21w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$5.81 $5.45▼ −6.20%▼ −4.63%$6.37 (+9.64%)
May 29, 2026
21w ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$5.83 $5.41▼ −7.20%▼ −5.91%$6.37 (+9.26%)
Showing 10 of 13

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Wed (10h 10m)

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Report published Aug 13, 2026