6-K ·Filed Apr 29, 2026

CNI

CANADIAN NATIONAL RAILWAY CO
MIXED
Impact 5/10
Horizondays Processed5mo ago SEC0000016868-26-000026
Notable filing: 6-K
Actionable Insight ◆ Mixed

The slight revenue/earnings decline combined with improved cash flow and operational efficiency suggests a neutral-to-mixed market reaction. Monitor tariff/trade developments and the STB ruling on the UP-NS merger (revised application due April 30) which could materially impact CN's competitive position. Continued strong free cash flow supports buybacks and dividend growth.

DirectionMixed
Confidencehigh
Horizondays
Final — all horizons settled through T+60d ⚠ clustered
CNI ▲ +19.80% at T+60d
NEUTRAL call ✓ call won +19.80% · α vs SPY +15.69% · entry $108.08 → $129.48
Entry anchored
Apr 29, 2026
via day open
T+1d
+3.75%
call +3.75% · α +2.72%
$112.13
settled 5mo ago
T+5d
+3.80%
call +3.80% · α +0.69%
$112.19
settled 5mo ago
T+20d
+9.92%
call +9.92% · α +3.87%
$118.80
settled 4mo ago
T+60d
+19.80%
call +19.80% · α +15.69%
$129.48
settled 2mo ago

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

CN reported Q1 2026 earnings with revenue down 1% to $4,379M, net income down 1% to $1,146M, and adjusted diluted EPS down 3% to $1.80. Operating ratio worsened to 64.6% from 63.4%. Despite weaker headline financials, operational metrics improved (record RTMs up 3%, free cash flow up 44% to $900M). The company repurchased 6 million shares for $869M and maintained its outlook for flattish RTM growth with adjusted diluted EPS growth slightly exceeding volume.

Key Facts

  • Revenue decreased 1% to $4,379 million from $4,403 million
  • Operating income fell 4% to $1,549 million; adjusted operating income down 3%
  • Net income down 1% to $1,146 million; adjusted net income down 5% to $1,102 million
  • Diluted EPS rose 1% to $1.87 due to buybacks; adjusted diluted EPS fell 3% to $1.80
  • Free cash flow surged 44% to $900 million
  • Record first-quarter RTMs of 61,834 million, up 3%
  • Operating ratio deteriorated to 64.6% from 63.4% (adjusted 64.2% vs 63.4%)
  • Repurchased 6.0 million shares for $869 million in Q1
  • Maintained guidance: flattish RTM growth, adjusted diluted EPS growth to slightly exceed volume, ~C$2.8 billion capital program

Financial Impact

Revenue declined $24M, net income declined $15M, free cash flow increased $274M

revenueoperating incomenet incomeadjusted EPSfree cash flowoperating ratio

Risk Factors

  • Heightened demand risk from volatile macroeconomic conditions, geopolitical conflicts, and global trade tensions
  • Potential STB approval of UP-NS merger creating a powerful transcontinental competitor
  • Higher incident costs and winter weather expenses pressuring margins
  • Stronger Canadian dollar negatively impacting US dollar-denominated revenues

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Railroads, Line-Haul Operating
Analyst Consensus
54% bullish (28 analysts)

Investment Themes

Industrials & Manufacturing

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 8 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
6-K Filing (Primary)0000016868-26-000026
Document: a2026q1fsnotes.htm0000016868-26-000026
Document: a2026q1pressreleasestatssu.htm0000016868-26-000026
Document: a2026q16k.htm0000016868-26-000026
Document: a2026q1ceocfocertificates.htm0000016868-26-000026
Document: 0000016868-26-000026-index-headers.html0000016868-26-000026
Document: 0000016868-26-000026-index.html0000016868-26-000026
Document: 0000016868-26-000026.txt0000016868-26-000026
20 reports for CNI
Performance horizon
67% Hit rate 4 of 6 directional calls best @ T+60▲ +19.80%Apr 28, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for CNI — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Sep 16, 2026
15d ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$119.49 $119.49· 0.00%▼ −2.56%$117.16 (−1.95%)
Aug 25, 2026
5w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$127.12 $120.42▼ −5.27%▼ −4.73%$117.16 (−7.84%)
Jul 24, 2026
10w ago
6-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$129.48 $127.13▼ −1.81%▼ −2.19%$117.16 (−9.51%)
Jul 24, 2026
10w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$129.48 $127.13▼ −1.81%▼ −2.19%$117.16 (−9.51%)
Jul 22, 2026
10w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$130.58 $127.13▼ −2.64%▼ −3.12%$117.16 (−10.28%)
Jul 22, 2026
10w ago
Press Release
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$130.58 $127.13▼ −2.64%▼ −3.12%$117.16 (−10.28%)
Jul 3, 2026
12w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$121.56 $124.34▲ +2.29%▲ +1.36%$117.16 (−3.62%)
Jun 19, 2026
14w ago
Institutional Cluster
MIXED ★ 5/10
$114.13 $120.56▲ +5.63%▲ +7.70%$117.16 (+2.65%)
Jun 5, 2026
16w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$120.38 $118.98▼ −1.16%▼ −1.73%$117.16 (−2.67%)
May 11, 2026
20w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$110.60 $112.63▲ +1.84%▲ +1.92%$117.16 (+5.93%)
Showing 10 of 20

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens in 39m

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