8-K ·Filed Aug 6, 2026

CEG

Constellation Energy Corp
BULLISH
Impact 7/10
Horizonweeks Processed1mo ago SEC0001868275-26-000097
8-K Item 2.02: Earnings release
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

The raised guidance and strong beat confirm the Calpine integration thesis and growing contracted revenue base. Monitor the Q3 earnings call for updates on PJM capacity auction results and Crane restart timeline, which could provide further upside to 2027 estimates.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+20d ⚠ clustered
CEG ▲ +9.17% at T+20d
LONG call ✓ call won +9.17% · α vs SPY +8.57% · entry $261.10 → $285.05
Next anchor: T+60d in 28d
Latest observation: T+37 +20.91% FF3 residual α
Entry anchored
Aug 6, 06:52 AM ET
via 1-min bar
T+1d
+3.37%
call +3.37% · α +2.75%
$269.89
settled 8w ago
T+5d
+6.72%
call +6.72% · α +5.51%
$278.64
settled 7w ago
T+20d
+9.17%
call +9.17% · α +8.57%
$285.05
settled 29d ago
T+60d
—
call — · α —
—
in 28d

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Constellation Energy reported Q2 2026 Adjusted (non-GAAP) Operating Earnings of $2.55 per share, a 33.5% YoY increase from $1.91, beating the $2.34 consensus by 9.1%. The company raised its full-year 2026 Adjusted Operating Earnings guidance to $11.50-$12.50 per share from $11.00-$12.00, citing strong commercial performance, accretive share repurchases, and the addition of Calpine, partially offset by higher planned nuclear outage days. The raised guidance and strong operational beat are the primary drivers for the stock, though GAAP net income fell to $1.42 from $2.67 due to mark-to-market hedging losses.

Key Financial Metrics

EPS
$2.55
est $2.34 · +9.0%
Revenue
$7.5B
est $7.7B · -2.5% · +23.0% YoY
Rating
beat

Key Facts

  • Adjusted (non-GAAP) Operating Earnings of $2.55 per share beat consensus of $2.34 by 9.1% and rose 33.5% YoY from $1.91.
  • Full-year 2026 Adjusted Operating Earnings guidance raised to $11.50-$12.50 per share from $11.00-$12.00.
  • Signed ~920 MW of new long-term nuclear PPAs with an average duration of 18.5 years, including a 176 MW agreement with Walmart.
  • Agreed to divest the Brazos Valley Energy Center for $860M, satisfying the final DOJ condition of the Calpine acquisition.
  • Deployed ~$2.2B YTD on share repurchases, with ~$2.8B remaining under the $5.0B authorization.
  • FERC and NRC approvals received for the Crane Clean Energy Center restart, targeting operations in 2027.
  • Q2 GAAP Net Income was $1.42 per share, down from $2.67 in Q2 2025, due to unrealized losses on fair value adjustments.

Financial Impact

Raised FY2026 guidance midpoint by $0.50 to $12.00, implying ~$0.50 EPS upside vs prior midpoint. Q2 Adj. Op. Earnings beat consensus by $0.21/share.

adjusted operating earnings per sharerevenueguidance

Risk Factors

  • Higher-than-expected nuclear refueling outage days could pressure near-term generation and earnings.
  • Execution risk on the Crane Clean Energy Center restart and regulatory approvals.
  • Commodity price volatility and mark-to-market accounting can cause significant GAAP earnings swings.

Market Snapshot

Exchange
Nasdaq
Sector
Electric Services
Analyst Consensus
83% bullish (29 analysts)

Investment Themes

Traditional Energy

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 7 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
8-K Filing (Primary)0001868275-26-000097
Document: ceg-20260806992.htm0001868275-26-000097
Document: ceg-20260806.htm0001868275-26-000097
Document: 0001868275-26-000097-index-headers.html0001868275-26-000097
Document: 0001868275-26-000097-index.html0001868275-26-000097
Document: 0001868275-26-000097.txt0001868275-26-000097
8-K Data (Synthetic)0001868275-26-000097
10 reports for CEG
Performance horizon

Track record builds as more directional reports settle.

Filters
Rows
Reports for CEG — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Aug 21, 2026
5w ago
144
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$273.43 $254.71▼ −6.85%▼ −6.86%$258.92 (−5.31%)
Aug 13, 2026
7w ago
Insider Buy
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$278.64 $284.75▲ +2.19%▲ +3.94%$258.92 (−7.08%)
Aug 6, 2026
8w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$261.10 $285.05▲ +9.17%▲ +8.57%$258.92 (−0.83%)
Aug 5, 2026
8w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 2/10
$265.12 $290.04▲ +9.40%▲ +10.00%$258.92 (−2.34%)
Jun 2, 2026
17w ago
8-K
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$267.24 $239.25▼ −10.47%▼ −9.47%$258.92 (−3.11%)
Jun 2, 2026
17w ago
424B4
BEARISH ★ 5/10
$272.65 $236.50▲ +13.26%▲ +11.69%$258.92 (+5.04%)
May 11, 2026
20w ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$299.69 $251.65▼ −16.03%▼ −15.73%$258.92 (−13.60%)
Apr 20, 2026
23w ago
Court Ruling
NEUTRAL ★ 1/10
$287.56 $262.00▼ −8.89%▼ −13.11%$258.92 (−9.96%)
Mar 30, 2026
26w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 4/10
$279.25 $303.53▲ +8.69%▼ −0.73%$258.92 (−7.28%)
Mar 19, 2026
28w ago
DEFA14A
NEUTRAL ★ 3/10
$281.99 $287.56▲ +1.98%▼ −7.34%$258.92 (−8.18%)
Showing 10 of 10

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