The lowered Adjusted EBITDA guidance and preliminary Q3 net loss are the key negative signals; the full Q3 2026 earnings release on November 6 will provide actual results and any further guidance changes; monitor customer production schedules and tariff cost mitigation for further revisions.
Price Chart
Executive Summary
Dauch Corp pre-announced preliminary Q3 2026 results with a net loss of $42M-$47M and Adjusted EBITDA of $355M-$360M, while lowering its full-year 2026 Adjusted EBITDA guidance to $1.350B-$1.375B from $1.360B-$1.425B, citing macro headwinds including customer production volatility, rising inflation, and increasing energy costs. The lowered guidance midpoint ($1.3625B) is below the prior midpoint ($1.3925B) and the preliminary Q3 net loss is a significant net loss, marking a clear negative revision.
Key Financial Metrics
Key Facts
- Preliminary Q3 2026 net loss attributable to Dauch expected in the range of $42M to $47M
- Preliminary Q3 2026 Adjusted EBITDA expected in the range of $355M to $355M
- Full-year 2026 Adjusted EBITDA target lowered to $1.350B-$1.375B from prior $1.360B-$1.425B
- Full-year 2026 sales target raised to $10.8B-$10.875B from $10.6B-$10.8B
- Full-year 2026 Adjusted free cash flow target narrowed closer to the previously announced midpoint
- Full-year 2026 production outlook: North America ~15.0M, Europe ~17.2M, China ~31.0M, Global ~91.6M
- Company cites macro headwinds: select customer production volatility, rising inflation, increasing energy costs
Financial Impact
Full-year 2026 Adjusted EBITDA guidance lowered by $10M at the low end ($1.360B to $1.350B) and $50M at the high end ($1.425B to $1.375), with the new midpoint $1.3625B vs prior $1.3925B; preliminary Q3 net loss of $42M-$47M
Risk Factors
- Lowered guidance midpoint for Adjusted EBITDA is below prior midpoint, indicating worsening profitability
- Preliminary results subject to change upon completion of closing and review processes
- Macro headwinds continuing into Q4 with production volatility, inflation, and energy costs
Market Snapshot
Investment Themes
Documents Analyzed
This report is based on 5 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.
| Document | Accession Number |
|---|---|
| 8-K Filing (Primary) | 0001062231-26-000148 |
| Document: 0001062231-26-000148-index-headers.html | 0001062231-26-000148 |
| Document: 0001062231-26-000148-index.html | 0001062231-26-000148 |
| Document: 0001062231-26-000148.txt | 0001062231-26-000148 |
| 8-K Data (Synthetic) | 0001062231-26-000148 |
Track record builds as more directional reports settle.
Filters
| Type | Now | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Oct 30, 2026 1d ago | 8-K | $4.92 | awaiting T+60 | awaiting T+60 | $4.78 (+2.85%) |
Oct 13, 2026 19d ago | 8-K | $5.50 | awaiting T+60 | awaiting T+60 | $4.78 (−13.09%) |
Oct 12, 2026 20d ago | Press Release | $5.39 | awaiting T+60 | awaiting T+60 | $4.78 (−11.32%) |
Aug 7, 2026 12w ago | 8-K | $6.35 | awaiting T+60 | awaiting T+60 | $4.78 (−24.72%) |
Jun 15, 2026 19w ago | 8-K | $6.61 $6.56 | ▼ −0.76% | ▼ −1.76% | $4.78 (−27.69%) |
Jun 11, 2026 20w ago | Institutional Cluster | $6.23 $6.99 | ▲ +12.20% | ▲ +7.80% | $4.78 (−23.27%) |
May 8, 2026 25w ago | 8-K | $6.64 $5.99 | ▼ −9.79% | ▼ −14.63% | $4.78 (−28.01%) |
Apr 20, 2026 27w ago | DEFA14A | $6.09 $5.31 | ▼ −12.81% | ▼ −19.59% | $4.78 (−21.51%) |
Apr 17, 2026 28w ago | 8-K | $6.09 $5.31 | ▲ +12.81% | ▲ +19.59% | $4.78 (+21.51%) |
Mar 19, 2026 32w ago | DEFA14A | $5.44 $6.35 | ▲ +16.73% | ▲ +2.38% | $4.78 (−12.13%) |
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