PRESS-RELEASE ·Filed Jul 27, 2026

CENX

Century Aluminum Company
BEARISH
Impact 7/10
Horizonweeks Processed2mo ago WireGlobeNewswire
Press release: earnings
Actionable Insight ▼ Bearish

The persistent pattern of large EPS misses suggests structural cost or demand issues. Monitor the Q2 2026 earnings release on August 6 for any guidance changes or operational updates that could signal a turnaround or further deterioration.

DirectionBearish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+20d ⚠ clustered
CENX ▲ +0.55% at T+20d
SHORT call ✗ call lost -0.55% · α vs SPY +2.84% · entry $43.96 → $44.20
Next anchor: T+60d in 18d
Latest observation: T+47 -9.94% FF3 residual α
Entry anchored
Jul 27, 03:59 PM ET
via exchange tick
T+1d
-2.96%
call +2.96% · α +1.42%
$42.66
settled 2mo ago
T+5d
+2.82%
call -2.82% · α -0.55%
$45.20
settled 2mo ago
T+20d
+0.55%
call -0.55% · α +2.84%
$44.20
settled 6w ago
T+60d
—
call — · α —
—
in 18d

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Century Aluminum reported Q1 2026 EPS of $1.63, a 29.1% miss vs the $2.30 consensus estimate, with revenue of $831.1M. This marks a significant earnings miss, continuing a trend of negative EPS surprises over the past four quarters. The stock has historically reacted poorly to high-impact bearish calls on this ticker, with prior score-9 and score-5 bearish reports generating negative T+20 alpha.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$1.63
est $2.30 · -29.1%
Revenue
$831.1M
est $831.1M · 0.0%
Rating
miss

Key Facts

  • Q1 2026 EPS of $1.63 missed consensus of $2.30 by 29.1%
  • Revenue of $831.1M was in line with consensus of $831.1M
  • This is the fourth consecutive quarter of negative EPS surprises
  • Prior quarter (Dec 2025) EPS was $0.02 vs consensus of $1.25 (98.4% miss)
  • The company will report Q2 2026 earnings on August 6, 2026

Financial Impact

EPS miss of $0.67 (29.1%) vs consensus on $831.1M revenue

eps

Risk Factors

  • Continued earnings misses could erode investor confidence and lead to further downside
  • Aluminum price volatility and input cost inflation may pressure margins
  • No guidance provided in this filing, leaving uncertainty about future performance

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Primary Production of Aluminum
Analyst Consensus
91% bullish (11 analysts)

Investment Themes

Materials & Mining

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 1 press release from GlobeNewswire.

DocumentAccession Number
PRESS-RELEASE Data (Synthetic)press-3333925
8 reports for CENX
Performance horizon
33% Hit rate 1 of 3 directional calls best @ T+20▲ +5.34%Feb 25, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for CENX — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Jul 27, 2026
9w ago
Press Release
BEARISH ★ 7/10
$43.96 $44.20▼ −0.55%▲ +2.84%$35.62 (+18.97%)
Jun 19, 2026
15w ago
Institutional Cluster
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$49.53 $41.50▼ −16.21%▼ −16.06%$35.62 (−28.08%)
Jun 11, 2026
16w ago
Institutional Cluster
MIXED ★ 4/10
$60.94 $45.11▼ −25.98%▼ −27.87%$35.62 (−41.55%)
Apr 29, 2026
22w ago
Press Release
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$58.98 $65.72▲ +11.43%▲ +5.97%$35.62 (−39.61%)
Apr 24, 2026
23w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$60.74 $60.46▼ −0.46%▼ −4.49%$35.62 (−41.36%)
Mar 4, 2026
30w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$53.43 $63.51▼ −18.87%▼ −23.28%$35.62 (+33.33%)
Feb 25, 2026
31w ago
Insider Cluster
BEARISH ★ 9/10
$53.02 $50.19▲ +5.34%▲ +0.10%$35.62 (+32.82%)
Feb 23, 2026
31w ago
Insider Cluster
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$51.84 $46.48▼ −10.34%▼ −6.39%$35.62 (−31.29%)
Showing 8 of 8

US Market Status

Market Closed — Opens Mon (37h 47m)

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Report published Jul 27, 2026