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8-K ·Filed Oct 20, 2026

COF

CAPITAL ONE FINANCIAL CORP
BULLISH
Impact 6/10
Horizondays Processed6d 2h ago SEC0000927628-26-000142
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

The beat was driven by margin expansion and improving credit trends, but revenue came in slightly below consensus. Watch the earnings call for commentary on loan growth sustainability, deposit cost trends, and the pace of Discover/Brex synergy realization.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizondays
Latest settled — T+1d ⚠ clustered
COF ▼ -1.56% at T+1d
LONG call ✗ call lost -1.56% · α vs SPY -0.38% · entry $206.66 → $203.43
Next anchor: T+5d in 14h
Latest observation: T+2 -3.13% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Oct 20, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-1.56%
call -1.56% · α -0.38%
$203.43
settled 5d ago
T+5d
Pending
in 14h
T+20d
Pending
in 22d
T+60d
Pending
in 3mo

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Capital One reported Q3 2026 GAAP diluted EPS of $5.61, well above the $4.76 consensus, driven by strong net interest income growth and lower credit costs. Total net revenue rose 3% QoQ to $16.3B, while the provision for credit losses declined to $2.9B, reflecting a $225M reserve release. The adjusted (non-GAAP) EPS of $6.69 also beat the $5.45 Street consensus, marking the second consecutive quarter of accelerating earnings momentum post-Discover and Brex acquisitions.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$5.61
est $4.76 · +17.9%
Revenue
$16.3B
est $16.6B · -1.2% · +6.4% YoY
Rating
strong beat

Key Facts

  • GAAP diluted EPS of $5.61 vs consensus $4.76 (beat by 17.9%)
  • Adjusted (non-GAAP) diluted EPS of $6.69 vs Street consensus $5.45 (beat by 22.8%)
  • Total net revenue of $16.34B, up 3% QoQ and 6% YoY
  • Net interest margin expanded 40bps QoQ to 8.41%
  • Provision for credit losses fell to $2.9B from $3.0B QoQ, with a $225M reserve release
  • Net charge-off rate improved 50bps QoQ to 2.73%
  • CET1 ratio of 13.8%, down 60bps YoY but still well above regulatory minimums
  • Tangible book value per share declined 2% QoQ to $102.72, impacted by AOCI and share buybacks

Financial Impact

GAAP EPS beat consensus by $0.85 (17.9%); adjusted EPS beat by $1.24 (22.8%). Revenue slightly below consensus ($16.34B vs $16.55B).

epsnet interest incomenet interest marginprovision for credit lossesnet charge-off rate

Risk Factors

  • Revenue slightly below consensus ($16.34B vs $16.55B) could cap upside
  • CET1 ratio declining to 13.8% from 14.4% a year ago limits capital return flexibility
  • Tangible book value per share declining 2% QoQ to $102.72
  • AOCI loss widening to -$10.0B from -$5.9B in Q1 2026, pressuring equity
  • Integration costs for Discover and Brex continues to add $385M in Q3 2026 adjusting items

Investment Themes

Traditional Finance

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 7 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0000927628-26-000142
Exhibit: ex991q32026earningsrelease.htm0000927628-26-000142
Document: cof-20261020.htm0000927628-26-000142
Document: 0000927628-26-000142-index-headers.html0000927628-26-000142
Document: 0000927628-26-000142-index.html0000927628-26-000142
Document: 0000927628-26-000142.txt0000927628-26-000142
8-K Data (Synthetic)0000927628-26-000142
44 reports for COF
Performance horizon
80% Hit rate @ T+5 4 of 5 directional calls Went positive at some point 4 of 5 best @ T+60▲ +20.63%Jun 11, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for COF — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 23, 2026
3d ago
Court Ruling
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
—awaiting T+5——
Oct 20, 2026
6d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$206.66awaiting T+5—$202.35 (−2.09%)
Oct 20, 2026
6d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$206.66awaiting T+5—$202.35 (−2.09%)
Oct 19, 2026
7d ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$201.56awaiting T+5—$202.35 (+0.39%)
Oct 15, 2026
11d ago
Court Ruling
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$201.74 $201.34▼ −0.20%▲ +0.23%$202.35 (+0.30%)
Oct 6, 2026
20d ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$195.91 $194.35▼ −0.80%▲ +0.18%$202.35 (+3.29%)
Sep 28, 2026
28d ago
Court Ruling
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$196.46 $195.82▼ −0.33%▼ −2.27%$202.35 (+3.00%)
Sep 28, 2026
28d ago
Court Ruling
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$196.46 $195.82▼ −0.33%▼ −2.27%$202.35 (+3.00%)
Sep 21, 2026
5w ago
Court Ruling
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$200.55 $196.46▼ −2.04%▼ −0.85%$202.35 (+0.90%)
Sep 16, 2026
5w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$202.04 $196.61▼ −2.69%▼ −3.29%$202.35 (+0.15%)
Showing 10 of 44

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Tue (< 1m)

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Report published Oct 20, 2026