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EFFECT ·Filed Oct 13, 2026

EMAT

Evolution Metals & Technologies Corp.
BEARISH
Impact 6/10
Horizonimmediate Processed14d ago SEC9999999995-26-003215
IPO/offering going effective
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

Watch for the pricing announcement and first-day trading. The dilutive overhang from Yorkville's variable-price conversion mechanism could pressure the stock post-IPO. Monitor any subsequent 8-K disclosing the initial conversion and share issuance.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonimmediate
Latest settled — T+5d
EMAT ▲ +0.35% at T+5d
SHORT call ✗ call lost -0.35% · α vs SPY -1.50% · entry $1.43 → $1.43
Next anchor: T+20d in 14d
Latest observation: T+8 -5.73% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Oct 13, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+5.26%
call -5.26% · α -6.34%
$1.50
settled 13d ago
T+5d
+0.35%
call -0.35% · α -1.50%
$1.43
settled 7d ago
T+20d
Pending
in 14d
T+60d
Pending
in 2mo

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

The SEC declared effective Evolution Metals & Technologies Corp.'s S-1 registration (File No. 333-299305) on October 9, 2026, enabling the company to sell registered securities. This is an IPO effectiveness event, meaning the company can now price and list its shares, typically within 1-2 days. The S-1 registration covers up to 5.4M shares for resale by Yorkville upon conversion of convertible debentures, creating a dilutive overhang.

Key Facts

  • S-1 registration declared effective on October 9, 2026
  • File No. 333-299305 covers up to 5.4M shares for resale by Yorkville (YA II PN) upon conversion of convertible debentures
  • Convertible debentures have variable conversion price at 95% of 5-day VWAP with a floor of $1.86
  • First tranche of $20M drawn, second tranche of $5.775M pending
  • Company is a pre-revenue-to-early-stage critical materials recycler with going-concern risks at Korean subsidiaries

Financial Impact

Up to $100M in convertible debentures with first $20M drawn; 5.4M shares registered for resale, creating potential dilution of ~15-25% of current float depending on conversion price

dilutionshare countmarket cap

Risk Factors

  • Variable conversion price at 95% of VWAP creates downward pressure on stock as Yorkville can sell short and convert at a discount
  • Pre-revenue status with going-concern risks at Korean subsidiaries increases execution risk
  • IPO pricing may disappoint if market conditions are unfavorable

Investment Themes

Industrials & Manufacturing

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 3 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
EFFECT Filing (Primary)9999999995-26-003215
Document: 9999999995-26-003215-index.html9999999995-26-003215
Document: 9999999995-26-003215.txt9999999995-26-003215
30 reports for EMAT
Performance horizon
69% Hit rate @ T+20 9 of 13 directional calls Went positive at some point 13 of 21 best @ T+60▲ +71.17%May 11, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for EMAT — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 15, 2026
11d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$1.54awaiting T+20—$1.41 (−8.44%)
Oct 15, 2026
11d ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$1.54awaiting T+20—$1.41 (−8.44%)
Oct 14, 2026
12d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$1.50awaiting T+20—$1.41 (−6.00%)
Oct 13, 2026
14d ago
EFFECT
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$1.43awaiting T+20—$1.41 (+1.05%)
Oct 9, 2026
17d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$1.64awaiting T+20—$1.41 (−14.02%)
Oct 8, 2026
18d ago
3
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$1.64awaiting T+20—$1.41 (−14.02%)
Oct 6, 2026
20d ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$1.92awaiting T+20—$1.41 (−26.56%)
Oct 6, 2026
20d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$1.92awaiting T+20—$1.41 (−26.56%)
Oct 6, 2026
21d ago
EFFECT
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$1.92awaiting T+20—$1.41 (+26.56%)
Oct 5, 2026
21d ago
S-1
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$1.92awaiting T+20—$1.41 (+26.56%)
Showing 10 of 30

US Market Status

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Report published Oct 13, 2026