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Institutional Cluster

EC

ECOPETROL S.A.
BULLISH
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed8mo ago
Institutional cluster: 3 buyers, 0 sellers (bullish)
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

The coordinated增持 by three large passive managers suggests growing institutional confidence in EC, potentially driven by valuation, yield, or sector rotation into energy. Traders should monitor for follow-on buying and any upcoming earnings or dividend announcements that may have triggered this shift.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
EC ▲ +27.85% at T+60d
LONG call ✓ call won +27.85% · α vs SPY +18.53% · entry $11.62 → $14.86
Entry = T+0 close
Feb 28, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+0.58%
call +0.58% · α +1.49%
$11.69
settled 8mo ago
T+5d
+10.47%
call +10.47% · α +11.68%
$12.84
settled 8mo ago
T+20d
+28.89%
call +28.89% · α +36.82%
$14.98
settled 7mo ago
T+60d
+27.85%
call +27.85% · α +18.53%
$14.86
settled 5mo ago

Executive Summary

Three major passive institutional investors — Morgan Stanley, Schwab, and UBS — significantly increased their positions in ECOPETROL S.A. (EC) during Q4 2024, collectively adding $9.1 million in new exposure with no notable selling activity. UBS doubled its position, driving the largest single increase with a $6.3M addition, signaling strong institutional accumulation.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
accumulating
Buy Value
$9.1M
Net Flow
$9.1M

Institutional Positions

Net institutional flow: $9.1M

▲ Buyers (3)

InstitutionActionChangePosition ValueValue Δ
Morgan StanleyADD+60.5%$3.9M$1.2M
SchwabADD+63.8%$5.5M$1.7M
UBSDOUBLED+1213.7%$6.8M$6.3M

Key Facts

  • Morgan Stanley increased holdings by +60.5%, adding $1.2M in value (305.0K → 489.6K shares)
  • Schwab added $1.7M in value (+63.8% increase), growing position from 425.1K to 696.4K shares
  • UBS DOUBLED its position, increasing shares from 65.7K to 863.5K (+1213.7%) and value from $587K to $6.8M (Δ+$6.3M)
  • No institutional selling was detected in this quarter; all three tracked institutions were net buyers
  • Total institutional buying amounted to $9.1M in net new value across the cluster

Financial Impact

3 institutions accumulated $9.1M in net new positions during Q4 2024, increasing total cluster value from $7.1M to $16.2M

float ownershipinstitutional ownershipshare demand

Risk Factors

  • All buyers are passive/mega-passive institutions, which may reflect index flows or mechanical rebalancing rather than active conviction
  • No active or activist managers are participating in this cluster, limiting the strength of the fundamental thesis signal

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE

Investment Themes

Traditional Energy

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 institutional 13F filing from SEC EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
INST-CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)inst-cluster-EC-2024-Q4
31 reports for EC
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate @ T+5 4 of 4 directional calls Went positive at some point 4 of 4 best @ T+60▲ +20.39%May 26, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for EC — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 22, 2026
5d ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$17.01awaiting T+5——
Oct 20, 2026
6d ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$17.24awaiting T+5——
Oct 15, 2026
11d ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$17.70 $17.01▼ −3.90%▼ −2.88%—
Oct 8, 2026
18d ago
3
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$16.94 $17.90▲ +5.67%▲ +7.63%—
Oct 1, 2026
25d ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$16.27 $16.94▲ +4.12%▲ +2.82%—
Oct 1, 2026
26d ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$16.27 $16.94▲ +4.12%▲ +2.82%—
Oct 1, 2026
26d ago
6-K
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$16.27 $16.94▲ +4.12%▲ +2.82%—
Sep 24, 2026
4w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$16.58 $16.60▲ +0.12%▲ +0.34%—
Sep 16, 2026
5w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$17.46 $16.69▼ −4.41%▼ −6.97%—
Sep 15, 2026
5w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$17.46 $16.69▼ −4.41%▼ −6.97%—
Showing 10 of 31

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Report published Feb 28, 2026