8-K ·Filed Jul 31, 2026

CVX

CHEVRON CORP
BULLISH
Impact 8/10
Horizonweeks Processed2mo ago SEC0000093410-26-000162
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

The Q2 beat is massive and the debt reduction is credit-positive, but the stock may already price in $100+ Brent. Watch the earnings call for Q3 production guidance (Tengiz ramp, Middle East curtailments) and any update on the Singapore refining sale (expected close 2027). The Microsoft PPA signals a new energy-demand growth vector — monitor for additional data center deals.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+20d
CVX ▲ +2.56% at T+20d
LONG call ✓ call won +2.56% · α vs SPY -0.43% · entry $196.83 → $201.86
Next anchor: T+60d in 24d
Latest observation: T+41 +1.02% FF3 residual α
Entry anchored
Jul 31, 04:31 AM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
-1.88%
call -1.88% · α -3.29%
$193.14
settled 2mo ago
T+5d
-5.22%
call -5.22% · α -8.73%
$186.56
settled 8w ago
T+20d
+2.56%
call +2.56% · α -0.43%
$201.86
settled 5w ago
T+60d
—
call — · α —
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in 24d

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Executive Summary

Chevron reported Q2 2026 GAAP diluted EPS of $6.11 on revenue of $67.2B, a massive beat vs the $5.57 consensus, driven by record U.S. production (+20% YoY), higher commodity prices (Brent avg $104/bbl vs $68), and $1.4B in favorable timing effects. The company also reduced total debt by a record $8.4B, achieved $3B in structural cost savings six months early, and signed a landmark 20-year power agreement with Microsoft. The prior quarter's pre-announcement (April 9) had flagged $2.7-3.7B in negative timing effects and a $350-400M litigation charge, but Q2 results reversed those headwinds dramatically, confirming the business is firing on all cylinders in a high-price environment.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$6.11
est $5.57 · +9.7%
Revenue
$67.2B
est $60.4B · +11.3% · +51.4% YoY
Rating
strong beat
Free Cash Flow
$18.1B

Key Facts

  • Q2 2026 GAAP diluted EPS of $6.11 vs consensus $5.57 (beat by +9.7%)
  • Revenue of $67.2B vs consensus $60.38B (beat by +11.3%)
  • Worldwide production of 4.07 MMBOED, up 20% YoY, driven by Hess assets and Permian/Gulf of America growth
  • Record U.S. upstream production of 2.077 MMBOED and record U.S. refinery crude throughput of 1.07 MBD at 97% utilization
  • Total debt reduced by a record $8.4B in the quarter; net debt-to-CFFO ratio improved to 0.6x from 1.0x at year-end 2025
  • Achieved $3B in annual run-rate structural cost reductions six months early; $1.5B in Hess synergies exceeded initial target by 50%
  • Signed a 20-year PPA with Microsoft to provide 2.67 GW of behind-the-meter power for a West Texas data center
  • CFFO of $22.6B vs $8.6B a year ago; free cash flow of $18.1B vs $4.9B
  • Quarterly dividend declared at $1.78/share, payable Sept 10, 2026
  • Prior quarter's pre-announcement (April 9) had flagged $2.7-3.7B negative timing effects and $350-400M litigation charge — both reversed or were less impactful in Q2

Financial Impact

Q2 GAAP earnings of $12.1B vs $2.5B a year ago (+385%); adjusted earnings of $12.0B vs $3.1B (+293%); CFFO of $22.6B vs $8.6B (+163%)

revenueepscashFlowdebtproduction

Risk Factors

  • Commodity price volatility — Brent at $104/bbl is well above strip; a correction would compress earnings and cash flow
  • Middle East conflict could further disrupt international production (Partitioned Zone curtailments already impacting)
  • Integration of Hess assets still in early stages; synergy targets may face execution risk
  • Global refining margins could normalize as new capacity comes online, pressuring downstream earnings

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Petroleum Refining
Analyst Consensus
77% bullish (30 analysts)

Investment Themes

Traditional Energy

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 6 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0000093410-26-000162
Document: cvx-20260731.htm0000093410-26-000162
Document: 0000093410-26-000162-index-headers.html0000093410-26-000162
Document: 0000093410-26-000162-index.html0000093410-26-000162
Document: 0000093410-26-000162.txt0000093410-26-000162
8-K Data (Synthetic)0000093410-26-000162
15 reports for CVX
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Aug 20, 2026
6w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$205.77 $211.57▲ +2.82%▲ +2.82%$206.51 (+0.36%)
Aug 18, 2026
6w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$203.96 $212.62▲ +4.25%▲ +5.24%$206.51 (+1.25%)
Aug 18, 2026
6w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$205.74 $211.54▲ +2.82%▲ +4.13%$206.51 (+0.37%)
Aug 13, 2026
7w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$200.00 $212.17▲ +6.08%▲ +8.08%$206.51 (+3.25%)
Aug 7, 2026
8w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$186.53 $208.60▲ +11.83%▲ +12.23%$206.51 (+10.71%)
Aug 4, 2026
8w ago
Institutional Cluster
MIXED ★ 5/10
$190.40 $211.05▲ +10.85%▲ +12.08%$206.51 (+8.46%)
Jul 31, 2026
9w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 8/10
$196.83 $201.86▲ +2.56%▼ −0.43%$206.51 (+4.92%)
May 29, 2026
18w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$182.44 $171.06▼ −6.24%▼ −2.60%$206.51 (+13.20%)
Apr 21, 2026
23w ago
Court Ruling
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$185.98 $197.25▲ +6.06%▲ +1.85%$206.51 (+11.04%)
Apr 21, 2026
23w ago
Court Ruling
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$185.98 $197.25▲ +6.06%▲ +1.85%$206.51 (+11.04%)
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