SecBot SecBot
Insider Buy ·Filed Aug 17, 2026

CMCL

Caledonia Mining Corp Plc
BULLISH
Impact 5/10
Horizonweeks Processed2mo ago SEC0002123122-26-000004
Insider cluster: 1 insiders, $493K total
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

The director's open-market purchase is a modest bullish signal, but the dollar amount is small relative to market cap. Monitor for additional insider buying or a catalyst (e.g., production update, gold price move) to confirm conviction. The strong analyst consensus and positive historical momentum support a favorable near-term outlook, but the single-insider nature limits the signal's strength.

DirectionBullish
Confidencemedium
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+20d ⚠ clustered
CMCL ▲ +4.40% at T+20d
LONG call ✓ call won +4.40% · α vs SPY +5.39% · entry $23.07 → $24.09
Next anchor: T+60d in 14d
Latest observation: T+47 +11.66% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Aug 17, 2026
via day close
T+1d
+5.55%
call +5.55% · α +5.34%
$24.35
settled 2mo ago
T+5d
+9.62%
call +9.62% · α +9.82%
$25.29
settled 2mo ago
T+20d
+4.40%
call +4.40% · α +5.39%
$24.09
settled 6w ago
T+60d
Pending
in 14d

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Director July Ndlovu made a single open-market purchase of 21,400 shares of Caledonia Mining Corp Plc (CMCL) for approximately $493,000 at $23.03 per share. This is a conviction buy by a board member, representing about 0.11% of the company's $434M market cap, which is a modest but notable insider signal. The purchase aligns with strong analyst consensus (89% bullish) and follows a period of positive historical returns for the stock, though the dollar amount is not large enough to be transformative on its own.

Key Financial Metrics

Direction
buying
Total Value
$493.0K
Insiders
1

Key Facts

  • Director July Ndlovu purchased 21,400 shares of CMCL on the open market at $23.03 per share.
  • Total purchase value was approximately $493,000, representing about 0.11% of CMCL's $434M market cap.
  • The purchase is a single insider buy (not a cluster), but it is a conviction open-market purchase by a director.
  • Analyst consensus is 89% bullish (8 Buy/Strong Buy, 1 Hold, 0 Sell).

Financial Impact

Director purchased $493K of CMCL common stock at $23.03/share, representing ~0.11% of market cap.

insider ownership

Risk Factors

  • Single insider buy by a director (not C-suite) carries less predictive power than a CEO/CFO purchase.
  • Gold mining stocks are highly sensitive to gold price fluctuations, which are outside management's control.
  • The purchase is only ~0.11% of market cap, which is a modest signal per academic literature.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
NYSE
Sector
Gold and Silver Ores
Analyst Consensus
89% bullish (9 analysts)

Investment Themes

Materials & Mining

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 SEC document filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
INSIDER-BUY Data (Synthetic)0002123122-26-000004
36 reports for CMCL
Performance horizon
100% Hit rate @ T+5 5 of 5 directional calls Went positive at some point 5 of 5 best @ T+60▲ +40.37%Jun 10, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for CMCL — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 19, 2026
7d ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$23.41 $21.37▼ −8.71%▼ −8.57%$21.37 (−8.71%)
Oct 16, 2026
10d ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$23.54 $21.26▼ −9.69%▼ −9.26%$21.37 (−9.22%)
Oct 15, 2026
11d ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$23.70 $21.86▼ −7.76%▼ −6.75%$21.37 (−9.83%)
Oct 13, 2026
13d ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$23.73 $23.21▼ −2.19%▼ −1.04%$21.37 (−9.95%)
Oct 9, 2026
17d ago
6-K
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$23.75 $23.54▲ +0.88%▼ −1.08%$21.37 (+10.02%)
Sep 28, 2026
28d ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$23.30 $24.34▲ +4.46%▲ +3.26%$21.37 (−8.28%)
Sep 24, 2026
4w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$23.87 $23.77▼ −0.42%▼ −0.00%$21.37 (−10.47%)
Sep 23, 2026
4w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$24.13 $23.54▼ −2.45%▼ −1.77%$21.37 (−11.44%)
Sep 22, 2026
4w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$24.94 $23.42▼ −6.09%▼ −4.91%$21.37 (−14.31%)
Sep 14, 2026
6w ago
6-K
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$25.22 $24.14▼ −4.28%▼ −4.39%$21.37 (−15.27%)
Showing 10 of 36

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens in 6h 18m

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Report published Aug 17, 2026