Insider Cluster (5 insiders) ·Filed May 1, 2026

CVNA

CARVANA CO.
BEARISH
Impact 6/10
Horizondays Processed4mo ago
Insider cluster: 5 insiders, $137.3M total
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The dominant seller (Garcia) is a 10% owner whose $136M sale is far larger than routine portfolio rebalancing. Monitor for an 8-K or earnings pre-announcement in the next 2 weeks — such concentrated selling by a control person often precedes material news. The historical win rate on CVNA cluster reports is 63% at T+20, but the only prior bullish call (score=8) lost -12.8% at T+20, suggesting caution on any positive read-through.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizondays
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
CVNA ▼ -83.18% at T+60d
SHORT call ✓ call won +83.18% · α vs SPY +85.74% · entry $380.68 → $64.04
Entry anchored
Apr 30, 03:59 PM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
-1.10%
call +1.10% · α +0.76%
$376.50
settled 5mo ago
T+5d
-79.53%
call +79.53% · α +81.87%
$77.94
settled 5mo ago
T+20d
-81.35%
call +81.35% · α +86.63%
$71.00
settled 4mo ago
T+60d
-83.18%
call +83.18% · α +85.74%
$64.04
settled 2mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Five Carvana insiders sold a total of ~$137.3M in stock over a 7-day window, with 10% owner Ernest Garcia II accounting for $136.1M (99% of the total). The cluster represents ~0.8% of market cap, a significant insider selling event. Garcia's sale alone is nearly 2% of his disclosed stake, and the selling is concentrated at the top of the ownership structure.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
selling
Total Value
$137.3M
Insiders
5

Key Facts

  • Total insider selling: ~$137.3M across 5 insiders over 7 days
  • 10% owner Ernest Garcia II sold 2.0M shares for $136.1M on May 1
  • President Thomas sold 4.4K shares for $355K on May 8
  • COO Huston, CFO Jenkins, and VP Palmer sold smaller amounts totaling ~$786K
  • Cluster represents ~0.8% of Carvana's $17.1B market cap
  • Garcia's sale alone is ~1.2% of his disclosed ownership stake

Financial Impact

~$137.3M in insider selling, ~0.8% of market cap

insider ownershipfloat

Risk Factors

  • Garcia's large sale may signal lack of confidence in near-term outlook
  • Selling by multiple C-suite officers (COO, CFO) amplifies the bearish signal
  • Carvana's stock is up ~70% YTD — insiders may be locking in gains ahead of a pullback

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Retail-Auto Dealers & Gasoline Stations
Analyst Consensus
69% bullish (32 analysts)

Investment Themes

E-commerce & Platforms

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 SEC document filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)cluster-CVNA-1778542567209
25 reports for CVNA
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate 3 of 3 directional calls best @ T+60▲ +82.39%May 1, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for CVNA — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 3, 2026
28d ago
Insider Cluster
MIXED ★ 6/10
$74.59 $70.87▼ −4.99%▼ −3.78%$64.91 (−12.98%)
Aug 17, 2026
6w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$65.00 $75.77▲ +16.57%▲ +16.77%$64.91 (−0.14%)
Aug 4, 2026
8w ago
Insider Buy
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$69.48 $72.48▲ +4.32%▲ +3.97%$64.91 (−6.58%)
Aug 4, 2026
8w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$69.48 $72.48▲ +4.32%▲ +3.97%$64.91 (−6.58%)
Jul 2, 2026
13w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$68.60 $67.12▼ −2.16%▼ −3.09%$64.91 (−5.38%)
Jun 16, 2026
15w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$62.86 $67.91▲ +8.03%▲ +9.08%$64.91 (+3.26%)
Jun 12, 2026
16w ago
Institutional Cluster
MIXED ★ 5/10
$64.10 $66.56▲ +3.84%▲ +3.17%$64.91 (+1.26%)
Jun 11, 2026
16w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$64.10 $66.56▲ +3.84%▲ +3.17%$64.91 (+1.26%)
Jun 9, 2026
16w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$67.25 $70.04▲ +4.15%▲ +0.72%$64.91 (−3.48%)
Jun 8, 2026
16w ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$69.61 $68.90▼ −1.02%▼ −3.43%$64.91 (−6.75%)
Showing 10 of 25

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Report published May 11, 2026