8-K ·Filed Aug 19, 2026

EL

ESTEE LAUDER COMPANIES INC
MIXED
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed1mo ago SEC0001001250-26-000038
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight ◆ Mixed

The Q4 EPS miss may cause short-term selling pressure, but the raised FY2027 margin guidance and strong cash flow support the turnaround narrative. Traders should watch the earnings call for commentary on Q3 margin contraction and tariff headwinds, as these could create volatility. The affirmed 3-5% organic sales growth outlook provides a floor for revenue expectations.

DirectionMixed
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+20d ⚠ clustered
EL ▼ -4.23% at T+20d
NEUTRAL call ✗ call lost -4.23% · α vs SPY -2.28% · entry $98.01 → $93.86
Next anchor: T+60d in 6w
Latest observation: T+29 +0.43% FF3 residual α
Entry anchored
Aug 19, 08:02 AM ET
via 1-min bar
T+1d
-1.90%
call -1.90% · α -1.06%
$96.15
settled 6w ago
T+5d
+7.19%
call +7.19% · α +7.58%
$105.06
settled 5w ago
T+20d
-4.23%
call -4.23% · α -2.28%
$93.86
settled 15d ago
T+60d
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call — · α —
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in 6w

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Executive Summary

Estee Lauder reported fiscal Q4 2026 adjusted EPS of $0.39, a 17.4% miss vs. the $0.47 consensus, though revenue of $3.627B slightly beat estimates. Full-year results showed a return to sales growth (reported +5%, organic +3%) with significant operating margin expansion. The company affirmed its fiscal 2027 organic sales growth outlook of 3-5% and raised its adjusted operating margin guidance to 12.7-13.5%, signaling confidence in its turnaround despite near-term EPS disappointment.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$0.39
est $0.47 · -17.0%
Revenue
$3.6B
est $3.6B · +1.0% · +6.0% YoY
Rating
miss
Guidance
3%-5% organic growth
maintained
Free Cash Flow
$1.3B
Gross Margin
75.5%

Key Facts

  • Fiscal Q4 2026 adjusted EPS of $0.39 missed consensus of $0.47 by 17.4%
  • Fiscal Q4 reported net sales of $3.627B (+6% YoY) slightly above consensus of $3.59B
  • Full-year fiscal 2026 reported net sales of $15.049B (+5% YoY), organic net sales +3%
  • Full-year adjusted operating margin expanded 320 bps to 11.2%
  • Fiscal 2027 outlook: organic net sales growth of 3-5%, adjusted operating margin raised to 12.7-13.5%
  • Full-year free cash flow nearly doubled to $1.32B from $0.67B
  • Quarterly dividend maintained at $0.35 per share

Financial Impact

Q4 EPS miss of ~$0.08 vs consensus, but full-year results and FY2027 guidance show strong operational turnaround with margin expansion and cash flow improvement

epsrevenueoperating marginfree cash flow

Risk Factors

  • Q4 EPS miss of 17.4% vs consensus could trigger negative sentiment
  • Tariff headwinds of ~$100M expected in fiscal 2026, mostly in H2
  • Q3 fiscal 2027 expected to show ~50bps operating margin contraction
  • Geopolitical risks from Middle East conflict and China consumer uncertainty

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Perfumes, Cosmetics & Other Toilet Preparations
Analyst Consensus
53% bullish (36 analysts)

Investment Themes

Consumer & Retail

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001001250-26-000038
Document: el-20260819.htm0001001250-26-000038
Document: 0001001250-26-000038-index-headers.html0001001250-26-000038
Document: 0001001250-26-000038-index.html0001001250-26-000038
Document: 0001001250-26-000038.txt0001001250-26-000038
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001001250-26-000038
5 reports for EL
Performance horizon

Track record builds as more directional reports settle.

Filters
Rows
Reports for EL — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 15, 2026
17d ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$96.25 $100.29▲ +4.20%▲ +2.07%$91.97 (−4.45%)
Sep 9, 2026
23d ago
Court Ruling
BULLISH ★ 4/10
$98.77 $95.60▼ −3.21%▼ −2.55%$91.97 (−6.88%)
Aug 19, 2026
6w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 6/10
$98.01 $105.06▲ +7.19%▲ +7.58%$91.97 (−6.16%)
Jul 17, 2026
11w ago
Institutional Cluster
BULLISH ★ 4/10
$82.13 $79.92▼ −2.69%▼ −2.00%$91.97 (+11.98%)
Mar 24, 2026
27w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 7/10
$71.16 $71.73▲ +0.80%▲ +1.22%$91.97 (+29.25%)
Showing 5 of 5

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Mon (64h 21m)

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