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EFFECT ·Filed Jul 13, 2026

EMAT

Evolution Metals & Technologies Corp.
BEARISH
Impact 6/10
Horizondays Processed3mo ago SEC9999999995-26-002265
IPO/offering going effective
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The effectiveness activates a dilutive conversion mechanism from a $100M debenture facility. Shareholders should expect near-term selling pressure as Yorkville converts and resells shares at a discount to market. Monitor conversion notices and volume to gauge the pace of dilution.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizondays
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
EMAT ▼ -65.03% at T+60d
SHORT call ✓ call won +65.03% · α vs SPY +69.02% · entry $5.49 → $1.92
Entry = T+0 close
Jul 13, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+0.18%
call -0.18% · α +0.17%
$5.50
settled 4mo ago
T+5d
-9.11%
call +9.11% · α +8.32%
$4.99
settled 3mo ago
T+20d
-53.92%
call +53.92% · α +57.10%
$2.53
settled 3mo ago
T+60d
-65.03%
call +65.03% · α +69.02%
$1.92
settled 21d ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

The SEC declared EMAT's S-1 registration statement effective on July 10, 2026, covering up to 5.4 million shares of common stock issuable upon conversion of convertible debentures held by Yorkville Advisors. This effectiveness clears the way for Yorkville to convert and resell shares, creating a variable-price (95% of 5-day VWAP, floor $1.86) dilution overhang that could pressure the stock.

Key Facts

  • Effectiveness date: July 10, 2026 for SEC file number 333-297310
  • Registration statement type: S-1 (primary offering by company)
  • S-1 registered 5.4 million shares for resale by Yorkville (YA II PN) upon conversion of convertible debentures
  • Convertible debentures up to $100M total; first tranche $20M drawn, second $5.775M pending
  • Conversion price is variable: 95% of 5-day VWAP with a floor of $1.86
  • Company is pre-revenue early-stage critical materials recycler with going-concern risks at Korean subsidiaries

Financial Impact

Potential dilution of up to 5.4 million shares (undisclosed percentage of outstanding) at a variable conversion price tied to 95% of 5-day VWAP, floored at $1.86 per share

dilutionstock price overhang

Risk Factors

  • Yorkville can begin converting and selling shares immediately upon effectiveness, creating persistent selling pressure
  • Variable conversion price mechanism incentivizes Yorkville to convert when the stock weakens, exacerbating downside momentum
  • Company remains pre-revenue with going-concern risks at Korean subsidiaries

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Miscellaneous Electrical Machinery, Equipment & Supplies
Analyst Consensus
88% bullish (8 analysts)

Investment Themes

Industrials & Manufacturing

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 3 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
EFFECT Filing (Primary)9999999995-26-002265
Document: 9999999995-26-002265-index.html9999999995-26-002265
Document: 9999999995-26-002265.txt9999999995-26-002265
30 reports for EMAT
Performance horizon
67% Hit rate @ T+20 8 of 12 directional calls Went positive at some point 12 of 21 best @ T+60▲ +71.17%May 11, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for EMAT — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 15, 2026
11d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$1.54awaiting T+20—$1.41 (−8.44%)
Oct 15, 2026
11d ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$1.54awaiting T+20—$1.41 (−8.44%)
Oct 14, 2026
12d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$1.50awaiting T+20—$1.41 (−6.00%)
Oct 13, 2026
14d ago
EFFECT
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$1.43awaiting T+20—$1.41 (+1.05%)
Oct 9, 2026
17d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$1.64awaiting T+20—$1.41 (−14.02%)
Oct 8, 2026
18d ago
3
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$1.64awaiting T+20—$1.41 (−14.02%)
Oct 6, 2026
20d ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$1.92awaiting T+20—$1.41 (−26.56%)
Oct 6, 2026
20d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$1.92awaiting T+20—$1.41 (−26.56%)
Oct 6, 2026
21d ago
EFFECT
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$1.92awaiting T+20—$1.41 (+26.56%)
Oct 5, 2026
21d ago
S-1
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$1.92awaiting T+20—$1.41 (+26.56%)
Showing 10 of 30

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Report published Jul 13, 2026