Insider Cluster (6 insiders) ·Filed Aug 12, 2026

CRCL

Circle Internet Group, Inc.
NEUTRAL
Impact 4/10
Horizondays Processed1mo ago
Insider cluster: 5 insiders, $4.1M total
Actionable Insight • Neutral

The cluster's small size relative to market cap and the presence of derivative exercises (non-cash) suggest these are primarily liquidity-driven sales, not a bearish signal. However, the breadth of selling across multiple senior insiders immediately after earnings warrants monitoring for any follow-on selling or negative guidance revisions. The stock's historical negative drift on prior reports suggests caution; consider waiting for a clearer catalyst before taking a directional position.

DirectionNeutral
Confidencemedium
Horizondays
Latest settled — T+20d
CRCL ▲ +20.19% at T+20d
NEUTRAL call ✓ call won +20.19% · α vs SPY +21.94% · entry $75.38 → $90.60
Next anchor: T+60d in 5w
Latest observation: T+34 +55.79% FF3 residual α
Entry anchored
Aug 12, 05:00 PM ET
via 1-min bar
T+1d
-5.01%
call -5.01% · α -4.82%
$71.60
settled 7w ago
T+5d
+10.98%
call +10.98% · α +12.95%
$83.66
settled 6w ago
T+20d
+20.19%
call +20.19% · α +21.94%
$90.60
settled 22d ago
T+60d
—
call — · α —
—
in 5w

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

A cluster of insider sales at Circle (CRCL) totaling ~$4.14M over 7 days follows the Q2 earnings release. The sales include the CEO (small), CPTO (largest), a director, and other officers, with the CPTO's sale being an open-market disposition after a derivative exercise. While the dollar amount is modest relative to the $18.1B market cap (~0.02%), the breadth of selling across multiple C-suite and board members within a week of earnings is notable. The historical calibration for this filing type shows poor past performance on bullish calls, and the cluster's net selling direction, combined with the earnings report's mixed signals (revenue growth but slowing USDC metrics), suggests a cautious read.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
selling
Total Value
$4.1M
Insiders
6

Key Facts

  • Total insider sales of ~$4.14M over a 7-day window (Aug 3-10, 2026).
  • Sales involve CEO Jeremy Allaire ($16K), CPTO Nikhil Chandhok ($1.79M), Director Danita Ostling ($1.23M), Director Patrick Neville ($924K), CAO Tamara Schulz ($72K), and CCO Hossein Razzaghi ($110K).
  • Chandhok's sale followed an exercise of 23,333 shares at $0 (non-cash) and another exercise at $25.81.
  • Sales occurred 1-5 days after the Q2 2026 earnings release (Aug 5), which showed revenue of $701M (+7% YoY) and a swing to net income of $48M.
  • Total sales represent ~0.02% of CRCL's $18.1B market cap, below the 0.1% threshold for materiality.
  • Historical performance on prior CRCL reports shows an average T+20 loss of -4.34% with a 25% win rate, indicating past calls have been directionally wrong.

Financial Impact

Insider sales of ~$4.14M, or ~0.02% of market cap. Non-material in absolute size.

insider ownershipfloat

Risk Factors

  • Insider selling could accelerate if the stock continues to rise, creating overhead supply.
  • The Q2 earnings showed a sequential decline in USDC in circulation (-5% QoQ), which could pressure future revenue.
  • Historical calibration shows poor predictive power for this filing type on CRCL, with past bullish calls underperforming.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Finance Services
Analyst Consensus
53% bullish (36 analysts)

Investment Themes

Traditional Finance

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 SEC document filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
CLUSTER Data (Synthetic)cluster-CRCL-1786568473440
65 reports for CRCL
Performance horizon
82% Hit rate 9 of 11 directional calls best @ T+60▲ +34.26%Feb 25, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for CRCL — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 10, 2026
21d ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$90.60 $91.78▼ −1.30%▼ −1.64%$82.42 (+9.03%)
Sep 3, 2026
29d ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$103.23 $90.60▼ −12.23%▼ −11.09%$82.42 (−20.16%)
Sep 3, 2026
29d ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$103.23 $90.60▼ −12.23%▼ −11.09%$82.42 (−20.16%)
Sep 2, 2026
29d ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$88.64 $90.32▲ +1.90%▲ +2.85%$82.42 (−7.02%)
Sep 2, 2026
4w ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$88.64 $90.32▲ +1.90%▲ +2.85%$82.42 (−7.02%)
Sep 1, 2026
4w ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$89.48 $92.99▲ +3.92%▲ +3.84%$82.42 (−7.89%)
Aug 24, 2026
5w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$92.02 $89.48▼ −2.76%▼ −2.22%$82.42 (−10.43%)
Aug 21, 2026
5w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$87.72 $95.55▲ +8.93%▲ +8.46%$82.42 (−6.04%)
Aug 21, 2026
6w ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$87.98 $87.14▼ −0.95%▼ −1.43%$82.42 (−6.32%)
Aug 20, 2026
6w ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$87.98 $87.14▼ −0.95%▼ −1.43%$82.42 (−6.32%)
Showing 10 of 65

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Report published Aug 12, 2026