Insider Cluster (2 insiders) ·Filed Mar 20, 2026

COP

CONOCOPHILLIPS
NEUTRAL
Impact 5/10
Horizondays Processed6mo ago
Insider cluster: 2 insiders, $65.4M total
Actionable Insight • Neutral

Monitor for Form 144 filings or 10b5-1 plan disclosures that may confirm whether these were pre-scheduled trades. Given the size and timing, this likely reflects planned diversification post-option exercise rather than a negative view on fundamentals.

DirectionNeutral
Confidencehigh
Horizondays
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
COP ▼ -7.67% at T+60d
NEUTRAL call ✗ call lost -7.67% · α vs SPY -22.09% · entry $126.70 → $116.98
Entry anchored
Mar 19, 04:31 PM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
+0.36%
call +0.36% · α -0.75%
$127.15
settled 7mo ago
T+5d
+5.60%
call +5.60% · α +7.75%
$133.79
settled 6mo ago
T+20d
-8.09%
call -8.09% · α -17.41%
$116.45
settled 6mo ago
T+60d
-7.67%
call -7.67% · α -22.09%
$116.98
settled 4mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

ConocoPhillips CEO Ryan Lance sold 506,800 shares for approximately $64.5 million in open-market transactions, coinciding with the exercise of equivalent stock options. EVP Nicholas Olds also sold nearly 7,000 shares for $889,000. The cluster is dominated by the CEO's large, pre-planned exit of appreciated shares following option exercises.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
selling
Total Value
$65.4M
Insiders
2

Key Facts

  • CEO Ryan Lance sold 506,800 shares at ~$127.26, generating $64.5 million in proceeds.
  • The sale coincided with the exercise of 1,013,600 derivative securities (options), half at zero exercise price and half at $49.755 per share.
  • EVP Nicholas Olds sold 6,994 shares for $888,651 in a separate open-market transaction.
  • Total open-market sales in the cluster: $65.4 million.
  • All transactions occurred within a 7-day window, with the CEO's sale representing 98.6% of the total dollar value.

Financial Impact

$65.4 million in open-market insider sales over 7 days

insider ownershipshare floatinvestor sentiment

Risk Factors

  • Perception risk: Such a large CEO sale may be misinterpreted as lack of confidence, despite likely being part of a pre-arranged plan.
  • Potential for short-term downward pressure on sentiment, especially if media frames the sale negatively.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Analyst Consensus
73% bullish (33 analysts)

Investment Themes

Traditional Energy

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 SEC document filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
CONTEXT: Insider Cluster Data (4 trades, 7d window)cluster-COP-1774303148393
15 reports for COP
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate 6 of 6 directional calls best @ T+20▲ +16.24%Aug 6, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for COP — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Aug 24, 2026
5w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$133.35 $125.27▼ −6.06%▼ −7.37%$126.78 (−4.93%)
Aug 6, 2026
8w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$116.76 $135.72▲ +16.24%▲ +15.64%$126.78 (+8.58%)
Jul 23, 2026
10w ago
Institutional Cluster
MIXED ★ 4/10
$120.20 $134.73▲ +12.08%▲ +8.78%$126.78 (+5.47%)
Jun 30, 2026
13w ago
S-3ASR
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$103.22 $118.06▲ +14.38%▲ +16.56%$126.78 (+22.82%)
Jun 23, 2026
14w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$106.92 $118.79▲ +11.10%▲ +9.17%$126.78 (+18.57%)
Jun 10, 2026
16w ago
Court Ruling
BEARISH ★ 4/10
$119.92 $108.02▲ +9.92%▲ +13.55%$126.78 (−5.72%)
May 27, 2026
18w ago
Court Ruling
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$115.14 $106.92▲ +7.14%▲ +4.84%$126.78 (−10.11%)
Mar 30, 2026
26w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$132.86 $124.27▼ −6.47%▼ −19.06%$126.78 (−4.58%)
Mar 20, 2026
28w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 8/10
$126.70 $116.45▲ +8.09%▲ +17.41%$126.78 (−0.06%)
Mar 20, 2026
28w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$126.70 $116.45▼ −8.09%▼ −17.41%$126.78 (+0.06%)
Showing 10 of 15

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Report published Mar 23, 2026