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425 ·Filed Oct 6, 2026

CCXI

Churchill Capital Corp XI
BULLISH
Impact 6/10
Horizonweeks Processed20d 21h ago SEC0001213900-26-107261
Rule 425 M&A communications
Actionable Insight ▲ Bullish

Monitor the S-4 registration statement effectiveness and shareholder vote timeline for the CCXI-Agility business combination. Key catalysts include Digit 5 commercial launch in 2027, conversion of the $300M order book into revenue, and expansion of customer deployments from 9 to up to 25 facilities by year-end 2027.

DirectionBullish
Confidencehigh
Horizonweeks
Latest settled — T+5d ⚠ clustered
CCXI ▼ -3.65% at T+5d
LONG call ✗ call lost -3.65% · α vs SPY -2.67% · entry $11.24 → $10.83
Next anchor: T+20d in 7d
Latest observation: T+12 +4.12% FF3 residual α
Entry = T+0 close
Oct 6, 2026
via day close
T+1d
-1.78%
call -1.78% · α -1.36%
$11.04
settled 20d ago
T+5d
-3.65%
call -3.65% · α -2.67%
$10.83
settled 14d ago
T+20d
Pending
in 7d
T+60d
Pending
in 2mo

Price Chart

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Executive Summary

Churchill Capital Corp XI (CCXI) held an Analyst & Investor Day on October 6, 2026, presenting the business combination with Agility Robotics, Inc. The presentation highlights Agility's commercial humanoid robot Digit 5, with $300M+ in committed orders, 9 customer facility deployments, and a $2.5B pre-money equity valuation for the combined entity. The deal is expected to close in Q4 2026 with $620M in gross proceeds, anchored by ~$200M from Foxconn, and 100% of net proceeds funding growth.

Key Financial Metrics

Deal Value
$620.0M
Deal Type
merger

Key Facts

  • Agility aims to be publicly traded in Q4 2026 via merger with CCXI, with post-combination ticker AGLT on Nasdaq
  • $2.5B pre-money equity valuation for Agility; $620M gross proceeds from the transaction
  • Transaction supported by ~$200M incremental capital anchored by Foxconn; no cash to shareholders
  • $300M+ committed orders for Digit 5 as of May 2026 (1,000 robots, 3-year RaaS contract with warrants)
  • 9 committed customer facility deployments; 65,000 hours of operations; 30+ potential customers in active pipeline
  • Digit 5 planned for 2027 release with cooperative safety features; RoboFab factory has 10,000-unit annual capacity
  • Landmark safety partnership with NVIDIA (Halos for Robotics platform) announced June 2026
  • Agility has raised >$390M total equity since inception (excluding grants)
  • Key model assumptions: ~$60M SG&A in 2026, ~$115M R&D in 2026, ~$8M total capex through 2028

Financial Impact

$620M gross proceeds from transaction; $2.5B pre-money valuation; $300M+ committed orders for Digit 5

valuationgross proceedscommitted orders

Risk Factors

  • Digit 5 remains under development and not yet commercially available; commercial launch may be delayed
  • Agility has yet to achieve positive operating cash flow and expects continuing losses
  • Committed orders are subject to contractual milestones and may not convert into revenue
  • Intense competition from well-funded entrants including Tesla, Figure AI, and Boston Dynamics
  • Redemption risk from CCXI public shareholders could reduce available capital post-merger

Investment Themes

Traditional Finance

Documents Analyzed

This report is based on 5 SEC documents filed with EDGAR.

DocumentAccession Number
425 Filing (Primary)0001213900-26-107261
Document: ea0307842-8k425_church11.htm0001213900-26-107261
Document: 0001213900-26-107261-index-headers.html0001213900-26-107261
Document: 0001213900-26-107261-index.html0001213900-26-107261
Document: 0001213900-26-107261.txt0001213900-26-107261
20 reports for CCXI
Performance horizon
22% Hit rate @ T+1 2 of 9 directional calls Went positive at some point 2 of 9 best @ T+1▲ +4.80%Oct 13, 2026
Filters
Rows
Reports for CCXI — sortable, filterable
TypeNow
Oct 26, 2026
today
425
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$10.25awaiting T+1—$10.22 (−0.29%)
Oct 22, 2026
4d ago
425
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$10.26 $10.25▼ −0.10%▼ −0.81%$10.22 (−0.39%)
Oct 22, 2026
5d ago
425
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$10.27 $10.26▼ −0.10%▲ +0.42%$10.22 (−0.49%)
Oct 20, 2026
6d ago
425
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$10.35 $10.27▼ −0.77%▲ +0.41%$10.22 (−1.26%)
Oct 20, 2026
6d ago
425
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$10.35 $10.27▼ −0.77%▲ +0.41%$10.22 (−1.26%)
Oct 19, 2026
7d ago
425
BULLISH ★ 5/10
$10.36 $10.35▼ −0.05%▼ −0.57%$10.22 (−1.30%)
Oct 14, 2026
13d ago
EFFECT
NEUTRAL ★ 5/10
$10.83 $11.35▲ +4.80%▲ +4.52%$10.22 (−5.63%)
Oct 13, 2026
13d ago
425
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$10.83 $11.35▲ +4.80%▲ +4.52%$10.22 (−5.63%)
Oct 13, 2026
13d ago
8-K
BULLISH ★ 6/10
$10.83 $11.35▲ +4.80%▲ +4.52%$10.22 (−5.63%)
Oct 8, 2026
18d ago
425
BULLISH ★ 7/10
$10.93 $10.78▼ −1.37%▼ −1.31%$10.22 (−6.50%)
Showing 10 of 20

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Report published Oct 6, 2026