Institutional Cluster

CRMT

AMERICAS CARMART INC
BEARISH
Impact 4/10
Horizonweeks Processed3mo ago
Institutional cluster: 4 buyers, 4 sellers (mixed)
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

Monitor for further institutional selling given the concentrated passive exits. The 13F lag means these positions may already be unwound; corroborate with recent price action and volume. Past CRMT cluster signals have underperformed, so bias toward caution.

DirectionBearish
Confidencemedium
Horizonweeks
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
CRMT ▼ -10.78% at T+60d
SHORT call ✓ call won +10.78% · α vs SPY +15.18% · entry $2.69 → $2.40
Entry anchored
Jun 11, 12:49 PM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
-22.30%
call +22.30% · α +22.85%
$2.09
settled 4mo ago
T+5d
-17.84%
call +17.84% · α +18.28%
$2.21
settled 4mo ago
T+20d
+29.37%
call -29.37% · α -27.48%
$3.48
settled 3mo ago
T+60d
-10.78%
call +10.78% · α +15.18%
$2.40
settled 24d ago

Executive Summary

Net institutional selling in CRMT exceeded buying by $3.2M (16% of market cap) in Q4 2025, driven by mega-passive funds reducing positions. The cluster is dominated by passive rebalancing rather than active thesis, limiting signal strength. Historical poor performance on CRMT calls suggests caution.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
distributing
Buy Value
$1.4M
Sell Value
-$4.6M
Net Flow
-$3.2M

Institutional Positions

Net institutional flow: -$3.2M

▲ Buyers (4)

InstitutionActionChangePosition ValueValue Δ
SchwabADD+42.2%$4.9M$906.0K
Morgan StanleyADD+43.4%$2.4M$459.0K
Wells FargoADD+38.6%$202.0K$34.0K

▼ Sellers (4)

InstitutionActionChangePrev ValueValue Δ
State StreetTRIM-25.1%$5.7M-$2.0M
FidelityNEAR_EXIT-97.2%$1.1M-$1.1M
D.E. ShawTRIM-60.9%$1.6M-$1.0M

Key Facts

  • 4 buyers added $1.4M (all mega-passive adds); 4 sellers reduced by $4.6M (mostly mega-passive trims/exit + one quant trim)
  • Net distribution of $3.2M represents ~16% of CRMT's $20M market cap
  • Only active manager is D.E. Shaw (quant) trimming 60.9% of its position
  • Historical CRMT predictions have 33% win rate at T+20 with avg -1.96% return

Financial Impact

Net institutional selling of $3.2M (16% of market cap) in Q4 2025

institutional ownershipfloat

Risk Factors

  • 13F lag — Q4 positions may not reflect current holdings
  • Passive rebalancing may distort signal strength
  • Small market cap ($20M) amplifies volatility

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Retail-Auto Dealers & Gasoline Stations
Analyst Consensus
67% bullish (9 analysts)

Investment Themes

Consumer & Retail

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 institutional 13F filing from SEC EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
INST-CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)inst-cluster-CRMT-2025-Q4
15 reports for CRMT
Performance horizon
90% Hit rate 9 of 10 directional calls best @ T+60▲ +79.50%Apr 7, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for CRMT — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 11, 2026
21d ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 8/10
$1.90 $1.74▲ +8.42%▲ +8.20%—
Sep 9, 2026
23d ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 9/10
$1.48 $1.74▼ −17.57%▼ −17.90%—
Sep 4, 2026
28d ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$2.49 $1.68▲ +32.53%▲ +31.41%—
Aug 14, 2026
7w ago
Institutional Cluster
MIXED ★ 4/10
$3.14 $2.22▼ −29.30%▼ −28.11%—
Aug 14, 2026
7w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$3.09 $2.38▼ −22.98%▼ −21.61%—
Jul 14, 2026
11w ago
8-K
BEARISH ★ 9/10
$4.28 $3.45▲ +19.39%▲ +18.10%—
Jul 14, 2026
11w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 9/10
$4.28 $3.45▲ +19.39%▲ +18.10%—
Jun 20, 2026
14w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$3.01 $2.60▲ +13.62%▲ +11.55%—
Jun 11, 2026
16w ago
Institutional Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$2.69 $2.21▼ −17.84%▼ −18.28%—
Jun 11, 2026
16w ago
Institutional Cluster
BEARISH ★ 4/10
$2.69 $2.21▲ +17.84%▲ +18.28%—
Showing 10 of 15

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Mon (63h 36m)

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Report published Jun 11, 2026