8-K ·Filed Aug 6, 2026

CNR

Core Natural Resources, Inc.
BULLISH
Impact 7/10
Horizonweeks Processed1mo ago SEC0001710366-26-000053
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

The massive step-up in free cash flow and adjusted EBITDA, combined with the Leer South insurance recovery and lowered cost guidance, signals a powerful inflection in Core's earnings power. Traders should watch for continued share repurchase acceleration in H2 2026, as management explicitly guided for 'even stronger capital returns' and an 'accelerated reduction in share count.' The raised volume guidance and strong contracted position (30.9M high CV thermal tons at $58.00, 6.0M coking tons at $120.86) provide high visibility into H2 cash flows.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+20d ⚠ clustered
CNR ▲ +8.28% at T+20d
LONG call ✓ call won +8.28% · α vs SPY +7.68% · entry $89.98 → $97.43
Next anchor: T+60d in 28d
Latest observation: T+37 -0.25% FF3 residual α
Entry anchored
Aug 6, 06:59 AM ET
via 1-min bar
T+1d
-0.42%
call -0.42% · α -1.03%
$89.60
settled 8w ago
T+5d
+3.90%
call +3.90% · α +2.69%
$93.49
settled 7w ago
T+20d
+8.28%
call +8.28% · α +7.68%
$97.43
settled 29d ago
T+60d
—
call — · α —
—
in 28d

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Core Natural Resources reported Q2 2026 net income of $126.5M ($2.51 GAAP diluted EPS) on revenues of $1.14B, a significant operational step-up driven by cost improvements in the high CV thermal and metallurgical segments and a $125.4M Leer South insurance recovery. Adjusted EBITDA surged to $323.6M from $179.9M in Q1, and free cash flow reached $148M, funding $63M in share repurchases. The company raised its 2026 total sales volume guidance to 87.3-92.4M tons and tightened metallurgical cost guidance lower, signaling continued operational momentum despite a soft near-term coal pricing environment.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$2.51
est $0.57 · +340.4%
Revenue
$1.1B
est $1.1B · +3.7% · +3.5% YoY
Rating
strong beat
Guidance
87.3-92.4 million tons (sales volume)
raised
Free Cash Flow
$148.0M

Key Facts

  • Net income of $126.5M ($2.51/diluted share) vs $21.0M ($0.41) in Q1 2026
  • Adjusted EBITDA of $323.6M, up 80% from $179.9M in Q1 2026
  • Free cash flow of $148.0M, up from $55.5M in Q1 2026
  • High CV thermal cash cost per ton improved 9% QoQ to $38.58; metallurgical cash cost improved 7% QoQ to $85.65
  • Leer South insurance claim fully settled, netting $154.5M total; $125.4M recognized in Q2
  • Returned $68M to shareholders via $63M in buybacks (719,904 shares at avg $87.54) and $5M in dividends
  • 2026 total sales volume guidance raised to 87.3-92.4M tons; metallurgical cost guidance lowered to $86-$91/ton
  • Total liquidity of $1.0B including $474M cash; net cash position of $31.6M

Financial Impact

Q2 net income of $126.5M vs $21.0M in Q1; Adjusted EBITDA of $323.6M vs $179.9M QoQ; Free cash flow of $148.0M vs $55.5M QoQ

net incomeadjusted EBITDAfree cash flowoperating cash flowcash cost per ton

Risk Factors

  • Soft near-term thermal coal demand due to low natural gas prices and customer stockpiling
  • Metallurgical coal markets remain muted with US East Coast prices lagging Australian indices
  • PRB segment posted negative cash margins of -$0.57/ton in Q2 due to seasonally low shipments and higher fuel costs
  • Forward-looking statements about AI-driven power demand and coal fleet preservation are speculative and may not materialize

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Silver Ores
Analyst Consensus
89% bullish (9 analysts)

Investment Themes

Materials & Mining

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 7 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001710366-26-000053
Document: cnrq22026er-exhibit992.htm0001710366-26-000053
Document: cnr-20260806.htm0001710366-26-000053
Document: 0001710366-26-000053-index-headers.html0001710366-26-000053
Document: 0001710366-26-000053-index.html0001710366-26-000053
Document: 0001710366-26-000053.txt0001710366-26-000053
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001710366-26-000053
14 reports for CNR
Performance horizon

Track record builds as more directional reports settle.

Filters
Rows
Reports for CNR — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Aug 19, 2026
6w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$93.30 $93.32▲ +0.02%▲ +1.97%$89.13 (−4.47%)
Aug 6, 2026
8w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$89.98 $97.43▲ +8.28%▲ +7.68%$89.13 (−0.94%)
Jun 4, 2026
17w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$93.44 $80.83▼ −13.50%▼ −15.36%$89.13 (−4.61%)
May 19, 2026
19w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$82.97 $83.57▲ +0.72%▼ −0.02%$89.13 (+7.42%)
May 7, 2026
21w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$88.56 $96.43▲ +8.89%▲ +5.75%$89.13 (+0.64%)
May 4, 2026
21w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$88.38 $94.57▲ +7.00%▲ +2.05%$89.13 (+0.85%)
May 1, 2026
22w ago
3
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$87.02 $93.17▲ +7.07%▲ +1.78%$89.13 (+2.42%)
May 1, 2026
22w ago
3
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$87.02 $93.17▲ +7.07%▲ +1.78%$89.13 (+2.42%)
Apr 30, 2026
22w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$86.93 $93.17▲ +7.18%▲ +1.92%$89.13 (+2.53%)
Mar 17, 2026
28w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$98.78 $89.31▼ −9.59%▼ −13.89%$89.13 (−9.77%)
Showing 10 of 14

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