Institutional Cluster

EAT

BRINKER INTERNATIONAL, INC
MIXED
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed1mo ago
Institutional cluster: 40 buyers, 30 sellers (mixed)
Actionable Insight ◆ Mixed

The cluster is deeply split: sovereign wealth and mega-passive funds are accumulating on the back of strong FY2027 guidance and a $750M buyback, while quant funds (Point72, D.E. Shaw, Bridgewater) are aggressively taking profits after a strong run. The net selling pressure (~$103M) and the insider divergence (no open-market insider buying, 8 insider sells for $23.9M in the last 30 days) suggest caution. Watch for continued insider selling and whether the buyback program absorbs the institutional distribution.

DirectionMixed
Confidencemedium
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+20d ⚠ clustered
EAT ▼ -11.37% at T+20d
NEUTRAL call ✗ call lost -11.37% · α vs SPY -10.86% · entry $233.22 → $206.71
Next anchor: T+60d in 7w
Latest observation: T+23 -33.70% FF3 residual α
Entry anchored
Aug 27, 03:45 PM ET
via 1-min bar
T+1d
-1.30%
call -1.30% · α -1.07%
$230.19
settled 5w ago
T+5d
-1.86%
call -1.86% · α -2.13%
$228.88
settled 29d ago
T+20d
-11.37%
call -11.37% · α -10.86%
$206.71
settled 7d ago
T+60d
—
call — · α —
—
in 7w

Executive Summary

A large institutional cluster in EAT shows a mixed picture: 40 buyers added $123.8M in new holdings (led by a new $78.5M Norges Bank position and a $19.1M JPMorgan add), while 30 sellers reduced $227.2M, driven by a full $160.5M exit from Point72 and a $27.8M trim from UBS. The cluster follows Q4 FY2026 earnings (EPS miss, revenue beat, strong FY2027 guidance) and a $750M buyback authorization, creating a tug-of-war between fundamental optimism and profit-taking by quant funds.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
mixed
Buy Value
$164.0M
Net Flow
-$103.4M

Institutional Positions

Net institutional flow: -$103.4M

▲ Buyers (40)

InstitutionActionChangePosition ValueValue Δ
Norges BankNEW+100%$78.5M$78.5M
JPMorganADD+45.6%$43.0M$19.1M
Swedbank AbDOUBLED+385.2%$22.0M$18.2M
Wells FargoADD+47.4%$12.6M$5.3M

▼ Sellers (30)

InstitutionActionChangePrev ValueValue Δ
Point72EXIT-100%$160.5M-$160.5M
UBSTRIM-35.5%$115.3M-$27.8M
D.E. ShawTRIM-34.9%$79.6M-$18.6M
Danske Bank A/SNEAR_EXIT-93.3%$13.2M-$12.2M

Key Facts

  • 40 institutional buyers added a net $123.8M in Q2 2026, while 30 sellers reduced $227.2M
  • Norges Bank opened a new $78.5M position — the largest single buyer
  • Point72 fully exited a $160.5M position — the largest single seller
  • JPMorgan added $19.1M (+45.6% shares); Swedbank Ab added $18.2M (+385.2% shares)
  • D.E. Shaw trimmed $18.6M (-34.9%); UBS trimmed $27.8M (-35.5%)
  • Filing follows Q4 FY2026 earnings: GAAP EPS $2.99 (missed $3.09 consensus), revenue $1.5358B (slight beat), FY2027 guidance of $6.15B-$6.27B revenue and $12.60-$13.40 non-GAAP EPS
  • Board authorized a $750M share repurchase program

Financial Impact

Net institutional selling of ~$103.4M ($227.2M in sells vs $123.8M in buys). The largest single move was Point72's complete exit of a $160.5M position.

institutional_ownershipshare_pricefloat

Risk Factors

  • Point72's full $160.5M exit signals a potential peak in institutional conviction
  • No open-market insider buying in the last 30 days, while 8 insiders sold $23.9M
  • EPS miss in Q4 FY2026 (-3.2% vs consensus) despite strong revenue and guidance
  • Maggianos comparable sales continue to decline (-2.5%)
  • 13F data is 45+ days stale; the cluster may have already been unwound

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Retail-Eating Places
Analyst Consensus
77% bullish (26 analysts)

Investment Themes

Consumer & Retail

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 institutional 13F filing from SEC EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
INST-CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)inst-cluster-EAT-2026-Q2
16 reports for EAT
Performance horizon
50% Hit rate 3 of 6 directional calls best @ T+20▲ +18.56%Aug 24, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for EAT — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 10, 2026
22d ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$214.69 $199.56▼ −7.05%▼ −6.55%—
Sep 2, 2026
4w ago
Court Ruling
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$231.00 $214.69▼ −7.06%▼ −6.10%—
Aug 31, 2026
4w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$233.98 $215.31▼ −7.98%▼ −8.06%—
Aug 31, 2026
4w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$233.98 $215.31▼ −7.98%▼ −8.06%—
Aug 27, 2026
5w ago
Institutional Cluster
MIXED ★ 6/10
$233.22 $228.88▼ −1.86%▼ −2.13%—
Aug 26, 2026
5w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$233.22 $228.88▼ −1.86%▼ −2.13%—
Aug 26, 2026
5w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$233.22 $228.88▼ −1.86%▼ −2.13%—
Aug 26, 2026
5w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$233.22 $228.88▼ −1.86%▼ −2.13%—
Aug 24, 2026
5w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$253.94 $228.50▲ +10.02%▲ +10.49%—
Aug 17, 2026
6w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$235.65 $248.70▼ −5.54%▼ −5.74%—
Showing 10 of 16

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Mon (38h 37m)

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Report published Aug 27, 2026