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8-K ·Filed Oct 22, 2026

DOW

DOW INC.
BULLISH
Impact 6/10
Horizondays Processed5d 15h ago SEC0001751788-26-000155
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

The earnings beat and strong cash flow generation reinforce the self-help narrative. Monitor Q4 for continued margin expansion from European asset shutdowns and the pace of working capital release, as well as any incremental impact from Middle East conflict on Asia Pacific volumes.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizondays
Latest settled — T+1d ⚠ clustered
DOW ▲ +2.51% at T+1d
LONG call ✓ call won +2.51% · α vs SPY +3.04% · entry $31.81 → $32.61
Next anchor: T+5d tomorrow
Entry = T+0 close
Oct 22, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+2.51%
call +2.51% · α +3.04%
$32.61
settled 5d ago
T+5d
Pending
tomorrow
T+20d
Pending
in 22d
T+60d
Pending
in 3mo

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Dow Inc. reported Q3 2026 net sales of $11.27B (+13% YoY) and GAAP EPS of $0.62, with operating EPS of $0.71 versus consensus of $0.64, a 10.9% beat. Revenue also beat the $11.22B consensus. The company highlighted strong price gains in Packaging & Specialty Plastics and progress on self-help initiatives, while noting volume declines in Asia Pacific due to the Middle East conflict. Guidance was not explicitly quantified, but management reiterated on-track delivery of >$1B EBITDA uplift in 2026 and 2027.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS (Adj.)
$0.71
est $0.64 · +10.9% · GAAP: $0.62
Revenue
$11.3B
est $11.2B · +0.4% · +13.0% YoY
Rating
beat
Free Cash Flow
$1.1B

Key Facts

  • Net sales $11.27B, up 13% YoY from $9.97B
  • GAAP EPS $0.62 vs $0.08 in prior year; operating EPS $0.71 vs consensus $0.64
  • Revenue consensus was $11.22B; actual $11.27B represents a beat
  • Operating EBIT $887M, up $707M YoY from $180M
  • Cash from operations $1.84B, up $709M YoY; free cash flow $1.13B
  • Packaging & Specialty Plastics segment net sales $5.78B, up 18% YoY
  • Industrial Intermediates & Infrastructure net sales $3.06B, up 8% YoY
  • Performance Materials & Coatings net sales $2.25B, up 8% YoY
  • Volume decreased 1% overall; local price increased 14%
  • Company on track to deliver >$1B EBITDA uplift in both 2026 and 2027 from self-help actions

Financial Impact

Operating EPS of $0.71 beat consensus of $0.64 by 10.9%; revenue of $11.27B beat $11.22B consensus; operating EBIT of $887M vs $180M in prior year

revenueepsoperating_ebitcash_flow

Segment Breakdown

SegmentRevenueGrowth
Packaging & Specialty Plastics$5.8B+18.0%
Industrial Intermediates & Infrastructure$3.1B+8.0%
Performance Materials & Coatings$2.3B+8.0%

Risk Factors

  • Volume declined 1% YoY, with Asia Pacific impacted by Middle East conflict
  • Higher raw materials and logistics costs partially offset price gains
  • Restructuring charges (Transform to Outperform) continue to weigh on GAAP results

Investment Themes

Materials & Mining

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001751788-26-000155
Document: dow-20261022.htm0001751788-26-000155
Document: 0001751788-26-000155-index-headers.html0001751788-26-000155
Document: 0001751788-26-000155-index.html0001751788-26-000155
Document: 0001751788-26-000155.txt0001751788-26-000155
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001751788-26-000155
11 reports for DOW
Performance horizon
80% Hit rate @ T+1 4 of 5 directional calls Went positive at some point 5 of 5 best @ T+20▲ +36.83%Feb 28, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for DOW — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 23, 2026
4d ago
Institutional Cluster
BULLISH ★ 4/10
$32.61 $33.99▲ +4.23%▲ +3.52%$33.78 (+3.59%)
Oct 22, 2026
5d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$31.81 $32.61▲ +2.51%▲ +3.04%$33.78 (+6.19%)
Oct 22, 2026
5d ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$31.81 $32.61▲ +2.51%▲ +3.04%$33.78 (+6.19%)
Oct 15, 2026
12d ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$29.93 $30.08▲ +0.50%▲ +0.08%$33.78 (+12.86%)
Jul 23, 2026
13w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$30.90 $29.84▼ −3.43%▼ −3.53%$33.78 (+9.32%)
Apr 23, 2026
26w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$38.53 $38.66▲ +0.34%▼ −0.45%$33.78 (−12.33%)
Apr 14, 2026
28w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$39.16 $38.84▼ −0.82%▼ −1.59%$33.78 (−13.74%)
Mar 18, 2026
31w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$37.49 $36.65▼ −2.24%▼ −0.50%$33.78 (−9.90%)
Mar 17, 2026
32w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$37.69 $37.49▼ −0.53%▼ −0.26%$33.78 (−10.37%)
Feb 28, 2026
34w ago
Institutional Cluster
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$30.60 $30.74▲ +0.46%▲ +1.37%$33.78 (+10.39%)
Showing 10 of 11

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Thu (10h 51m)

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Report published Oct 22, 2026