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8-K ·Filed Oct 15, 2026

CMC

COMMERCIAL METALS Co
BULLISH
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed12d 2h ago SEC0000022444-26-000053
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

The strong beat and raised guidance (via constructive FY27 outlook) should support the stock. Watch for precast recovery in Q1 and TAG program updates; the stock may re-rate if precast momentum improves.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+5d
CMC ▼ -2.42% at T+5d
LONG call ✗ call lost -2.42% · α vs SPY -1.40% · entry $65.37 → $63.79
Next anchor: T+20d in 16d
Latest observation: T+6 -4.92% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Oct 15, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-0.60%
call -0.60% · α +0.51%
$64.98
settled 11d ago
T+5d
-2.42%
call -2.42% · α -1.40%
$63.79
settled 5d ago
T+20d
Pending
in 16d
T+60d
Pending
in 3mo

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

CMC reported a strong Q4 fiscal 2026 beat, with adjusted EPS of $2.09 (+21.9% vs consensus $1.71) and revenue of $2.66B (+4.3% vs consensus $2.55B). Core EBITDA grew 35.1% YoY to $393.7M, driven by North America Steel Group margin expansion and precast acquisitions, though precast results missed expectations due to residential softness. The company guided for a seasonally softer Q1 but maintained a constructive FY2027 outlook with backlogs near record levels.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$2.09
est $1.71 · +21.9%
Revenue
$2.7M
est $2.5M · +4.3% · +25.7% YoY
Rating
strong beat

Key Facts

  • Q4 adjusted EPS of $2.09 vs consensus $1.71 (21.9% beat)
  • Q4 revenue of $2.66B vs consensus $2.55B (4.3% beat)
  • Core EBITDA grew 35.1% YoY to $393.7M, margin expanded 100bps to 14.8%
  • North America Steel Group adjusted EBITDA +32.6% YoY to $317.5M, margin 16.4%
  • Construction Solutions Group sales +94.5% YoY to $431.4M, but precast missed expectations
  • Net leverage adjusted for acquisitions improved to 1.9x, below 2.0x target
  • TAG program achieved $250M+ gross run-rate benefits; targeting $100M+ incremental FY27 benefits
  • Q1 FY2027 guidance: NASG EBITDA expected nearly flat QoQ; CSG down seasonally; Europe up meaningfully

Financial Impact

Q4 adjusted EPS $2.09 vs $1.71 consensus; revenue $2.66B vs $2.55B consensus; core EBITDA $393.7M +35.1% YoY

revenueepsebitdamarginsleverage

Risk Factors

  • Precast segment underperformance due to residential softness may persist
  • Europe Steel Group EBITDA declined 60% YoY due to absence of CO2 credits
  • Seasonal Q1 guidance implies near-flat NASG EBITDA and down CSG could disappoint
  • Elevated interest expense ($37.3M vs $12.1M YoY) from debt-funded acquisitions

Investment Themes

Materials & Mining

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 7 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0000022444-26-000053
Document: a4q26supplementaryslides.htm0000022444-26-000053
Document: cmc-20261015.htm0000022444-26-000053
Document: 0000022444-26-000053-index-headers.html0000022444-26-000053
Document: 0000022444-26-000053-index.html0000022444-26-000053
Document: 0000022444-26-000053.txt0000022444-26-000053
8-K Data (Synthetic)0000022444-26-000053
6 reports for CMC
Performance horizon

Track record builds as more directional reports settle.

Filters
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Reports for CMC — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 15, 2026
12d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$65.37 $63.79▼ −2.42%▼ −1.40%$63.20 (−3.32%)
Oct 13, 2026
14d ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$64.77 $64.65▼ −0.19%▲ +0.97%$63.20 (−2.42%)
Sep 21, 2026
5w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$65.00awaiting T+5—$63.20 (−2.77%)
Aug 27, 2026
8w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 6/10
$68.76 $68.75▲ +0.01%▲ +0.28%$63.20 (+8.09%)
Aug 5, 2026
11w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$75.67 $72.34▼ −4.40%▼ −4.75%$63.20 (−16.48%)
Apr 13, 2026
28w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$65.94 $67.52▲ +2.40%▲ +1.00%$63.20 (−4.16%)
Showing 6 of 6

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Report published Oct 15, 2026