8-K ·Filed Aug 12, 2026

EAT

BRINKER INTERNATIONAL, INC
MIXED
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed1mo ago SEC0000703351-26-000026
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight ◆ Mixed

The EPS miss is a minor negative but likely overshadowed by strong FY2027 guidance and a massive $750M buyback authorization. Monitor the Q1 FY2027 earnings call on Oct 28 for early read on traffic momentum and margin trajectory under the new guidance.

DirectionMixed
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+20d ⚠ clustered
EAT ▼ -12.69% at T+20d
NEUTRAL call ✗ call lost -12.69% · α vs SPY -10.79% · entry $245.89 → $214.69
Next anchor: T+60d in 5w
Latest observation: T+34 -44.04% FF3 residual α
Entry anchored
Aug 12, 08:05 AM ET
via 1-min bar
T+1d
-2.96%
call -2.96% · α -3.66%
$238.61
settled 7w ago
T+5d
-5.06%
call -5.06% · α -4.61%
$233.46
settled 6w ago
T+20d
-12.69%
call -12.69% · α -10.79%
$214.69
settled 22d ago
T+60d
—
call — · α —
—
in 5w

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Brinker International reported Q4 FY2026 results with GAAP EPS of $2.99 (vs $3.09 consensus, a -3.2% miss) and total revenues of $1.5358B (vs $1.53B consensus, a slight beat). Chilis comparable sales grew 5.6% with positive traffic, but Maggianos continued to decline (-2.5%). The company guided FY2027 revenue to $6.15B-$6.27B and non-GAAP EPS to $12.60-$13.40, implying strong growth. The board also authorized a $750M share repurchase program. The EPS miss on a strong quarter is a minor negative, but the robust guidance and aggressive buyback signal management confidence, creating a mixed picture.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$2.99
est $3.09 · -3.2%
Revenue
$1.5B
est $1.5B · +0.4% · +5.0% YoY
Rating
miss
Guidance
$6.15B-$6.27B
initiated
Free Cash Flow
$558.4M

Key Facts

  • Q4 FY2026 GAAP EPS of $2.99 missed consensus of $3.09 by -3.2%
  • Total revenues of $1.5358B slightly beat consensus of $1.53B
  • Chilis comparable restaurant sales grew 5.6% with positive traffic of 1.5%
  • Maggianos comparable sales declined -2.5% with traffic down -5.3%
  • FY2027 guidance: total revenues $6.15B-$6.27B, non-GAAP EPS $12.60-$13.40
  • Board authorized $750M share repurchase program (including $718M new authorization)
  • Company redeemed $350M 8.25% notes post-quarter, funded by revolver borrowings
  • Operating cash flow for FY2026 was $789.4M, up from $679.0M in FY2025
  • Restaurant operating margin (non-GAAP) improved to 18.0% of company sales from 17.8% YoY

Financial Impact

Q4 GAAP EPS miss of $0.10 vs consensus; FY2027 guidance implies ~20% YoY growth in non-GAAP EPS at midpoint

epsrevenuecomparable restaurant salesshare repurchase authorization

Risk Factors

  • Maggianos continues to underperform with negative traffic and sales deleverage
  • Higher beef and produce costs could pressure food margins in FY2027
  • Debt refinancing (revolver borrowings to redeem $350M notes) may increase interest expense

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Retail-Eating Places
Analyst Consensus
77% bullish (26 analysts)

Investment Themes

Consumer & Retail

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0000703351-26-000026
Document: eat-20260810.htm0000703351-26-000026
Document: 0000703351-26-000026-index-headers.html0000703351-26-000026
Document: 0000703351-26-000026-index.html0000703351-26-000026
Document: 0000703351-26-000026.txt0000703351-26-000026
8-K Data (Synthetic)0000703351-26-000026
16 reports for EAT
Performance horizon
50% Hit rate 3 of 6 directional calls best @ T+20▲ +18.56%Aug 24, 2026
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Sep 10, 2026
22d ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$214.69 $199.56▼ −7.05%▼ −6.55%$202.00 (−5.91%)
Sep 2, 2026
4w ago
Court Ruling
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$231.00 $214.69▼ −7.06%▼ −6.10%$202.00 (−12.55%)
Aug 31, 2026
4w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$233.98 $215.31▼ −7.98%▼ −8.06%$202.00 (−13.67%)
Aug 31, 2026
4w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$233.98 $215.31▼ −7.98%▼ −8.06%$202.00 (−13.67%)
Aug 27, 2026
5w ago
Institutional Cluster
MIXED ★ 6/10
$233.22 $228.88▼ −1.86%▼ −2.13%$202.00 (−13.39%)
Aug 26, 2026
5w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$233.22 $228.88▼ −1.86%▼ −2.13%$202.00 (−13.39%)
Aug 26, 2026
5w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$233.22 $228.88▼ −1.86%▼ −2.13%$202.00 (−13.39%)
Aug 26, 2026
5w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$233.22 $228.88▼ −1.86%▼ −2.13%$202.00 (−13.39%)
Aug 24, 2026
5w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$253.94 $228.50▲ +10.02%▲ +10.49%$202.00 (+20.45%)
Aug 17, 2026
6w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$235.65 $248.70▼ −5.54%▼ −5.74%$202.00 (+14.28%)
Showing 10 of 16

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Market Closed — Opens Mon (38h 37m)

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