Institutional Cluster

DG

DOLLAR GENERAL CORP
MIXED
Impact 4/10
Horizonweeks Processed3mo ago
Institutional cluster: 5 buyers, 7 sellers (mixed)
Actionable Insight ◆ Mixed

The mixed cluster with near-zero net flow suggests no consensus catalyst. Monitor upcoming Q2 earnings for fundamental confirmation — the heavy selling by Capital International and Two Sigma may reflect ongoing margin pressure and competitive concerns, while RenTech's large new position could be a mean-reversion bet. Given DG's -16.3% average T+20 drawdown on prior reports, avoid directional positioning until clearer signals emerge.

DirectionMixed
Confidencemedium
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d
DG ▲ +16.50% at T+60d
NEUTRAL call ✓ call won +16.50% · α vs SPY +12.11% · entry $114.34 → $133.21
Entry anchored
Jun 11, 01:26 PM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
+0.40%
call +0.40% · α -0.14%
$114.80
settled 4mo ago
T+5d
-4.94%
call -4.94% · α -5.38%
$108.69
settled 4mo ago
T+20d
+1.22%
call +1.22% · α -0.68%
$115.73
settled 3mo ago
T+60d
+16.50%
call +16.50% · α +12.11%
$133.21
settled 24d ago

Executive Summary

A mixed institutional cluster in DG for Q2 2025 shows 5 buyers accumulating $307.4M (led by UBS and RenTech) against 7 sellers reducing by $323.6M (led by Capital International and Two Sigma). The net near-zero dollar flow and split conviction suggest no clear directional thesis, consistent with DG's ongoing fundamental challenges.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
mixed
Buy Value
$546.1M
Sell Value
$323.6M
Net Flow
-$16.2M

Institutional Positions

Net institutional flow: -$16.2M

▲ Buyers (5)

InstitutionActionChangePosition ValueValue Δ
UBSADD+38.1%$198.6M$88.0M
RenTechDOUBLED+4040.2%$80.0M$78.5M
Ubs Am, A Distinct Business UnADD+59.3%$240.7M$124.6M
Ameriprise FinancialADD+95.9%$26.0M$15.8M

▼ Sellers (7)

InstitutionActionChangePrev ValueValue Δ
Capital International InvestorTRIM-35.6%$821.4M-$133.5M
Two SigmaTRIM-74.2%$224.8M-$149.5M
InvescoTRIM-26.9%$305.1M-$15.0M
MatrixEXIT-100%$11.6M-$11.6M
AmundiTRIM-34.8%$69.3M-$14.0M

Key Facts

  • 5 institutional buyers added $307.4M in DG during Q2 2025; 7 sellers reduced by $323.6M
  • Renaissance Technologies nearly doubled its position (+4,040% shares, $1.5M → $80.0M)
  • UBS (two entities combined) added $212.6M in new DG holdings
  • Capital International Investors trimmed $133.5M, the largest single seller
  • Two Sigma cut 74.2% of its position, removing $149.5M in value
  • Matrix Capital exited entirely, selling its $11.6M stake
  • Net institutional flow was essentially flat (-$16.2M) on $869.7M total activity

Financial Impact

5 buyers added $307.4M in new DG positions while 7 sellers reduced holdings by $323.6M, resulting in a net outflow of approximately $16.2M

institutional ownershipfloat allocation

Risk Factors

  • Selling by Capital International ($133.5M) and Two Sigma ($149.5M) signals institutional caution on DG's fundamentals
  • The cluster's mixed nature provides no clear directional edge
  • Historical reports on DG have underperformed by -14.98% alpha vs SPY at T+20

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Retail-Variety Stores
Analyst Consensus
46% bullish (39 analysts)

Investment Themes

Consumer & Retail

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 institutional 13F filing from SEC EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
INST-CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)inst-cluster-DG-2025-Q2
8 reports for DG
Performance horizon

Track record builds as more directional reports settle.

Filters
Rows
Reports for DG — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 2, 2026
4w ago
Institutional Cluster
MIXED ★ 5/10
$130.89 $118.93▼ −9.14%▼ −8.98%—
Aug 28, 2026
5w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$122.89 $124.84▲ +1.59%▲ +1.08%—
Aug 27, 2026
5w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$125.89 $123.12▼ −2.20%▼ −2.10%—
Jun 11, 2026
16w ago
Institutional Cluster
MIXED ★ 4/10
$114.34 $115.73▲ +1.22%▼ −0.68%—
Jun 2, 2026
17w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$106.18 $115.20▲ +8.50%▲ +10.31%—
Apr 7, 2026
25w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$123.04 $117.01▼ −4.90%▼ −13.44%—
Mar 12, 2026
29w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$135.79 $115.61▼ −14.86%▼ −16.84%—
Feb 28, 2026
30w ago
Institutional Cluster
MIXED ★ 6/10
$152.49 $117.80▼ −22.75%▼ −14.81%—
Showing 8 of 8

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Mon (64h 14m)

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Report published Jun 11, 2026