8-K ·Filed Apr 30, 2026

CWT

CALIFORNIA WATER SERVICE GROUP
MIXED
Impact 7/10
Horizondays Processed5mo ago SEC0001104659-26-051949
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight ◆ Mixed

The Q1 earnings miss is largely backward-looking and explained by the delayed GRC — the stock will trade on the GRC final decision expected April 30. If approved as proposed, the retroactive rate increase should add ~$0.38/share in catch-up EPS for Q1, transforming the reported loss into a beat. Monitor the CPUC vote; any material deviation from the revised PD would be negative. The Nexus acquisition adds long-term rate base growth but is subject to regulatory approvals.

DirectionMixed
Confidencehigh
Horizondays
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
CWT ▲ +21.18% at T+60d
NEUTRAL call ✓ call won +21.18% · α vs SPY +18.07% · entry $41.91 → $50.79
Entry anchored
Apr 30, 2026
via day open
T+1d
+0.28%
call +0.28% · α +0.06%
$42.03
settled 5mo ago
T+5d
+3.27%
call +3.27% · α +1.54%
$43.28
settled 5mo ago
T+20d
+7.60%
call +7.60% · α +2.37%
$45.10
settled 4mo ago
T+60d
+21.18%
call +21.18% · α +18.07%
$50.79
settled 2mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

CWT reported Q1 2026 EPS of $0.07, a 68% decline from $0.22 in Q1 2025, and net income fell 70% to $4.0M. Revenue rose 5.2% to $214.6M, but operating expenses grew 8.1%, compressing margins. The critical event is the receipt of a revised Proposed Decision in the 2024 California GRC authorizing $90.5M in additional 2026 revenue (10.9% rate increase), with a final CPUC decision expected imminently, which will retroactively boost earnings from January 1, 2026.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$0.07
est $0.23 · -69.6%
Revenue
$214.6M
est $210.3M · +2.0% · +5.2% YoY
Rating
strong miss

Key Facts

  • Q1 2026 EPS $0.07 vs $0.22 YoY, a 68% decline; net income $4.0M vs $13.3M YoY
  • Q1 2026 revenue $214.6M, up 5.2% from $204.0M YoY, driven by rate changes and accrued unbilled revenue
  • Operating expenses rose 8.1% to $196.4M, led by higher water production costs (+$8.3M) and depreciation (+$4.0M)
  • Revised Proposed Decision in 2024 CA GRC authorizes $90.5M revenue increase in 2026 (10.9%), $43.2M in 2027, $48.9M in 2028
  • Final CPUC decision expected April 30, 2026; rate increases retroactive to January 1, 2026
  • Q1 2026 infrastructure investment $129.4M, up 17.5% YoY; full-year 2026 CapEx guided to $627M
  • Agreement to acquire Nexus Water Group's Nevada and Oregon systems for ~$218M, adding ~36,000 customer equivalents
  • Annual dividend increased 8% to $1.34/share, marking 59th consecutive annual increase
  • S&P credit rating A+/stable; $370M available on bank lines of credit

Financial Impact

Q1 2026 EPS miss of $0.16 vs consensus ($0.07 actual vs $0.23 est) represents a ~70% shortfall; the GRC decision authorizes $90.5M in additional 2026 revenue, which would have added ~$0.38/share if recognized in Q1 (retroactive to Jan 1)

revenueepsnet incomeoperating expensesrate base

Risk Factors

  • CPUC final decision could deviate materially from the revised PD, reducing authorized revenue increases
  • Q1 2026 operating expense growth (8.1%) outpaced revenue growth (5.2%), pressuring margins even before GRC impact
  • Short-term borrowings increased to $230M from $130M at year-end 2025, indicating higher working capital needs
  • Nexus acquisition subject to regulatory approvals in Nevada and Oregon; integration risks
  • California snowpack at 19% of normal could impact water supply and consumption patterns

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Water Supply
Analyst Consensus
86% bullish (7 analysts)

Investment Themes

Traditional Energy

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 7 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001104659-26-051949
Document: tm2613168d1_ex99-2.htm0001104659-26-051949
Document: tm2613168d1_8k.htm0001104659-26-051949
Document: 0001104659-26-051949-index-headers.html0001104659-26-051949
Document: 0001104659-26-051949-index.html0001104659-26-051949
Document: 0001104659-26-051949.txt0001104659-26-051949
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001104659-26-051949
12 reports for CWT
Performance horizon

Track record builds as more directional reports settle.

Filters
Rows
Reports for CWT — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Jul 30, 2026
9w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$50.50 $50.09▼ −0.81%▼ −4.78%$45.86 (−9.19%)
Jun 16, 2026
15w ago
Court Ruling
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$45.45 $50.01▲ +10.03%▲ +9.83%$45.86 (+0.90%)
May 27, 2026
18w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$43.82 $49.08▲ +12.00%▲ +15.15%$45.86 (+4.66%)
May 20, 2026
19w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$43.21 $45.29▲ +4.81%▲ +4.48%$45.86 (+6.13%)
May 1, 2026
21w ago
424B5
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$42.72 $43.86▲ +2.67%▼ −2.97%$45.86 (+7.35%)
May 1, 2026
22w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$42.03 $43.86▲ +4.35%▼ −0.94%$45.86 (+9.10%)
Apr 30, 2026
22w ago
8-K
MIXED ★ 7/10
$41.91 $45.10▲ +7.60%▲ +2.37%$45.86 (+9.41%)
Apr 30, 2026
22w ago
Press Release
MIXED ★ 6/10
$41.91 $45.10▲ +7.60%▲ +2.37%$45.86 (+9.41%)
Mar 20, 2026
28w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$43.57 $46.85▲ +7.52%▼ −1.79%$45.86 (+5.25%)
Mar 18, 2026
28w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$42.94 $44.81▲ +4.36%▼ −1.68%$45.86 (+6.81%)
Showing 10 of 12

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