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6-K ·Filed Apr 23, 2026

EC

ECOPETROL S.A.
BULLISH
Impact 8/10
Horizonmonths Processed6mo ago SEC0001292814-26-002475
Notable filing: 6-K
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

This is a transformative, strategically aligned acquisition that significantly boosts Ecopetrol’s production and reserves in a high-growth region. Traders should monitor CADE approval and tender offer uptake, as successful execution could drive re-rating. The 27.8% premium suggests confidence in synergies, but near-term dilution risk exists until financing is clarified.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizonmonths
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
EC ▲ +16.61% at T+60d
LONG call ✓ call won +16.61% · α vs SPY +11.59% · entry $13.75 → $16.03
Entry = T+0 close
Apr 23, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+0.38%
call +0.38% · α -0.40%
$13.80
settled 6mo ago
T+5d
+0.24%
call +0.24% · α -1.24%
$13.78
settled 6mo ago
T+20d
-0.20%
call -0.20% · α -4.83%
$13.72
settled 5mo ago
T+60d
+16.61%
call +16.61% · α +11.59%
$16.03
settled 3mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Ecopetrol S.A. (EC) announced a strategic acquisition to acquire a 26% stake in Brazilian energy firm Brava Energia S.A. (BRAV3), with plans to launch a voluntary tender offer for a controlling 51% stake at BRL 23.00 per share, representing a 27.8% premium. The move expands Ecopetrol’s footprint in Brazil and adds significant reserves and production to its portfolio.

Key Facts

  • Ecopetrol entered into a Share Purchase Agreement to acquire 120,813,490 shares (26%) of Brava Energia S.A. from major shareholders.
  • Plans to launch a Voluntary Tender Offer (OPA) at BRL 23.00 per share to acquire a 51% controlling stake in Brava.
  • Offer price represents a 27.8% premium over Brava’s 90-day volume-weighted average price.
  • Transaction subject to CADE approval, financing consents, and closing conditions.
  • Brava reported USD 806 million EBITDA in 2025 with a 39% EBITDA margin and 459 MMboe of reserves.
  • Acquisition will add ~81,000 boe/day of production and enhance Ecopetrol’s international portfolio and ROACE metrics.
  • Funding expected via bridge loan; transaction aligns with Ecopetrol’s 2040 Strategy.

Financial Impact

Deal implies a total equity value of approximately $4.2 billion for 100% of Brava (based on 51% stake offer at BRL 23.00/share and current exchange rate). Ecopetrol will take on leverage via bridge loan, but expects accretion to EBITDA and ROACE.

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Risk Factors

  • Regulatory approval from Brazil’s CADE may be delayed or denied.
  • Failure to secure full 51% stake in tender offer could limit control and synergy realization.
  • Bridge loan introduces near-term leverage and refinancing risk.
  • Integration challenges with Brava, formed from a recent merger of 3R Petroleum and Enauta.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Crude Petroleum & Natural Gas

Investment Themes

Traditional Energy

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 5 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
6-K Filing (Primary)0001292814-26-002475
Exhibit: ex99-1.htm0001292814-26-002475
Document: 0001292814-26-002475-index-headers.html0001292814-26-002475
Document: 0001292814-26-002475-index.html0001292814-26-002475
Document: 0001292814-26-002475.txt0001292814-26-002475
31 reports for EC
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate @ T+5 4 of 4 directional calls Went positive at some point 4 of 4 best @ T+20▲ +28.89%Feb 28, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for EC — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 22, 2026
5d ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$17.01awaiting T+5—$17.29 (+1.65%)
Oct 20, 2026
7d ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$17.24awaiting T+5—$17.29 (+0.29%)
Oct 15, 2026
12d ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$17.70 $17.01▼ −3.90%▼ −2.88%$17.29 (−2.32%)
Oct 8, 2026
19d ago
3
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$16.94 $17.90▲ +5.67%▲ +7.63%$17.29 (+2.07%)
Oct 1, 2026
26d ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$16.27 $16.94▲ +4.12%▲ +2.82%$17.29 (+6.27%)
Oct 1, 2026
26d ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$16.27 $16.94▲ +4.12%▲ +2.82%$17.29 (+6.27%)
Oct 1, 2026
26d ago
6-K
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$16.27 $16.94▲ +4.12%▲ +2.82%$17.29 (+6.27%)
Sep 24, 2026
4w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$16.58 $16.60▲ +0.12%▲ +0.34%$17.29 (+4.28%)
Sep 16, 2026
5w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$17.46 $16.69▼ −4.41%▼ −6.97%$17.29 (−0.97%)
Sep 15, 2026
5w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$17.46 $16.69▼ −4.41%▼ −6.97%$17.29 (−0.97%)
Showing 10 of 31

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Thu (11h 47m)

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Report published Apr 23, 2026