Institutional Cluster

CSCO

CISCO SYSTEMS, INC.
MIXED
Impact 4/10
Horizonweeks Processed3mo ago
Institutional cluster: 4 buyers, 5 sellers (mixed)
Actionable Insight ◆ Mixed

The selling by deep-value shops (Dodge & Cox near-exit, Matrix trim) versus buying by quant/asset managers creates an event-driven tension. Monitor upcoming Q4 FY2025 earnings (expected mid-August) for revenue guidance — Cisco's networking backlog and enterprise spending trajectory will determine which side is correct. The cluster net is small relative to market cap, so size positions accordingly.

DirectionMixed
Confidencemedium
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
CSCO ▼ -10.37% at T+60d
NEUTRAL call ✗ call lost -10.37% · α vs SPY -14.76% · entry $121.83 → $109.20
Entry anchored
Jun 11, 12:54 PM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
-0.60%
call -0.60% · α -1.14%
$121.10
settled 4mo ago
T+5d
-3.69%
call -3.69% · α -4.13%
$117.33
settled 4mo ago
T+20d
-2.89%
call -2.89% · α -4.78%
$118.31
settled 3mo ago
T+60d
-10.37%
call -10.37% · α -14.76%
$109.20
settled 24d ago

Executive Summary

Four major institutional buyers added a net $2.08B to CSCO positions during Q2 2025, led by Franklin Resources (+$1.11B) and Nuveen (+$664M), while five sellers trimmed a combined $1.74B led by Dodge & Cox's near-full exit of $1.30B. The aggregate $340M net buying against a $468B market cap is modest in percentage terms, but the presence of both large active value sellers and quant/asset-manager buyers suggests deep disagreement about Cisco's valuation amid its networking/security transformation.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
mixed
Buy Value
$2.1B
Sell Value
$1.7B
Net Flow
$340.2M

Institutional Positions

Net institutional flow: $340.2M

▲ Buyers (4)

InstitutionActionChangePosition ValueValue Δ
BridgewaterDOUBLED+644.2%$130.0M$114.5M
Point72DOUBLED+117.3%$329.5M$194.6M
Franklin ResourcesADD+46.2%$2.8B$1.1B
NuveenADD+68.9%$1.4B$663.7M

▼ Sellers (5)

InstitutionActionChangePrev ValueValue Δ
Dodge & CoxNEAR_EXIT-97.1%$1.3B-$1.3B
AmundiTRIM-34.4%$1.7B-$377.8M
Two SigmaTRIM-73.2%$83.6M-$58.4M
MatrixTRIM-42%$17.2M-$6.0M
T. Rowe PriceTRIM-25.1%$1.1M-$167.8K

Key Facts

  • 4 institutional buyers (Bridgewater, Point72, Franklin Resources, Nuveen) increased holdings by a net $2.08B in Q2 2025
  • 5 institutional sellers (T. Rowe Price, Matrix, Dodge & Cox, Two Sigma, Amundi) reduced holdings by $1.74B
  • Dodge & Cox sold 97.1% of its CSCO position, exiting $1.30B in value
  • Franklin Resources added the most value: +$1.11B (+46.2%)
  • Net aggregate institutional flow was +$340M, or ~0.07% of market cap
  • Buying dominated by quant/asset-manager types; selling dominated by active value mega-funds

Financial Impact

4 institutional buyers added $2.08B while 5 sellers trimmed $1.74B, for net buying of ~$340M

institutional_ownershipfloat_turnover

Risk Factors

  • Dodge & Cox near-exit suggests fundamental thesis concerns by a long-term value manager
  • 13F data is 45 days stale — cluster positions may have already been unwound or reversed
  • Total net $340M is ~0.07% of market cap, limiting signal strength
  • Buyers are largely quant/asset-manager rather than deep-value or activist, reducing conviction signal

Market Snapshot

Price
$120.60
Volume
334
Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Computer Communications Equipment
Analyst Consensus
70% bullish (33 analysts)

Investment Themes

Software & IT

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 institutional 13F filing from SEC EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
INST-CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)inst-cluster-CSCO-2025-Q2
30 reports for CSCO
Performance horizon
33% Hit rate 3 of 9 directional calls best @ T+20▲ +33.58%Apr 29, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for CSCO — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 30, 2026
2d ago
ANALYST-UPGRADE
BULLISH ★ 4/10
$107.63 $108.76▲ +1.05%▲ +0.87%—
Sep 14, 2026
17d ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$110.07 $107.74▼ −2.12%▼ −1.68%—
Sep 14, 2026
17d ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$110.07 $107.74▼ −2.12%▼ −1.68%—
Sep 1, 2026
4w ago
ANALYST-UPGRADE
BULLISH ★ 4/10
$109.74 $109.46▼ −0.26%▼ −0.70%—
Aug 26, 2026
5w ago
Court Ruling
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$112.36 $112.15▼ −0.19%▼ −0.84%—
Aug 20, 2026
6w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$109.59 $111.04▲ +1.32%▲ +0.91%—
Aug 18, 2026
6w ago
Court Ruling
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$111.61 $110.55▼ −0.95%▼ −1.16%—
Aug 18, 2026
6w ago
Court Ruling
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$111.61 $110.55▼ −0.95%▼ −1.16%—
Aug 17, 2026
6w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$111.61 $110.55▼ −0.95%▼ −1.16%—
Aug 17, 2026
6w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$111.61 $110.55▼ −0.95%▼ −1.16%—
Showing 10 of 30

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Report published Jun 11, 2026