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EFFECT ·Filed Oct 6, 2026

EMAT

Evolution Metals & Technologies Corp.
BEARISH
Impact 5/10
Horizondays Processed21d 4h ago SEC9999999995-26-003152
IPO/offering going effective
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

Monitor for any subsequent prospectus supplement or takedown notice indicating Yorkville or the company intends to sell shares under the now-effective shelf. The variable conversion structure creates a persistent overhang that could pressure the stock on any volume.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizondays
Latest settled — T+5d ⚠ clustered
EMAT ▼ -25.78% at T+5d
SHORT call ✓ call won +25.78% · α vs SPY +25.64% · entry $1.92 → $1.43
Next anchor: T+20d in 7d
Latest observation: T+13 +11.73% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Oct 6, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-8.85%
call +8.85% · α +8.61%
$1.75
settled 20d ago
T+5d
-25.78%
call +25.78% · α +25.64%
$1.43
settled 14d ago
T+20d
Pending
in 7d
T+60d
Pending
in 2mo

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

The SEC declared effective the S-1 registration statement (File No. 333-298787) for Evolution Metals & Technologies Corp. on October 5, 2026. This allows the company to sell securities under the shelf registration, creating a potential dilution overhang for existing shareholders.

Key Facts

  • Effectiveness date: October 5, 2026
  • Registration statement on Form S-1 (File No. 333-298787) declared effective
  • Company can now offer and sell securities under the shelf registration
  • Prior S-1 filing (July 8, 2026) registered 5.4M shares for resale by Yorkville upon conversion of up to $100M in convertible debentures

Financial Impact

Potential dilution from up to $100M in convertible debentures (first tranche $20M drawn) with variable conversion price at 95% of 5-day VWAP, floor $1.86

dilutionshare count

Risk Factors

  • Immediate dilution risk if the company or selling shareholders execute a takedown under the effective shelf
  • Variable conversion price mechanism (95% of VWAP) incentivizes conversion and resale, potentially creating downward price pressure
  • Pre-revenue/early-stage critical materials recycler with going-concern risks at Korean subsidiaries

Investment Themes

Industrials & Manufacturing

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 3 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
EFFECT Filing (Primary)9999999995-26-003152
Document: 9999999995-26-003152-index.html9999999995-26-003152
Document: 9999999995-26-003152.txt9999999995-26-003152
30 reports for EMAT
Performance horizon
69% Hit rate @ T+20 9 of 13 directional calls Went positive at some point 12 of 21 best @ T+60▲ +71.17%May 11, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for EMAT — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 15, 2026
11d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$1.54awaiting T+20—$1.41 (−8.44%)
Oct 15, 2026
11d ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$1.54awaiting T+20—$1.41 (−8.44%)
Oct 14, 2026
12d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$1.50awaiting T+20—$1.41 (−6.00%)
Oct 13, 2026
14d ago
EFFECT
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$1.43awaiting T+20—$1.41 (+1.05%)
Oct 9, 2026
17d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$1.64awaiting T+20—$1.41 (−14.02%)
Oct 8, 2026
18d ago
3
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$1.64awaiting T+20—$1.41 (−14.02%)
Oct 6, 2026
20d ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$1.92awaiting T+20—$1.41 (−26.56%)
Oct 6, 2026
20d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$1.92awaiting T+20—$1.41 (−26.56%)
Oct 6, 2026
21d ago
EFFECT
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$1.92awaiting T+20—$1.41 (+26.56%)
Oct 5, 2026
21d ago
S-1
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$1.92awaiting T+20—$1.41 (+26.56%)
Showing 10 of 30

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Report published Oct 6, 2026