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EFFECT ·Filed Aug 24, 2026

DUKR

DUKE Robotics Corp.
BEARISH
Impact 6/10
Horizondays Processed2mo ago SEC9999999995-26-002737
IPO/offering going effective
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The shelf being effective means DUKE can sell shares at any time without further SEC review. Given the company's cash burn (~$726K net loss in Q2 2026) and going-concern status, a near-term takedown is likely. Traders should watch for a prospectus supplement (424B5) announcing pricing — any offering below current market price would be immediately dilutive.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizondays
Latest settled — T+20d
DUKR ▼ -3.53% at T+20d
SHORT call ✓ call won +3.53% · α vs SPY +3.54% · entry $5.67 → $5.47
Next anchor: T+60d in 21d
Latest observation: T+43 +3.63% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Aug 24, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-0.53%
call +0.53% · α +0.85%
$5.64
settled 2mo ago
T+5d
+0.88%
call -0.88% · α -0.41%
$5.72
settled 8w ago
T+20d
-3.53%
call +3.53% · α +3.54%
$5.47
settled 5w ago
T+60d
Pending
in 21d

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

The SEC declared effective DUKE Robotics Corp.'s S-3 shelf registration (File No. 333-298400) on August 21, 2026. This allows the company to sell up to $50 million in securities at any time, creating a significant dilution overhang of ~263% of its current $19M market cap. The effectiveness comes just 6 days after the shelf was filed and follows a recent $9.2M public offering in May 2026, suggesting the company is aggressively building capital runway despite limited revenue and a going-concern warning.

Key Facts

  • S-3 shelf registration (File No. 333-298400) declared effective on August 21, 2026.
  • Registration covers up to $50 million in common shares, warrants, and units.
  • Effectiveness comes just 6 days after the S-3 was filed on August 18, 2026.
  • Company has a $19M market cap — the shelf represents ~263% potential dilution.
  • DUKE reported only $377,000 in revenue in 2025 with a net loss of $1.24M and an accumulated deficit of $12.4M.
  • Company has substantial doubt about its ability to continue as a going concern.
  • A $9.2M public offering was completed in May 2026; cash was $6.95M as of Q2 2026.

Financial Impact

Shelf registration for up to $50M in securities, representing ~263% of current $19M market cap. No immediate takedown announced.

dilutionmarket capcash runway

Risk Factors

  • Imminent dilutive offering if the company draws on the shelf to extend cash runway
  • Going-concern risk — accumulated deficit of $12.4M with minimal revenue ($377K in 2025)
  • Low market cap ($19M) makes even a small shelf takedown highly dilutive in percentage terms

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Aircraft
Analyst Consensus
86% bullish (7 analysts)

Investment Themes

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 3 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
EFFECT Filing (Primary)9999999995-26-002737
Document: 9999999995-26-002737-index.html9999999995-26-002737
Document: 9999999995-26-002737.txt9999999995-26-002737
16 reports for DUKR
Performance horizon
67% Hit rate @ T+20 2 of 3 directional calls Went positive at some point 2 of 3 best @ T+60▲ +23.49%May 18, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for DUKR — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 22, 2026
4d ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$4.15awaiting T+20—$4.14 (−0.27%)
Oct 22, 2026
4d ago
DEF 14A
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$4.15awaiting T+20—$4.14 (−0.27%)
Oct 6, 2026
20d ago
3
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$5.17awaiting T+20—$4.14 (−19.95%)
Oct 6, 2026
20d ago
3
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$5.17awaiting T+20—$4.14 (−19.95%)
Oct 2, 2026
25d ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$5.32awaiting T+20—$4.14 (−22.21%)
Sep 17, 2026
5w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$5.35 $4.29▼ −19.81%▼ −21.02%$4.14 (−22.64%)
Aug 24, 2026
9w ago
EFFECT
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$5.67 $5.47▲ +3.53%▲ +3.54%$4.14 (+27.01%)
Aug 18, 2026
10w ago
S-3
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$5.41 $5.26▲ +2.77%▲ +1.03%$4.14 (+23.50%)
Aug 13, 2026
10w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 5/10
$5.60 $5.39▼ −3.75%▼ −2.00%$4.14 (−26.10%)
May 18, 2026
23w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$7.26 $6.38▼ −12.12%▼ −13.11%$4.14 (−42.99%)
Showing 10 of 16

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Report published Aug 24, 2026