Institutional Cluster

EMBJ

EMBRAER S.A.
MIXED
Impact 5/10
Horizonweeks Processed1mo ago
Institutional cluster: 10 buyers, 9 sellers (mixed)
Actionable Insight ◆ Mixed

The near-zero net flow masks a sharp divergence: JPMorgan and Swedbank are building large positions while Jennison and Dimensional are exiting. Monitor for a catalyst (e.g., earnings, defense contract, or order book update) that could resolve this standoff. The absence of insider buying weakens the bullish thesis from the buyer cluster.

DirectionMixed
Confidencemedium
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+20d ⚠ clustered
EMBJ ▲ +1.71% at T+20d
NEUTRAL call ✓ call won +1.71% · α vs SPY +3.46% · entry $74.22 → $75.49
Next anchor: T+60d in 5w
Latest observation: T+32 -1.52% FF3 residual α
Entry anchored
Aug 13, 2026
via day open
T+1d
+1.56%
call +1.56% · α +1.76%
$75.38
settled 7w ago
T+5d
+1.16%
call +1.16% · α +3.12%
$75.08
settled 6w ago
T+20d
+1.71%
call +1.71% · α +3.46%
$75.49
settled 21d ago
T+60d
—
call — · α —
—
in 5w

Executive Summary

EMBRAJ saw a mixed institutional cluster in Q2 2026: 10 buyers accumulated $210.2M in new positions, while 9 sellers reduced holdings by $207.4M, resulting in near-zero net dollar flow. The buying was led by JPMorgan (ADD, +$126.2M), Swedbank (NEW, $67.0M), and BlackRock (DOUBLED, +$9.3M), while the selling was dominated by Jennison Associates (TRIM, -$145.1M) and Dimensional Fund Advisors (TRIM, -$40.4M). The cluster is split between active managers and mega-passive funds, with no insider buying corroboration, suggesting the stock is in a tug-of-war between conviction buyers and profit-takers.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
mixed
Buy Value
$463.2M
Sell Value
$207.4M
Net Flow
$832.3K

Institutional Positions

Net institutional flow: $832.3K

▲ Buyers (10)

InstitutionActionChangePosition ValueValue Δ
JPMorganADD+37.2%$362.8M$126.2M
Swedbank AbNEW—$67.0M$67.0M
BlackRockDOUBLED+103.4%$17.2M$9.3M

▼ Sellers (9)

InstitutionActionChangePrev ValueValue Δ
Jennison AssociatesTRIM-49.2%$319.5M-$145.1M
Dimensional Fund AdvisorsTRIM-60%$71.0M-$40.4M
AssetmarkTRIM-32.4%$30.3M-$8.3M

Key Facts

  • 10 institutional buyers added $210.2M in EMBJ positions in Q2 2026
  • 9 institutional sellers trimmed $207.4M, nearly offsetting the buying
  • JPMorgan added $126.2M (+37.2% shares) to become the largest holder at $362.8M
  • Swedbank initiated a new $67.0M position
  • Jennison Associates trimmed $145.1M (-49.2% shares), the largest seller
  • No insider buying (Form 4) corroborated the institutional cluster
  • Net institutional flow was essentially flat (+$0.8M) despite significant individual moves

Financial Impact

10 buyers accumulated $210.2M while 9 sellers reduced by $207.4M, resulting in a net inflow of approximately $0.8M

institutional ownershipfloat turnover

Risk Factors

  • The 45-day 13F reporting lag means positions may have already been unwound
  • The largest seller (Jennison, -$145M) is an active manager with a strong track record, suggesting a deliberate thesis change
  • No insider buying corroboration reduces conviction in the accumulation signal
  • Historical T+20 performance on EMBJ reports has been poor (29% win rate, -1.85% avg return)

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Aircraft
Analyst Consensus
85% bullish (13 analysts)

Investment Themes

Industrials & Manufacturing

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 institutional 13F filing from SEC EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
INST-CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)inst-cluster-EMBJ-2026-Q2
15 reports for EMBJ
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate 8 of 8 directional calls best @ T+60▲ +26.25%Jun 5, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for EMBJ — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Aug 20, 2026
6w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$75.95 $77.02▲ +1.41%▲ +1.94%—
Aug 14, 2026
7w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$75.38 $75.00▼ −0.50%▲ +1.49%—
Aug 13, 2026
7w ago
Institutional Cluster
MIXED ★ 5/10
$74.22 $75.49▲ +1.71%▲ +3.46%—
Aug 10, 2026
7w ago
6-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$73.80 $73.91▲ +0.15%▲ +1.06%—
Aug 10, 2026
7w ago
6-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$73.80 $73.91▲ +0.15%▲ +1.06%—
Jul 24, 2026
10w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$67.99 $76.26▲ +12.16%▲ +8.86%—
Jul 21, 2026
10w ago
6-K
BULLISH ★ 4/10
$65.47 $77.08▲ +17.73%▲ +15.17%—
Jul 21, 2026
10w ago
6-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$65.47 $77.08▲ +17.73%▲ +15.17%—
Jun 5, 2026
17w ago
6-K
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$56.68 $67.24▲ +18.63%▲ +16.77%—
May 8, 2026
21w ago
6-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$60.11 $56.68▼ −5.71%▼ −5.73%—
Showing 10 of 15

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Mon (64h 12m)

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Report published Aug 13, 2026