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424B4 ·Filed May 18, 2026

DUKR

DUKE Robotics Corp.
BEARISH
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed5mo ago SEC0001213900-26-058179
Prospectus supplement
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The IPO provides a cash runway but at massive dilution (~50.8% share increase) and a going-concern overhang. Monitor Nasdaq listing approval and subsequent trading volume; the warrants (DUKRW) may offer leveraged exposure if the stock stabilizes above $8.60. The company's limited revenue base and accumulated deficit suggest high risk of further capital needs.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
DUKR ▼ -23.49% at T+60d
SHORT call ✓ call won +23.49% · α vs SPY +28.34% · entry $7.28 → $5.57
Entry = T+0 close
May 18, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-0.27%
call +0.27% · α -0.38%
$7.26
settled 5mo ago
T+5d
-5.08%
call +5.08% · α +6.70%
$6.91
settled 5mo ago
T+20d
-6.59%
call +6.59% · α +8.17%
$6.80
settled 4mo ago
T+60d
-23.49%
call +23.49% · α +28.34%
$5.57
settled 3mo ago

Executive Summary

DUKE Robotics Corp. completed a firm-commitment underwritten IPO of 1,125,000 units at $8.20 per unit, each consisting of one share of common stock and one warrant (exercise price $8.60), raising gross proceeds of $9,225,000. Net proceeds of ~$7,977,000 will fund R&D, sales expansion, marketing, business development, and working capital. The offering is contingent on Nasdaq listing approval; the company has a going-concern warning, limited revenue ($377K in 2025), and an accumulated deficit of $12.4M. Immediate dilution of $5.81 per share to new investors is substantial.

Key Financial Metrics

Offering Size
$9.2M
Dilution
50.8%
Lock-up
180 days
Underwriters
Maxim Group LLC

Key Facts

  • 1,125,000 units priced at $8.20/unit, each consisting of 1 share + 1 warrant (exercise price $8.60, 5-year term)
  • Gross proceeds of $9,225,000; net proceeds ~$7,977,000 after underwriting discount of $738,000 (8.0%) and estimated expenses
  • Shares outstanding increase from 2,260,383 to 3,407,977 (50.8% dilution to existing holders)
  • Immediate dilution of $5.81 per share to new investors (as adjusted net tangible book value of $2.39 vs. offering price of $8.20)
  • Company has going-concern warning, accumulated deficit of $12.4M, and only $377K revenue in 2025 (up from $108K in 2024)
  • 180-day lock-up for officers, directors, and certain principal shareholders
  • Over-allotment option for up to 168,750 additional shares/warrants (45-day option)
  • Sole book-running manager: Maxim Group LLC; Representative's warrants for 103,500 shares at $10.25

Financial Impact

Gross proceeds of $9,225,000; net proceeds ~$7,977,000; immediate dilution of $5.81 per share (71% of offering price)

dilutioncashshares outstandingnet tangible book value

Risk Factors

  • Nasdaq listing approval is a condition to closing; failure would terminate the offering
  • Going-concern uncertainty persists despite the capital raise; accumulated deficit of $12.4M
  • Immediate 71% dilution from offering price to book value; further dilution from warrants and options
  • Limited revenue ($377K in 2025) and heavy reliance on government contracts and geopolitical stability in Israel
  • Selling stockholders (170,954 shares) purchased at ~$1.70/share, creating overhang at higher prices

Market Snapshot

Exchange
OTC
Sector
Aircraft

Investment Themes

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 4 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
424B4 Filing (Primary)0001213900-26-058179
Document: 0001213900-26-058179-index-headers.html0001213900-26-058179
Document: 0001213900-26-058179-index.html0001213900-26-058179
Document: 0001213900-26-058179.txt0001213900-26-058179
17 reports for DUKR
Performance horizon
67% Hit rate @ T+20 2 of 3 directional calls Went positive at some point 2 of 3 best @ T+20▲ +3.53%Aug 24, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for DUKR — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 27, 2026
today
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$4.21awaiting T+20—$4.19 (−0.36%)
Oct 22, 2026
5d ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$4.15awaiting T+20—$4.19 (+0.96%)
Oct 22, 2026
5d ago
DEF 14A
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$4.15awaiting T+20—$4.19 (+0.96%)
Oct 6, 2026
21d ago
3
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$5.17awaiting T+20—$4.19 (−18.96%)
Oct 6, 2026
21d ago
3
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$5.17awaiting T+20—$4.19 (−18.96%)
Oct 2, 2026
25d ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$5.32awaiting T+20—$4.19 (−21.24%)
Sep 17, 2026
5w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$5.35 $4.29▼ −19.81%▼ −21.02%$4.19 (−21.68%)
Aug 24, 2026
9w ago
EFFECT
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$5.67 $5.47▲ +3.53%▲ +3.54%$4.19 (+26.10%)
Aug 18, 2026
10w ago
S-3
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$5.41 $5.26▲ +2.77%▲ +1.03%$4.19 (+22.55%)
Aug 13, 2026
10w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 5/10
$5.60 $5.39▼ −3.75%▼ −2.00%$4.19 (−25.18%)
Showing 10 of 17

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Thu (10h 11m)

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Report published May 18, 2026