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6-K ·Filed Jul 1, 2026

EC

ECOPETROL S.A.
BULLISH
Impact 5/10
Horizondays Processed3mo ago SEC0001292814-26-003644
Notable filing: 6-K
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

Traders should view this as a positive working capital event, reducing uncertainty around FEPC collections. The payment via TES rather than cash may limit immediate liquidity benefit, but it signals continued government coordination to clear the receivable. Monitor for similar payments for subsequent quarters and any further reduction in the outstanding FEPC balance.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizondays
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
EC ▲ +13.29% at T+60d
LONG call ✓ call won +13.29% · α vs SPY +10.41% · entry $14.45 → $16.37
Entry = T+0 close
Jul 1, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+1.73%
call +1.73% · α +1.86%
$14.70
settled 4mo ago
T+5d
+1.66%
call +1.66% · α +1.40%
$14.69
settled 4mo ago
T+20d
+13.49%
call +13.49% · α +15.68%
$16.40
settled 3mo ago
T+60d
+13.29%
call +13.29% · α +10.41%
$16.37
settled 5w ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Ecopetrol received government recognition and payment of approximately COP 1 trillion (COP 0.8 trillion to Ecopetrol, COP 0.2 trillion to Refinería de Cartagena) for the Fuel Price Stabilization Fund (FEPC) account receivable for Q2 2025. Payment was made via short-term Class B Treasury Securities (TES), reducing a longstanding government receivable and improving cash flow. The event is a modest positive for the company's liquidity and working capital position.

Key Facts

  • Colombian National Government recognized and ordered payment of ~COP 1 trillion for the FEPC account receivable for Q2 2025.
  • Of the total, ~COP 0.8 trillion goes to Ecopetrol S.A. and ~COP 0.2 trillion to Refinería de Cartagena S.A.S.
  • Payment made via issuance and delivery of short-term Class B Treasury Securities (TES) per MHCP Resolution 1492 dated June 30, 2026.

Financial Impact

Approximately COP 1 trillion (about 0.8% of Ecopetrol's ~$29.7B market cap at prevailing exchange rates) received in government securities, directly reducing the FEPC receivable balance.

accounts_receivablecash_flowworking_capital

Risk Factors

  • Payment is in government securities (TES) not cash, which may have discount or liquidity considerations.
  • This only covers Q2 2025; the total FEPC receivable balance may still be large and subject to future government payments.
  • Colombian sovereign credit risk could affect the value of TES securities.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas
Analyst Consensus
0% bullish (11 analysts)

Investment Themes

Traditional Energy

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 5 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
6-K Filing (Primary)0001292814-26-003644
Exhibit: ex99-1.htm0001292814-26-003644
Document: 0001292814-26-003644-index-headers.html0001292814-26-003644
Document: 0001292814-26-003644-index.html0001292814-26-003644
Document: 0001292814-26-003644.txt0001292814-26-003644
31 reports for EC
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate @ T+5 4 of 4 directional calls Went positive at some point 4 of 4 best @ T+20▲ +28.89%Feb 28, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for EC — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 22, 2026
5d ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$17.01awaiting T+5—$17.38 (+2.18%)
Oct 20, 2026
6d ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$17.24awaiting T+5—$17.38 (+0.81%)
Oct 15, 2026
12d ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$17.70 $17.01▼ −3.90%▼ −2.88%$17.38 (−1.81%)
Oct 8, 2026
18d ago
3
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$16.94 $17.90▲ +5.67%▲ +7.63%$17.38 (+2.60%)
Oct 1, 2026
26d ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$16.27 $16.94▲ +4.12%▲ +2.82%$17.38 (+6.82%)
Oct 1, 2026
26d ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$16.27 $16.94▲ +4.12%▲ +2.82%$17.38 (+6.82%)
Oct 1, 2026
26d ago
6-K
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$16.27 $16.94▲ +4.12%▲ +2.82%$17.38 (+6.82%)
Sep 24, 2026
4w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$16.58 $16.60▲ +0.12%▲ +0.34%$17.38 (+4.83%)
Sep 16, 2026
5w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$17.46 $16.69▼ −4.41%▼ −6.97%$17.38 (−0.46%)
Sep 15, 2026
5w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$17.46 $16.69▼ −4.41%▼ −6.97%$17.38 (−0.46%)
Showing 10 of 31

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Report published Jul 3, 2026