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6-K ·Filed Apr 9, 2026

EC

ECOPETROL S.A.
NEUTRAL
Impact 4/10
Horizonmonths Processed6mo ago SEC0001292814-26-002183
Notable filing: 6-K
Actionable Insight • Neutral

Monitor for any changes in Colombia's fiscal policy or sovereign rating, as Ecopetrol's credit rating is directly tied to the sovereign rating. The stable outlook suggests short-term stability, but long-term credit quality depends on both company performance and sovereign risk.

DirectionNeutral
Confidencehigh
Horizonmonths
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
EC ▲ +9.19% at T+60d
NEUTRAL call +9.19% · α vs SPY -1.59% · entry $13.25 → $14.47
Entry = T+0 close
Apr 9, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+6.40%
call +6.40% · α +6.46%
$14.10
settled 7mo ago
T+5d
+3.83%
call +3.83% · α +0.65%
$13.76
settled 7mo ago
T+20d
+0.82%
call +0.82% · α -6.75%
$13.36
settled 6mo ago
T+60d
+9.19%
call +9.19% · α -1.59%
$14.47
settled 4mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Standard & Poor's Global Ratings affirmed Ecopetrol's Stand-Alone Credit Profile at bb+ while revising its global credit rating from BB to BB- with a stable outlook. This action aligns with the recent downgrade of Colombia's sovereign credit rating, as Ecopetrol's rating is constrained by the sovereign rating due to its status as a government-related entity and significant contribution to fiscal revenue.

Key Facts

  • S&P affirmed Ecopetrol's Stand-Alone Credit Profile (SACP) at bb+
  • Global credit rating revised from BB to BB- with stable outlook
  • Rating action follows downgrade of Colombia's sovereign credit rating
  • S&P cites Ecopetrol's constrained credit risk due to sovereign rating
  • Stable outlook reflects continued government support and company's strategic importance

Financial Impact

The downgrade from BB to BB- reflects increased credit risk, but the stable outlook suggests no immediate financial pressure. The affirmation of the bb+ SACP indicates the company's fundamental credit quality remains strong.

credit ratingdebtcost of capital

Risk Factors

  • Credit rating constrained by sovereign rating
  • Government's tendency to maximize dividend payouts
  • Potential constraints on financial flexibility

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas

Investment Themes

Traditional Energy

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 5 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
6-K Filing (Primary)0001292814-26-002183
Document: ec20260408_6k.htm0001292814-26-002183
Document: 0001292814-26-002183-index-headers.html0001292814-26-002183
Document: 0001292814-26-002183-index.html0001292814-26-002183
Document: 0001292814-26-002183.txt0001292814-26-002183
31 reports for EC
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate @ T+5 5 of 5 directional calls Went positive at some point 5 of 5 best @ T+20▲ +28.89%Feb 28, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for EC — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 22, 2026
5d ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$17.01awaiting T+5—$17.29 (+1.65%)
Oct 20, 2026
7d ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$17.24awaiting T+5—$17.29 (+0.29%)
Oct 15, 2026
12d ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$17.70 $17.01▼ −3.90%▼ −2.88%$17.29 (−2.32%)
Oct 8, 2026
19d ago
3
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$16.94 $17.90▲ +5.67%▲ +7.63%$17.29 (+2.07%)
Oct 1, 2026
26d ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$16.27 $16.94▲ +4.12%▲ +2.82%$17.29 (+6.27%)
Oct 1, 2026
26d ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$16.27 $16.94▲ +4.12%▲ +2.82%$17.29 (+6.27%)
Oct 1, 2026
26d ago
6-K
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$16.27 $16.94▲ +4.12%▲ +2.82%$17.29 (+6.27%)
Sep 24, 2026
4w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$16.58 $16.60▲ +0.12%▲ +0.34%$17.29 (+4.28%)
Sep 16, 2026
5w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$17.46 $16.69▼ −4.41%▼ −6.97%$17.29 (−0.97%)
Sep 15, 2026
6w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$17.46 $16.69▼ −4.41%▼ −6.97%$17.29 (−0.97%)
Showing 10 of 31

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Thu (9h 39m)

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Report published Apr 9, 2026