8-K ·Filed Jun 29, 2026

EBS

Emergent BioSolutions Inc.
BULLISH
Impact 5/10
Horizonweeks Processed3mo ago SEC0001367644-26-000068
8-K material event: Items 1.01
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

The $52.7M award adds near-term revenue visibility through December 2026. Monitor for additional option exercises or international orders, but the stock may already price in routine government contract flow. No earnings or guidance changes accompany this filing.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
EBS ▼ -20.09% at T+60d
LONG call ✗ call lost -20.09% · α vs SPY -24.46% · entry $8.46 → $6.76
Entry anchored
Jun 29, 11:14 AM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
-0.95%
call -0.95% · α -1.72%
$8.38
settled 3mo ago
T+5d
-3.31%
call -3.31% · α -4.70%
$8.18
settled 3mo ago
T+20d
-14.18%
call -14.18% · α -13.90%
$7.26
settled 2mo ago
T+60d
-20.09%
call -20.09% · α -24.46%
$6.76
settled 9d ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Emergent BioSolutions received a $52.7 million contract modification from the U.S. government (ASPR) for ACAM2000 vaccine supply under an existing 10-year contract. Deliveries begin June 2026, with diluent lots by December 2026. This is a material but routine government award, providing near-term revenue visibility.

Key Facts

  • Contract modification valued at $52.7 million from ASPR for ACAM2000 vaccine
  • Deliveries of doses and ancillaries to begin June 2026; diluent replacement lots by December 2026
  • Modification exercises Option Year 7 under existing 10-year contract (75A50119C00071)
  • Recent international approvals: Saudi FDA and Singapore HSA expanded ACAM2000 indications for mpox

Financial Impact

$52.7 million contract modification, representing ~12% of current market cap

revenue

Risk Factors

  • Government contract dependency; budget or policy shifts could impact future awards
  • Execution risk on delivery timelines and diluent production
  • ACAM2000 safety profile (boxed warning for myocarditis, pericarditis) limits commercial expansion

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Pharmaceutical Preparations
Analyst Consensus
83% bullish (6 analysts)

Investment Themes

Biotech & Drug Discovery

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 5 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001367644-26-000068
Document: a06292026acammodpr.htm0001367644-26-000068
Document: 0001367644-26-000068-index-headers.html0001367644-26-000068
Document: 0001367644-26-000068-index.html0001367644-26-000068
Document: 0001367644-26-000068.txt0001367644-26-000068
16 reports for EBS
Performance horizon
75% Hit rate 3 of 4 directional calls best @ T+20▲ +14.89%Apr 29, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for EBS — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Aug 10, 2026
7w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$4.45 $5.68▼ −27.64%▼ −28.70%$6.29 (−41.35%)
Jun 29, 2026
13w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$8.46 $7.26▼ −14.18%▼ −13.90%$6.29 (−25.65%)
Jun 4, 2026
17w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$8.44 $8.28▼ −1.90%▼ −0.52%$6.29 (−25.47%)
Apr 30, 2026
22w ago
Press Release
MIXED ★ 6/10
$8.47 $8.49▲ +0.24%▼ −5.05%$6.29 (−25.74%)
Apr 30, 2026
22w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$8.23 $9.18▲ +11.54%▲ +6.58%$6.29 (−23.57%)
Apr 29, 2026
22w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 4/10
$7.99 $9.18▲ +14.89%▲ +8.85%$6.29 (−21.28%)
Apr 29, 2026
22w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$7.99 $9.18▲ +14.89%▲ +8.85%$6.29 (−21.28%)
Apr 28, 2026
22w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$8.23 $9.13▲ +10.94%▲ +5.47%$6.29 (−23.57%)
Apr 28, 2026
22w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$8.23 $9.13▲ +10.94%▲ +5.47%$6.29 (−23.57%)
Apr 27, 2026
22w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$8.23 $9.13▲ +10.94%▲ +5.47%$6.29 (−23.57%)
Showing 10 of 16

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